Corruption as a Local Advantage — expanded estimators

Archive index · Regression tests · Results & settings (JSON) · Methods & code

90 specifications. Effects are in outcome standard deviations; intervals are 95%.

Treatment adoption

Treatment adoption timing

S22-P026: seeded sample of 100 of 216 eligible units. Purple untreated; yellow treated; white unobserved.

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FELGA-TRDI-SFULL

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FELGA-TRDI-SFULL · S22-P001 · Data & fit details

Required field-characteristic controls numwells, first_year, onsh and analog_depth are absent from the supplied bundle.

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FELGA-TRDI-SONSHORE

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FELGA-TRDI-SONSHORE · S22-P002 · Data & fit details

Required field-characteristic controls numwells, first_year, onsh and analog_depth are absent from the supplied bundle.

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FELGA-TRDINNPC-SFULL

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FELGA-TRDINNPC-SFULL · S22-P003 · Data & fit details

Required field-characteristic controls numwells, first_year, onsh and analog_depth are absent from the supplied bundle.

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FELGA-TRDINNPC-SONSHORE

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FELGA-TRDINNPC-SONSHORE · S22-P004 · Data & fit details

Required field-characteristic controls numwells, first_year, onsh and analog_depth are absent from the supplied bundle.

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FELGA-TRNNPC-SFULL

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FELGA-TRNNPC-SFULL · S22-P005 · Data & fit details

Required field-characteristic controls numwells, first_year, onsh and analog_depth are absent from the supplied bundle.

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FELGA-TRNNPC-SONSHORE

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FELGA-TRNNPC-SONSHORE · S22-P006 · Data & fit details

Required field-characteristic controls numwells, first_year, onsh and analog_depth are absent from the supplied bundle.

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FENONE-TRDI-SFULL

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FENONE-TRDI-SFULL · S22-P007 · Data & fit details

Required field-characteristic controls numwells, first_year, onsh and analog_depth are absent from the supplied bundle.

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FENONE-TRDI-SONSHORE

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FENONE-TRDI-SONSHORE · S22-P008 · Data & fit details

Required field-characteristic controls numwells, first_year, onsh and analog_depth are absent from the supplied bundle.

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FENONE-TRDINNPC-SFULL

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FENONE-TRDINNPC-SFULL · S22-P009 · Data & fit details

Required field-characteristic controls numwells, first_year, onsh and analog_depth are absent from the supplied bundle.

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FENONE-TRDINNPC-SONSHORE

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FENONE-TRDINNPC-SONSHORE · S22-P010 · Data & fit details

Required field-characteristic controls numwells, first_year, onsh and analog_depth are absent from the supplied bundle.

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FENONE-TRNNPC-SFULL

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FENONE-TRNNPC-SFULL · S22-P011 · Data & fit details

Required field-characteristic controls numwells, first_year, onsh and analog_depth are absent from the supplied bundle.

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FENONE-TRNNPC-SONSHORE

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FENONE-TRNNPC-SONSHORE · S22-P012 · Data & fit details

Required field-characteristic controls numwells, first_year, onsh and analog_depth are absent from the supplied bundle.

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FESTATE-TRDI-SFULL

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FESTATE-TRDI-SFULL · S22-P013 · Data & fit details

Required field-characteristic controls numwells, first_year, onsh and analog_depth are absent from the supplied bundle.

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FESTATE-TRDI-SONSHORE

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FESTATE-TRDI-SONSHORE · S22-P014 · Data & fit details

Required field-characteristic controls numwells, first_year, onsh and analog_depth are absent from the supplied bundle.

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FESTATE-TRDINNPC-SFULL

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FESTATE-TRDINNPC-SFULL · S22-P015 · Data & fit details

Required field-characteristic controls numwells, first_year, onsh and analog_depth are absent from the supplied bundle.

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FESTATE-TRDINNPC-SONSHORE

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FESTATE-TRDINNPC-SONSHORE · S22-P016 · Data & fit details

Required field-characteristic controls numwells, first_year, onsh and analog_depth are absent from the supplied bundle.

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FESTATE-TRNNPC-SFULL

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FESTATE-TRNNPC-SFULL · S22-P017 · Data & fit details

Required field-characteristic controls numwells, first_year, onsh and analog_depth are absent from the supplied bundle.

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FESTATE-TRNNPC-SONSHORE

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLFIELD-SHNONE-FESTATE-TRNNPC-SONSHORE · S22-P018 · Data & fit details

Required field-characteristic controls numwells, first_year, onsh and analog_depth are absent from the supplied bundle.

