{ "study_id": 22, "specification_id": "S22-P049", "source_specification_id": "REXER-T1-PB-SPILLS-C1", "role": "active_comparison", "published_source_location": "Main-text Table 1 panel B column 1", "outcome_label": "Operational oil spills: count of non-sabotage spills within 15 km of the field", "outcome_variable": "", "treatment_label": "Local participation (DI+NNPC): binary indicator equal to one from the earliest observed year of indigenous Nigerian ownership or operatorship onward; explicitly recoded as absorbing", "unit_fixed_effects": "Oil-field fixed effects", "time_fixed_effects": "Calendar-year fixed effects", "allowed_adjustments": "", "published_weights": "", "published_clustering": "Oil field", "panel_structure": "Unbalanced oil-field-by-calendar-year panel, 2006-2016; 314 fields; published N=3183", "design": "panel", "descriptive_metadata_status": "recorded_source_fields", "title": "Corruption as a Local Advantage", "status": "ready", "reason": "", "config": "analyses/full-archive/configs/S22-P049.json", "input_bytes": 61893, "specification_type": "twfe_scalar", "run_status": "completed", "expanded_status": "processed", "expanded_reason": null, "regression_result": { "schema": "did-replication-v2", "config": { "outcomes": [ "y" ], "treatments": [ "d" ], "unit": "unit", "time": "time", "cluster": "cluster", "covariates": [], "baseline_by_time": [], "weight": null, "period_step": 1, "period_values": null, "display_window": [ -10, 10 ], "seed": 20261008, "panelview_max_units": 100, "test_mode": "classical", "test_horizon": null, "post_horizon": null, "post_weighting": "observations", "sample_query": null, "reversal_policy": "drop_post_untreated", "labels": {}, "allow_repeated_cells": true, "time_fe": null, "unit_fe": null, "frequency_weights": false, "source_sd": null, "require_never_control_periods": false, "latest_cohort_control": true, "slug": "s22-p049", "specification_id": "S22-P049", "source_specification_id": "REXER-T1-PB-SPILLS-C1", "study_id": 22, "study": "Corruption as a Local Advantage", "citation": "Rexer (2025), AER. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20220528", "description": "Operational oil spills: count of non-sabotage spills within 15 km of the field", "data": "analyses/full-archive/prepared/S22-P049.parquet", "output_dir": "analyses/full-archive/results/S22-P049" }, "source": { "file": "S22-P049.parquet", "bytes": 61893, "sha256": "b2382f612d6e02ea506df4b841a214e6751d83d410ac1cfe92622609f7746c36" }, "versions": { "pyfixest": "0.60.0", "polars": "2.0.0", "duckreg": "0.4.1", "numpy": "2.5.3", "pandas": "3.0.6" }, "specifications": { "y__d": { "sample": { "outcome": "y", "treatment": "d", "source_rows": 3183, "source_sd": 9.624386552239383, "rows": 2895, "units": 271, "clusters": 271, "treated_units": 56, "never_treated_units": 215, "treated_cohorts": 8, "latest_cohort_control_index": null, "unique_unit_period_cells": 2895, "unsupported_prediction_rows_removed": 0, "rows_without_never_control_time_fe_removed": 0, "initially_treated_units_removed": 38, "post_adoption_untreated_rows_removed": 0, "units_without_minus_one_removed": 0, "additional_rows_removed": 5 }, "estimates": [ { "method": "Static TWFE", "estimate": 0.16257441691578423, "se": 0.0807703804464623, "pvalue": 0.045128568531085426, "lower": 0.003554578603412323, "upper": 0.3215942552281561 }, { "method": "Dynamic TWFE", "estimate": 0.16671644718716244, "se": 0.05549270001198819, "pvalue": 0.0029119591446683754, "lower": 0.05746302861161795, "upper": 0.27596986576270693 }, { "method": "BJS / did2s", "estimate": 0.21781064923581012, "se": 0.0772891990360015, "pvalue": 0.005187678329954082, "lower": 0.06564452266736698, "upper": 0.36997677580425326 }, { "method": "Sun\u2013Abraham", "estimate": 0.17550353597810928, "se": 0.03983388672041021, "pvalue": 1.520808214473233e-05, "lower": 0.09707901710597597, "upper": 0.2539280548502426 } ], "event_studies": { "Dynamic TWFE": [ { "event_time": -10, "estimate": -0.3035411475020059, "se": 0.330734737786605, "pvalue": 0.35955406666629164, "lower": -0.9546880683955078, "upper": 0.347605773391496 }, { "event_time": -9, "estimate": 0.430555022395296, "se": 0.128744035317743, "pvalue": 0.0009418582365985373, "lower": 0.1770851790350808, "upper": 0.6840248657555112 }, { "event_time": -8, "estimate": 0.2779686416321219, "se": 0.20663785131282167, "pvalue": 0.17969031506316527, "lower": -0.12885769152798238, "upper": 0.6847949747922262 }, { "event_time": -7, "estimate": -0.058459650573631144, "se": 0.2061673040818557, "pvalue": 0.7769691729506416, "lower": -0.46435957551115514, "upper": 0.3474402743638929 }, { "event_time": -6, "estimate": 0.011855151945298967, "se": 0.144888375620991, "pvalue": 0.9348483604519605, "lower": -0.2733994913687074, "upper": 0.2971097952593053 }, { "event_time": -5, "estimate": -0.07681163831806954, "se": 0.12701889318410198, "pvalue": 0.5458688696331486, "lower": -0.32688504078446856, "upper": 0.1732617641483295 }, { "event_time": -4, "estimate": -0.04472221545178392, "se": 0.12043700443366212, "pvalue": 0.7106808510789306, "lower": -0.2818372676033825, "upper": 0.19239283669981466 }, { "event_time": -3, "estimate": 0.03322052420813614, "se": 0.1297250670136084, "pvalue": 0.79808091480694, "lower": -0.2221807635849703, "upper": 0.2886218120012426 }, { "event_time": -2, "estimate": -0.15492118212442912, "se": 0.06732601893639302, "pvalue": 0.022150295155387845, "lower": -0.2874719090902055, "upper": -0.02237045515865277 }, { "event_time": 0, "estimate": 0.1165528466635646, "se": 0.06990128406075162, "pvalue": 0.09659588175934855, "lower": -0.02106803400736164, "upper": 0.25417372733449084 }, { "event_time": 1, "estimate": 0.04435294445513194, "se": 0.06153583810739247, "pvalue": 0.47167703055122334, "lower": -0.07679813806007293, "upper": 0.1655040269703368 }, { "event_time": 2, "estimate": 0.0497800085180519, "se": 0.06886434011939242, "pvalue": 0.4703850705014309, "lower": -0.0857993483048688, "upper": 0.18535936534097258 }, { "event_time": 3, "estimate": 0.23335451174145874, "se": 0.06857277536392234, "pvalue": 0.0007675236605408541, "lower": 0.09834918440826135, "upper": 0.36835983907465614 }, { "event_time": 4, "estimate": 0.3304215714009518, "se": 0.07754542129076396, "pvalue": 2.8140849181650533e-05, "lower": 0.1777509972701827, "upper": 0.48309214553172086 }, { "event_time": 5, "estimate": 0.4299712857019464, "se": 0.08485140096203753, "pvalue": 7.492203335929776e-07, "lower": 0.2629167790006296, "upper": 0.5970257924032633 }, { "event_time": 6, "estimate": 0.718932422476112, "se": 0.14987956365874303, "pvalue": 2.6701598543075493e-06, "lower": 0.423851182947469, "upper": 1.014013662004755 }, { "event_time": 7, "estimate": 0.7101573805176554, "se": 0.07299088223370437, "pvalue": 2.255756257515471e-19, "lower": 0.5664537328819406, "upper": 0.8538610281533703 } ], "BJS / did2s": [ { "event_time": -10, "estimate": -0.40372889960826935, "se": 0.31242157685649086, "pvalue": 0.19737312736200552, "lower": -1.0188210703074785, "upper": 0.21136327109093972 }, { "event_time": -9, "estimate": 0.33211684151323123, "se": 0.07482507224428561, "pvalue": 1.3206877981278758e-05, "lower": 0.184802060720726, "upper": 0.47943162230573644 }, { "event_time": -8, "estimate": 0.19936918677724608, "se": 0.12634808500149827, "pvalue": 0.11575117710967983, "lower": -0.04938353590348618, "upper": 0.44812190945797836 }, { "event_time": -7, "estimate": -0.1091181414643692, "se": 0.11868236426592295, "pvalue": 0.35870010310941486, "lower": -0.3427786773164535, "upper": 0.1245423943877151 }, { "event_time": -6, "estimate": -0.038873357622890306, "se": 0.07262018053153815, "pvalue": 0.5928851796034447, "lower": -0.181847171817005, "upper": 0.10410045657122437 }, { "event_time": -5, "estimate": -0.0772718579684308, "se": 0.06445064312407559, "pvalue": 0.23160604883832517, "lower": -0.20416157660126882, "upper": 0.04961786066440722 }, { "event_time": -4, "estimate": -0.019597088215186395, "se": 0.061975072158399244, "pvalue": 0.7520880364201998, "lower": -0.1416129299080292, "upper": 0.1024187534776564 }, { "event_time": -3, "estimate": 0.05158037689018956, "se": 0.06552234058513941, "pvalue": 0.4318446354788299, "lower": -0.07741928793871856, "upper": 