Oil theft: count of sabotage spills within 15 km of the field

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLNONE-SHNONE-FELGA-TRDI-SFULL · Main-text Figure 4 specification curve: outcome=theft, interacted controls=none, simultaneous shocks=none, added fixed effects=lga, treatment=DI, sample=full · Data & fit details

2,893 observations · 279 units · 279 clusters · 41 treated / 238 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P019: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.099 0.042 [-0.181, -0.017] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE -0.229 0.091 [-0.408, -0.049] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.107 0.041 [-0.189, -0.026] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.197 0.071 [-0.336, -0.058] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

Oil theft: count of sabotage spills within 15 km of the field

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLNONE-SHNONE-FELGA-TRDI-SONSHORE · Main-text Figure 4 specification curve: outcome=theft, interacted controls=none, simultaneous shocks=none, added fixed effects=lga, treatment=DI, sample=onshore · Data & fit details

1,913 observations · 180 units · 180 clusters · 29 treated / 151 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P020: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.082 0.048 [-0.177, 0.013] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE -0.141 0.108 [-0.354, 0.072] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.071 0.040 [-0.150, 0.007] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.104 0.074 [-0.251, 0.042] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

Oil theft: count of sabotage spills within 15 km of the field

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLNONE-SHNONE-FELGA-TRDINNPC-SFULL · Main-text Figure 4 specification curve: outcome=theft, interacted controls=none, simultaneous shocks=none, added fixed effects=lga, treatment=DINNPC, sample=full · Data & fit details

The archive supplies frozen estimates but not this specification’s input sample or required outcome/controls.

Oil theft: count of sabotage spills within 15 km of the field

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLNONE-SHNONE-FELGA-TRDINNPC-SONSHORE · Main-text Figure 4 specification curve: outcome=theft, interacted controls=none, simultaneous shocks=none, added fixed effects=lga, treatment=DINNPC, sample=onshore · Data & fit details

1,762 observations · 161 units · 161 clusters · 31 treated / 130 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P022: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.171 0.097 [-0.363, 0.021] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE -0.195 0.119 [-0.431, 0.041] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.125 0.069 [-0.262, 0.012] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.152 0.089 [-0.327, 0.024] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

Oil theft: count of sabotage spills within 15 km of the field

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLNONE-SHNONE-FELGA-TRNNPC-SFULL · Main-text Figure 4 specification curve: outcome=theft, interacted controls=none, simultaneous shocks=none, added fixed effects=lga, treatment=NNPC, sample=full · Data & fit details

2,750 observations · 257 units · 257 clusters · 28 treated / 229 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P023: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.220 0.122 [-0.461, 0.021] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE -0.134 0.112 [-0.355, 0.086] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.267 0.138 [-0.539, 0.005] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.201 0.115 [-0.428, 0.026] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

Oil theft: count of sabotage spills within 15 km of the field

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLNONE-SHNONE-FELGA-TRNNPC-SONSHORE · Main-text Figure 4 specification curve: outcome=theft, interacted controls=none, simultaneous shocks=none, added fixed effects=lga, treatment=NNPC, sample=onshore · Data & fit details

1,916 observations · 175 units · 175 clusters · 24 treated / 151 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P024: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.149 0.138 [-0.422, 0.124] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE -0.073 0.128 [-0.325, 0.179] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.164 0.149 [-0.457, 0.130] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.106 0.136 [-0.376, 0.163] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

Oil theft: count of sabotage spills within 15 km of the field

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLNONE-SHNONE-FENONE-TRDI-SFULL · Main-text Figure 4 specification curve: outcome=theft, interacted controls=none, simultaneous shocks=none, added fixed effects=none, treatment=DI, sample=full · Data & fit details

3,167 observations · 303 units · 303 clusters · 52 treated / 251 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P025: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.223 0.037 [-0.296, -0.150] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE -0.269 0.089 [-0.444, -0.095] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.227 0.038 [-0.302, -0.152] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.203 0.051 [-0.303, -0.103] Treated cells
CS-DID (equal event-time) -0.115 0.044 [-0.201, -0.029] Equal post-event times
CS-DID (treated cells) -0.190 0.062 [-0.311, -0.069] Treated cells
SDID -0.097 — — Treated cells
Matrix completion -0.175 — — Treated cells
Horizontal ridge -0.131 — — Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study CS-DID event study SDID event study Matrix completion event study Horizontal ridge event study

Oil theft: count of sabotage spills within 15 km of the field

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLNONE-SHNONE-FENONE-TRDI-SONSHORE · Main-text Figure 4 specification curve: outcome=theft, interacted controls=none, simultaneous shocks=none, added fixed effects=none, treatment=DI, sample=onshore · Data & fit details

2,285 observations · 216 units · 216 clusters · 49 treated / 167 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P026: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.292 0.042 [-0.374, -0.209] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE -0.260 0.082 [-0.422, -0.098] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.300 0.043 [-0.384, -0.215] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.215 0.050 [-0.313, -0.117] Treated cells
CS-DID (equal event-time) -0.140 0.047 [-0.232, -0.047] Equal post-event times
CS-DID (treated cells) -0.200 0.058 [-0.314, -0.086] Treated cells
SDID -0.147 — — Treated cells
Matrix completion -0.244 — — Treated cells
Horizontal ridge -0.124 — — Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study CS-DID event study SDID event study Matrix completion event study Horizontal ridge event study

Oil theft: count of sabotage spills within 15 km of the field

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLNONE-SHNONE-FENONE-TRNNPC-SFULL · Main-text Figure 4 specification curve: outcome=theft, interacted controls=none, simultaneous shocks=none, added fixed effects=none, treatment=NNPC, sample=full · Data & fit details

2,906 observations · 272 units · 272 clusters · 33 treated / 239 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P027: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.167 0.059 [-0.284, -0.050] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE -0.004 0.054 [-0.110, 0.102] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.198 0.055 [-0.306, -0.090] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.037 0.052 [-0.139, 0.065] Treated cells
CS-DID (equal event-time) -0.063 0.066 [-0.193, 0.067] Equal post-event times
CS-DID (treated cells) -0.029 0.065 [-0.156, 0.099] Treated cells
SDID -0.058 — — Treated cells
Matrix completion -0.143 — — Treated cells
Horizontal ridge -0.019 — — Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study CS-DID event study SDID event study Matrix completion event study Horizontal ridge event study

Oil theft: count of sabotage spills within 15 km of the field

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLNONE-SHNONE-FENONE-TRNNPC-SONSHORE · Main-text Figure 4 specification curve: outcome=theft, interacted controls=none, simultaneous shocks=none, added fixed effects=none, treatment=NNPC, sample=onshore · Data & fit details

2,096 observations · 193 units · 193 clusters · 30 treated / 163 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P028: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.152 0.071 [-0.292, -0.012] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE 0.004 0.060 [-0.114, 0.122] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.199 0.059 [-0.315, -0.083] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham 0.003 0.058 [-0.111, 0.117] Treated cells
CS-DID (equal event-time) -0.107 0.084 [-0.271, 0.057] Equal post-event times
CS-DID (treated cells) 0.008 0.085 [-0.159, 0.174] Treated cells
SDID -0.085 — — Treated cells
Matrix completion -0.158 — — Treated cells
Horizontal ridge 0.010 — — Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study CS-DID event study SDID event study Matrix completion event study Horizontal ridge event study

Oil theft: count of sabotage spills within 15 km of the field

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLNONE-SHNONE-FESTATE-TRDI-SFULL · Main-text Figure 4 specification curve: outcome=theft, interacted controls=none, simultaneous shocks=none, added fixed effects=state, treatment=DI, sample=full · Data & fit details

3,167 observations · 303 units · 303 clusters · 52 treated / 251 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P029: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.095 0.038 [-0.170, -0.020] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE -0.081 0.099 [-0.275, 0.113] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.092 0.039 [-0.169, -0.015] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.107 0.062 [-0.228, 0.014] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

Oil theft: count of sabotage spills within 15 km of the field

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLNONE-SHNONE-FESTATE-TRDI-SONSHORE · Main-text Figure 4 specification curve: outcome=theft, interacted controls=none, simultaneous shocks=none, added fixed effects=state, treatment=DI, sample=onshore · Data & fit details

2,285 observations · 216 units · 216 clusters · 49 treated / 167 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P030: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.091 0.038 [-0.167, -0.016] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE -0.005 0.097 [-0.196, 0.185] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.090 0.038 [-0.165, -0.014] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.065 0.061 [-0.186, 0.056] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

Oil theft: count of sabotage spills within 15 km of the field

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLNONE-SHNONE-FESTATE-TRDINNPC-SFULL · Main-text Figure 4 specification curve: outcome=theft, interacted controls=none, simultaneous shocks=none, added fixed effects=state, treatment=DINNPC, sample=full · Data & fit details

The archive supplies frozen estimates but not this specification’s input sample or required outcome/controls.

Oil theft: count of sabotage spills within 15 km of the field

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLNONE-SHNONE-FESTATE-TRDINNPC-SONSHORE · Main-text Figure 4 specification curve: outcome=theft, interacted controls=none, simultaneous shocks=none, added fixed effects=state, treatment=DINNPC, sample=onshore · Data & fit details

2,085 observations · 192 units · 192 clusters · 51 treated / 141 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P032: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.126 0.043 [-0.212, -0.041] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE -0.028 0.096 [-0.218, 0.162] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.122 0.042 [-0.205, -0.038] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.085 0.062 [-0.208, 0.037] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

Oil theft: count of sabotage spills within 15 km of the field

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLNONE-SHNONE-FESTATE-TRNNPC-SFULL · Main-text Figure 4 specification curve: outcome=theft, interacted controls=none, simultaneous shocks=none, added fixed effects=state, treatment=NNPC, sample=full · Data & fit details

2,895 observations · 271 units · 271 clusters · 32 treated / 239 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P033: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.167 0.074 [-0.312, -0.021] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE -0.047 0.076 [-0.196, 0.103] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.199 0.082 [-0.360, -0.039] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.086 0.068 [-0.221, 0.048] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

Oil theft: count of sabotage spills within 15 km of the field

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLNONE-SHNONE-FESTATE-TRNNPC-SONSHORE · Main-text Figure 4 specification curve: outcome=theft, interacted controls=none, simultaneous shocks=none, added fixed effects=state, treatment=NNPC, sample=onshore · Data & fit details

2,085 observations · 192 units · 192 clusters · 29 treated / 163 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P034: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.073 0.069 [-0.208, 0.063] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE 0.038 0.072 [-0.105, 0.180] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.095 0.077 [-0.248, 0.057] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham 0.017 0.077 [-0.135, 0.169] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLSPATIAL-SHNONE-FELGA-TRDI-SFULL

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLSPATIAL-SHNONE-FELGA-TRDI-SFULL · S22-P035 · Data & fit details

2,893 observations · 279 units · 279 clusters · 41 treated / 238 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P035: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.125 0.050 [-0.223, -0.027] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE -0.228 0.101 [-0.427, -0.028] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.126 0.048 [-0.222, -0.031] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.202 0.079 [-0.358, -0.045] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLSPATIAL-SHNONE-FELGA-TRDI-SONSHORE

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLSPATIAL-SHNONE-FELGA-TRDI-SONSHORE · S22-P036 · Data & fit details

1,913 observations · 180 units · 180 clusters · 29 treated / 151 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P036: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.044 0.068 [-0.178, 0.090] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE -0.060 0.135 [-0.325, 0.206] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.025 0.062 [-0.147, 0.097] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.059 0.095 [-0.246, 0.128] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLSPATIAL-SHNONE-FELGA-TRDINNPC-SONSHORE

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLSPATIAL-SHNONE-FELGA-TRDINNPC-SONSHORE · S22-P037 · Data & fit details

1,762 observations · 161 units · 161 clusters · 31 treated / 130 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P037: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.163 0.133 [-0.425, 0.099] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE -0.134 0.154 [-0.439, 0.171] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.085 0.105 [-0.293, 0.123] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.114 0.115 [-0.342, 0.113] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLSPATIAL-SHNONE-FELGA-TRNNPC-SFULL

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLSPATIAL-SHNONE-FELGA-TRNNPC-SFULL · S22-P038 · Data & fit details

2,750 observations · 257 units · 257 clusters · 28 treated / 229 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P038: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.220 0.124 [-0.464, 0.025] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE -0.120 0.113 [-0.343, 0.102] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.271 0.151 [-0.568, 0.026] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.191 0.120 [-0.428, 0.047] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLSPATIAL-SHNONE-FELGA-TRNNPC-SONSHORE

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLSPATIAL-SHNONE-FELGA-TRNNPC-SONSHORE · S22-P039 · Data & fit details

1,916 observations · 175 units · 175 clusters · 24 treated / 151 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P039: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.180 0.170 [-0.514, 0.155] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE -0.115 0.163 [-0.438, 0.207] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.217 0.213 [-0.637, 0.204] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.141 0.164 [-0.464, 0.181] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLSPATIAL-SHNONE-FENONE-TRDI-SFULL

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLSPATIAL-SHNONE-FENONE-TRDI-SFULL · S22-P040 · Data & fit details

3,167 observations · 303 units · 303 clusters · 52 treated / 251 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P040: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.261 0.048 [-0.356, -0.165] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE -0.199 0.102 [-0.400, 0.003] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.264 0.050 [-0.363, -0.165] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.206 0.067 [-0.337, -0.075] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLSPATIAL-SHNONE-FENONE-TRDI-SONSHORE

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLSPATIAL-SHNONE-FENONE-TRDI-SONSHORE · S22-P041 · Data & fit details

2,285 observations · 216 units · 216 clusters · 49 treated / 167 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P041: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.280 0.052 [-0.382, -0.178] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE -0.173 0.103 [-0.376, 0.030] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.281 0.052 [-0.384, -0.179] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.197 0.067 [-0.330, -0.064] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLSPATIAL-SHNONE-FENONE-TRNNPC-SFULL

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLSPATIAL-SHNONE-FENONE-TRNNPC-SFULL · S22-P042 · Data & fit details

2,906 observations · 272 units · 272 clusters · 33 treated / 239 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P042: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.199 0.072 [-0.342, -0.057] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE -0.082 0.066 [-0.212, 0.048] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.246 0.065 [-0.374, -0.118] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.103 0.063 [-0.228, 0.021] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLSPATIAL-SHNONE-FENONE-TRNNPC-SONSHORE

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLSPATIAL-SHNONE-FENONE-TRNNPC-SONSHORE · S22-P043 · Data & fit details

2,096 observations · 193 units · 193 clusters · 30 treated / 163 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P043: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.101 0.072 [-0.243, 0.040] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE 0.000 0.073 [-0.144, 0.144] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.140 0.071 [-0.280, 0.000] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.013 0.070 [-0.151, 0.125] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLSPATIAL-SHNONE-FESTATE-TRDI-SFULL

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLSPATIAL-SHNONE-FESTATE-TRDI-SFULL · S22-P044 · Data & fit details

3,167 observations · 303 units · 303 clusters · 52 treated / 251 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P044: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.108 0.041 [-0.190, -0.027] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE -0.118 0.106 [-0.326, 0.091] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.084 0.042 [-0.166, -0.002] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.120 0.065 [-0.247, 0.008] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLSPATIAL-SHNONE-FESTATE-TRDI-SONSHORE

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLSPATIAL-SHNONE-FESTATE-TRDI-SONSHORE · S22-P045 · Data & fit details

2,285 observations · 216 units · 216 clusters · 49 treated / 167 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P045: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.106 0.044 [-0.192, -0.020] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE -0.043 0.111 [-0.262, 0.177] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.087 0.045 [-0.176, 0.002] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.076 0.069 [-0.211, 0.060] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLSPATIAL-SHNONE-FESTATE-TRDINNPC-SONSHORE

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLSPATIAL-SHNONE-FESTATE-TRDINNPC-SONSHORE · S22-P046 · Data & fit details

2,085 observations · 192 units · 192 clusters · 51 treated / 141 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P046: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.146 0.050 [-0.245, -0.048] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE -0.057 0.110 [-0.273, 0.159] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.129 0.052 [-0.231, -0.027] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.086 0.069 [-0.222, 0.049] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLSPATIAL-SHNONE-FESTATE-TRNNPC-SFULL

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLSPATIAL-SHNONE-FESTATE-TRNNPC-SFULL · S22-P047 · Data & fit details

2,895 observations · 271 units · 271 clusters · 32 treated / 239 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P047: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.148 0.067 [-0.281, -0.016] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE 0.004 0.072 [-0.138, 0.147] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.155 0.069 [-0.290, -0.019] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.046 0.064 [-0.172, 0.080] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLSPATIAL-SHNONE-FESTATE-TRNNPC-SONSHORE

REXER-F4-THEFT-CTRLSPATIAL-SHNONE-FESTATE-TRNNPC-SONSHORE · S22-P048 · Data & fit details

2,085 observations · 192 units · 192 clusters · 29 treated / 163 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P048: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.082 0.065 [-0.211, 0.047] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE 0.036 0.075 [-0.112, 0.183] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.082 0.072 [-0.224, 0.061] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham 0.004 0.073 [-0.140, 0.149] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

Operational oil spills: count of non-sabotage spills within 15 km of the field

REXER-T1-PB-SPILLS-C1 · Main-text Table 1 panel B column 1 · Data & fit details

2,895 observations · 271 units · 271 clusters · 56 treated / 215 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P049: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE 0.163 0.081 [0.004, 0.322] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE 0.167 0.055 [0.057, 0.276] Treated cells
BJS / did2s 0.218 0.077 [0.066, 0.370] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham 0.176 0.040 [0.097, 0.254] Treated cells
CS-DID (equal event-time) 0.404 0.050 [0.307, 0.502] Equal post-event times
CS-DID (treated cells) 0.173 0.048 [0.078, 0.267] Treated cells
SDID 0.097 — — Treated cells
Matrix completion 0.139 — — Treated cells
Horizontal ridge -0.045 — — Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study CS-DID event study SDID event study Matrix completion event study Horizontal ridge event study

REXER-T1-PB-SPILLS-C2

REXER-T1-PB-SPILLS-C2 · S22-P050 · Data & fit details

2,895 observations · 271 units · 271 clusters · 56 treated / 215 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P050: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE 0.106 0.086 [-0.062, 0.275] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE 0.187 0.068 [0.053, 0.321] Treated cells
BJS / did2s 0.168 0.082 [0.007, 0.329] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham 0.200 0.063 [0.076, 0.324] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

REXER-T1-PB-SPILLS-C4

REXER-T1-PB-SPILLS-C4 · S22-P051 · Data & fit details

2,884 observations · 270 units · 270 clusters · 55 treated / 215 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P051: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE 0.179 0.109 [-0.036, 0.394] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE 0.173 0.087 [0.002, 0.345] Treated cells
BJS / did2s 0.289 0.109 [0.073, 0.504] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham 0.181 0.083 [0.018, 0.344] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

REXER-T1-PB-SPILLS-C5

REXER-T1-PB-SPILLS-C5 · S22-P052 · Data & fit details

2,662 observations · 249 units · 249 clusters · 43 treated / 206 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P052: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE 0.296 0.192 [-0.082, 0.674] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE 0.435 0.134 [0.171, 0.699] Treated cells
BJS / did2s 0.348 0.178 [-0.002, 0.698] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham 0.455 0.124 [0.211, 0.699] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

Oil theft: count of sabotage spills within 15 km of the field

REXER-T1-PC-THEFT-C1 · Main-text Table 1 panel C column 1; exact duplicate also plotted in Main-text Figure 4 (controls=none, simultaneous shocks=none, added FE=none, treatment=DI+NNPC, sample=full) · Data & fit details

2,895 observations · 271 units · 271 clusters · 56 treated / 215 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P053: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.263 0.043 [-0.347, -0.178] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE -0.263 0.083 [-0.427, -0.099] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.263 0.043 [-0.346, -0.179] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.213 0.051 [-0.314, -0.113] Treated cells
CS-DID (equal event-time) -0.135 0.046 [-0.226, -0.044] Equal post-event times
CS-DID (treated cells) -0.208 0.061 [-0.328, -0.088] Treated cells
SDID -0.101 — — Treated cells
Matrix completion -0.207 — — Treated cells
Horizontal ridge -0.172 — — Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study CS-DID event study SDID event study Matrix completion event study Horizontal ridge event study

REXER-T1-PC-THEFT-C2

REXER-T1-PC-THEFT-C2 · S22-P054 · Data & fit details

2,895 observations · 271 units · 271 clusters · 56 treated / 215 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P054: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.317 0.054 [-0.424, -0.210] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE -0.231 0.099 [-0.426, -0.036] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.318 0.055 [-0.426, -0.210] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.226 0.067 [-0.358, -0.095] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

REXER-T1-PC-THEFT-C4

REXER-T1-PC-THEFT-C4 · S22-P055 · Data & fit details

2,884 observations · 270 units · 270 clusters · 55 treated / 215 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P055: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.169 0.051 [-0.268, -0.069] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE -0.148 0.102 [-0.350, 0.053] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.135 0.048 [-0.230, -0.040] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.144 0.064 [-0.270, -0.018] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

REXER-T1-PC-THEFT-C5

REXER-T1-PC-THEFT-C5 · S22-P056 · Data & fit details

2,662 observations · 249 units · 249 clusters · 43 treated / 206 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P056: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.217 0.094 [-0.402, -0.032] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE -0.277 0.113 [-0.501, -0.054] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.180 0.075 [-0.328, -0.033] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.244 0.093 [-0.428, -0.061] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

Oil theft: count of sabotage spills within 15 km of the field

REXER-T2-PA-ONSHORE-C3 · Main-text Table 2 panel A column 3; exact duplicate also plotted in Main-text Figure 4 (controls=none, simultaneous shocks=none, added FE=none, treatment=DI+NNPC, sample=onshore) · Data & fit details

The archive supplies frozen estimates but not this specification’s input sample or required outcome/controls.

REXER-T2-PA-ONSHORE-C4

REXER-T2-PA-ONSHORE-C4 · S22-P058 · Data & fit details

2,096 observations · 193 units · 193 clusters · 52 treated / 141 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P058: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.305 0.054 [-0.412, -0.198] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE -0.181 0.101 [-0.380, 0.018] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.300 0.054 [-0.406, -0.194] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.189 0.067 [-0.322, -0.056] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

Operational oil spills: count of non-sabotage spills within 15 km of the field

REXER-T2-PA-ONSHORE-C5 · Main-text Table 2 panel A column 5 · Data & fit details

The archive supplies frozen estimates but not this specification’s input sample or required outcome/controls.

REXER-T2-PA-ONSHORE-C6

REXER-T2-PA-ONSHORE-C6 · S22-P060 · Data & fit details

2,096 observations · 193 units · 193 clusters · 52 treated / 141 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P060: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE 0.095 0.099 [-0.100, 0.291] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE 0.164 0.082 [0.003, 0.324] Treated cells
BJS / did2s 0.161 0.105 [-0.045, 0.368] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham 0.173 0.076 [0.023, 0.324] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

Oil theft: count of sabotage spills within 15 km of the field

REXER-T2-PB-OFFSHORE-C3 · Main-text Table 2 panel B column 3 · Data & fit details

The archive supplies frozen estimates but not this specification’s input sample or required outcome/controls.

REXER-T2-PB-OFFSHORE-C4

REXER-T2-PB-OFFSHORE-C4 · S22-P062 · Data & fit details

799 observations · 78 units · 78 clusters · 4 treated / 74 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P062: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE 0.307 0.338 [-0.367, 0.980] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE 0.272 0.261 [-0.247, 0.791] Treated cells
BJS / did2s 0.493 0.314 [-0.133, 1.119] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.011 0.094 [-0.199, 0.176] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

Operational oil spills: count of non-sabotage spills within 15 km of the field

REXER-T2-PB-OFFSHORE-C5 · Main-text Table 2 panel B column 5 · Data & fit details

The archive supplies frozen estimates but not this specification’s input sample or required outcome/controls.

REXER-T2-PB-OFFSHORE-C6

REXER-T2-PB-OFFSHORE-C6 · S22-P064 · Data & fit details

799 observations · 78 units · 78 clusters · 4 treated / 74 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P064: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE 0.423 0.160 [0.104, 0.741] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE 0.734 0.399 [-0.060, 1.529] Treated cells
BJS / did2s 0.457 0.167 [0.124, 0.791] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham 1.074 0.428 [0.223, 1.926] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

REXER-T3-C6-TERMINATED-HOLD

REXER-T3-C6-TERMINATED-HOLD · S22-P065 · Data & fit details

3,048 observations · 303 units · 303 clusters · 35 treated / 268 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P065: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.086 0.113 [-0.309, 0.136] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE -0.164 0.100 [-0.361, 0.032] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.078 0.107 [-0.287, 0.132] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.148 0.094 [-0.333, 0.037] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

All anti-oil-theft law-enforcement events within 15 km

REXER-T4-C1 · Main-text Table 4 column 1 · Data & fit details

The archive supplies frozen estimates but not this specification’s input sample or required outcome/controls.

REXER-T4-C2

REXER-T4-C2 · S22-P067 · Data & fit details

2,895 observations · 271 units · 271 clusters · 56 treated / 215 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P067: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE 0.207 0.156 [-0.101, 0.515] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE 0.389 0.155 [0.084, 0.694] Treated cells
BJS / did2s 0.183 0.135 [-0.084, 0.449] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham 0.350 0.137 [0.080, 0.620] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

Oil-seizure enforcement events within 15 km

REXER-T4-C3 · Main-text Table 4 column 3 · Data & fit details

The archive supplies frozen estimates but not this specification’s input sample or required outcome/controls.

REXER-T4-C4

REXER-T4-C4 · S22-P069 · Data & fit details

2,895 observations · 271 units · 271 clusters · 56 treated / 215 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P069: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE 0.262 0.171 [-0.075, 0.598] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE 0.473 0.169 [0.142, 0.805] Treated cells
BJS / did2s 0.227 0.142 [-0.053, 0.506] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham 0.387 0.146 [0.100, 0.674] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

Illegal-refinery raid events within 15 km

REXER-T4-C5 · Main-text Table 4 column 5 · Data & fit details

The archive supplies frozen estimates but not this specification’s input sample or required outcome/controls.

REXER-T4-C6

REXER-T4-C6 · S22-P071 · Data & fit details

2,895 observations · 271 units · 271 clusters · 56 treated / 215 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P071: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE 0.291 0.163 [-0.030, 0.612] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE 0.492 0.157 [0.182, 0.802] Treated cells
BJS / did2s 0.252 0.152 [-0.046, 0.551] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham 0.435 0.138 [0.163, 0.707] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

Illegal-export enforcement events within 15 km

REXER-T4-C7 · Main-text Table 4 column 7 · Data & fit details

The archive supplies frozen estimates but not this specification’s input sample or required outcome/controls.

REXER-T4-C8

REXER-T4-C8 · S22-P073 · Data & fit details

2,895 observations · 271 units · 271 clusters · 56 treated / 215 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P073: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE 0.334 0.163 [0.012, 0.655] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE 0.529 0.163 [0.207, 0.850] Treated cells
BJS / did2s 0.311 0.138 [0.041, 0.582] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham 0.420 0.138 [0.148, 0.692] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

REXER-T6-PA-SECURITY-C3-HOLD

REXER-T6-PA-SECURITY-C3-HOLD · S22-P074 · Data & fit details

3,088 observations · 294 units · 294 clusters · 24 treated / 270 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P074: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.222 0.077 [-0.372, -0.071] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE -0.189 0.075 [-0.337, -0.042] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.322 0.081 [-0.481, -0.163] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.243 0.074 [-0.389, -0.097] Treated cells
CS-DID (equal event-time) -0.294 0.115 [-0.520, -0.069] Equal post-event times
CS-DID (treated cells) -0.230 0.091 [-0.409, -0.051] Treated cells
SDID -0.219 — — Treated cells
Matrix completion -0.281 — — Treated cells
Horizontal ridge 0.013 — — Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study CS-DID event study SDID event study Matrix completion event study Horizontal ridge event study

REXER-T6-PA-SECURITY-C4-HOLD

REXER-T6-PA-SECURITY-C4-HOLD · S22-P075 · Data & fit details

3,088 observations · 294 units · 294 clusters · 24 treated / 270 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P075: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.258 0.080 [-0.416, -0.100] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE -0.280 0.085 [-0.447, -0.112] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.403 0.080 [-0.560, -0.247] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.344 0.066 [-0.475, -0.214] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

REXER-T6-PA-SECURITY-C5-HOLD

REXER-T6-PA-SECURITY-C5-HOLD · S22-P076 · Data & fit details

3,088 observations · 294 units · 294 clusters · 24 treated / 270 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P076: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE 0.298 0.217 [-0.130, 0.725] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE 0.317 0.223 [-0.121, 0.755] Treated cells
BJS / did2s 0.257 0.223 [-0.182, 0.696] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham 0.345 0.222 [-0.093, 0.782] Treated cells
CS-DID (equal event-time) 0.307 0.318 [-0.317, 0.931] Equal post-event times
CS-DID (treated cells) 0.352 0.226 [-0.090, 0.795] Treated cells
Matrix completion 0.274 — — Treated cells
Horizontal ridge 0.691 — — Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study CS-DID event study Matrix completion event study Horizontal ridge event study

REXER-T6-PA-SECURITY-C6-HOLD

REXER-T6-PA-SECURITY-C6-HOLD · S22-P077 · Data & fit details

3,088 observations · 294 units · 294 clusters · 24 treated / 270 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P077: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE 0.335 0.182 [-0.023, 0.692] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE 0.238 0.221 [-0.196, 0.672] Treated cells
BJS / did2s 0.162 0.254 [-0.339, 0.663] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham 0.277 0.260 [-0.235, 0.789] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

REXER-T6-PA-SECURITY-C7-HOLD

REXER-T6-PA-SECURITY-C7-HOLD · S22-P078 · Data & fit details

3,088 observations · 294 units · 294 clusters · 24 treated / 270 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P078: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE 0.321 0.069 [0.186, 0.456] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE 0.239 0.077 [0.089, 0.390] Treated cells
BJS / did2s 0.197 0.090 [0.020, 0.374] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham 0.076 0.050 [-0.022, 0.173] Treated cells
CS-DID (equal event-time) 0.123 0.072 [-0.018, 0.263] Equal post-event times
CS-DID (treated cells) 0.080 0.063 [-0.044, 0.204] Treated cells
SDID 0.033 — — Treated cells
Matrix completion 0.114 — — Treated cells
Horizontal ridge 0.091 — — Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study CS-DID event study SDID event study Matrix completion event study Horizontal ridge event study

REXER-T6-PA-SECURITY-C8-HOLD

REXER-T6-PA-SECURITY-C8-HOLD · S22-P079 · Data & fit details

3,088 observations · 294 units · 294 clusters · 24 treated / 270 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P079: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE 0.311 0.065 [0.184, 0.439] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE 0.245 0.070 [0.107, 0.383] Treated cells
BJS / did2s 0.274 0.070 [0.136, 0.412] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham 0.179 0.056 [0.069, 0.289] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

REXER-T6-PB-OTHER-C3-HOLD

REXER-T6-PB-OTHER-C3-HOLD · S22-P080 · Data & fit details

546 observations · 56 units · 56 clusters · 3 treated / 53 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P080: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE 0.047 0.401 [-0.757, 0.851] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE -0.073 0.287 [-0.648, 0.502] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.104 0.330 [-0.765, 0.557] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.103 0.103 [-0.309, 0.103] Treated cells
CS-DID (equal event-time) 0.118 0.223 [-0.319, 0.554] Equal post-event times
CS-DID (treated cells) -0.017 0.166 [-0.343, 0.309] Treated cells
SDID -0.195 — — Treated cells
Matrix completion -0.151 — — Treated cells
Horizontal ridge -0.307 — — Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study CS-DID event study SDID event study Matrix completion event study Horizontal ridge event study

REXER-T6-PB-OTHER-C4-HOLD

REXER-T6-PB-OTHER-C4-HOLD · S22-P081 · Data & fit details

546 observations · 56 units · 56 clusters · 3 treated / 53 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P081: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE 0.460 0.353 [-0.247, 1.168] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE 0.443 0.249 [-0.056, 0.942] Treated cells
BJS / did2s 0.395 0.377 [-0.361, 1.151] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham 0.507 0.317 [-0.129, 1.142] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

REXER-T6-PB-OTHER-C5-HOLD

REXER-T6-PB-OTHER-C5-HOLD · S22-P082 · Data & fit details

546 observations · 56 units · 56 clusters · 3 treated / 53 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P082: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.173 0.070 [-0.313, -0.033] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE -0.137 0.064 [-0.266, -0.008] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.144 0.064 [-0.272, -0.017] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.136 0.036 [-0.209, -0.063] Treated cells
CS-DID (equal event-time) -0.166 0.059 [-0.281, -0.051] Equal post-event times
CS-DID (treated cells) -0.130 0.075 [-0.276, 0.017] Treated cells
SDID -0.152 — — Treated cells
Matrix completion -0.146 — — Treated cells
Horizontal ridge 0.077 — — Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study CS-DID event study SDID event study Matrix completion event study Horizontal ridge event study

REXER-T6-PB-OTHER-C6-HOLD

REXER-T6-PB-OTHER-C6-HOLD · S22-P083 · Data & fit details

546 observations · 56 units · 56 clusters · 3 treated / 53 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P083: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE -0.155 0.158 [-0.471, 0.161] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE -0.140 0.126 [-0.392, 0.112] Treated cells
BJS / did2s -0.133 0.167 [-0.468, 0.202] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham -0.100 0.098 [-0.297, 0.097] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

REXER-T6-PB-OTHER-C7-HOLD

REXER-T6-PB-OTHER-C7-HOLD · S22-P084 · Data & fit details

546 observations · 56 units · 56 clusters · 3 treated / 53 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P084: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE 0.257 0.245 [-0.234, 0.749] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE 0.210 0.198 [-0.187, 0.607] Treated cells
BJS / did2s 0.156 0.215 [-0.274, 0.586] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham 0.161 0.089 [-0.018, 0.340] Treated cells
CS-DID (equal event-time) 0.345 0.138 [0.075, 0.615] Equal post-event times
CS-DID (treated cells) 0.205 0.101 [0.007, 0.402] Treated cells
SDID 0.059 — — Treated cells
Matrix completion 0.088 — — Treated cells
Horizontal ridge -0.442 — — Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study CS-DID event study SDID event study Matrix completion event study Horizontal ridge event study

REXER-T6-PB-OTHER-C8-HOLD

REXER-T6-PB-OTHER-C8-HOLD · S22-P085 · Data & fit details

546 observations · 56 units · 56 clusters · 3 treated / 53 control units.

Estimate comparison

S22-P085: point estimates, targets and available 95% intervals
Estimator Estimate (SDs) SE 95% CI Averaging
Static TWFE 0.606 0.349 [-0.095, 1.306] Coefficient
Dynamic TWFE 0.401 0.272 [-0.144, 0.945] Treated cells
BJS / did2s 0.485 0.449 [-0.416, 1.385] Treated cells
Sun–Abraham 0.328 0.205 [-0.084, 0.739] Treated cells
Event studies

Periods −10 to +10; pointwise 95% intervals where available.

Dynamic TWFE event study BJS / did2s event study Sun–Abraham event study

NNPC revenue (millions of 2016 US dollars)

REXER-T7-C1 · Main-text Table 7 column 1 · Data & fit details

The archive supplies frozen estimates but not this specification’s input sample or required outcome/controls.

Royalty revenue (millions of 2016 US dollars)

REXER-T7-C2 · Main-text Table 7 column 2 · Data & fit details

The archive supplies frozen estimates but not this specification’s input sample or required outcome/controls.

Government revenue: NNPC plus royalty revenue (millions of 2016 US dollars)

REXER-T7-C3 · Main-text Table 7 column 3 · Data & fit details

The archive supplies frozen estimates but not this specification’s input sample or required outcome/controls.

Operator revenue (millions of 2016 US dollars)

REXER-T7-C4 · Main-text Table 7 column 4 · Data & fit details

The archive supplies frozen estimates but not this specification’s input sample or required outcome/controls.

Total oil-field revenue (millions of 2016 US dollars)

REXER-T7-C5 · Main-text Table 7 column 5 · Data & fit details

The archive supplies frozen estimates but not this specification’s input sample or required outcome/controls.