0.1805800417190977 }, { "event_time": -2, "estimate": -0.13595337505746213, "se": 0.06283775369747018, "pvalue": 0.031375254210730744, "lower": -0.25966765469376685, "upper": -0.012239095421157406 }, { "event_time": -1, "estimate": 0.029819033832452543, "se": 0.07603320319667836, "pvalue": 0.6952313869134524, "lower": -0.11987430191606172, "upper": 0.1795123695809668 }, { "event_time": 0, "estimate": 0.13405614211051248, "se": 0.08391713792368642, "pvalue": 0.1113278794607599, "lower": -0.03115899777739317, "upper": 0.2992712819984181 }, { "event_time": 1, "estimate": 0.06567563609483866, "se": 0.07766513244248678, "pvalue": 0.398510321594521, "lower": -0.08723062403723349, "upper": 0.21858189622691082 }, { "event_time": 2, "estimate": 0.12846174452986833, "se": 0.0984183400824886, "pvalue": 0.19291477254910616, "lower": -0.06530320297168637, "upper": 0.32222669203142307 }, { "event_time": 3, "estimate": 0.3043569640257046, "se": 0.1021598292696744, "pvalue": 0.0031527509989862207, "lower": 0.1032258136871069, "upper": 0.5054881143643023 }, { "event_time": 4, "estimate": 0.395965541243322, "se": 0.11323810912611412, "pvalue": 0.0005504626187902195, "lower": 0.1730235951425581, "upper": 0.6189074873440858 }, { "event_time": 5, "estimate": 0.5795977994868464, "se": 0.08639222355968994, "pvalue": 1.1473037299582465e-10, "lower": 0.4095097381706774, "upper": 0.7496858608030155 }, { "event_time": 6, "estimate": 0.8005179110462973, "se": 0.19859331176357392, "pvalue": 7.231499790800207e-05, "lower": 0.40952957903646353, "upper": 1.1915062430561312 }, { "event_time": 7, "estimate": 0.6829212070923472, "se": 0.060014563491096816, "pvalue": 9.086573734862701e-25, "lower": 0.5647651933409004, "upper": 0.801077220843794 } ], "Sun\u2013Abraham": [ { "event_time": -10, "estimate": 0.5196936494855123, "se": 0.0730530268535849, "pvalue": 1.0143357712092474e-11, "lower": 0.37586765220441065, "upper": 0.663519646766614 }, { "event_time": -9, "estimate": 0.39124539556955173, "se": 0.1417599296015987, "pvalue": 0.0061774401454631435, "lower": 0.11215000243392609, "upper": 0.6703407887051773 }, { "event_time": -8, "estimate": 0.21106915219620231, "se": 0.2300035536721398, "pvalue": 0.359606577241308, "lower": -0.2417593192563745, "upper": 0.6638976236487791 }, { "event_time": -7, "estimate": -0.16578142787603303, "se": 0.23842986234003488, "pvalue": 0.48746227794810637, "lower": -0.6351995233285486, "upper": 0.30363666757648256 }, { "event_time": -6, "estimate": -0.02370749899038388, "se": 0.15733936021886213, "pvalue": 0.8803426422101926, "lower": -0.3334755040917064, "upper": 0.28606050611093864 }, { "event_time": -5, "estimate": -0.10161247767254407, "se": 0.11846889922381232, "pvalue": 0.39181091098644366, "lower": -0.33485274589317554, "upper": 0.13162779054808743 }, { "event_time": -4, "estimate": -0.05089226204659268, "se": 0.11012515165040132, "pvalue": 0.6443594377691602, "lower": -0.2677054516437363, "upper": 0.16592092755055093 }, { "event_time": -3, "estimate": 0.01960897617334724, "se": 0.1176411606198943, "pvalue": 0.8677429405646447, "lower": -0.212001649370942, "upper": 0.2512196017176365 }, { "event_time": -2, "estimate": -0.17897365279295874, "se": 0.06687412905919478, "pvalue": 0.007899794540321014, "lower": -0.31063470392942916, "upper": -0.04731260165648829 }, { "event_time": 0, "estimate": 0.11170917005638373, "se": 0.05784763054645293, "pvalue": 0.0545182660014302, "lower": -0.002180609902597247, "upper": 0.2255989500153647 }, { "event_time": 1, "estimate": 0.007251861853817244, "se": 0.05656094773639403, "pvalue": 0.8980756754243596, "lower": -0.10410471111413691, "upper": 0.11860843482177139 }, { "event_time": 2, "estimate": 0.08418633023747882, "se": 0.052471038924803565, "pvalue": 0.10978740461707208, "lower": -0.0191180751619128, "upper": 0.18749073563687044 }, { "event_time": 3, "estimate": 0.25650941670491934, "se": 0.053383840153412444, "pvalue": 2.5705198626015205e-06, "lower": 0.1514078982675257, "upper": 0.36161093514231296 }, { "event_time": 4, "estimate": 0.3558144977946808, "se": 0.04975147176998273, "pvalue": 8.044381444261798e-12, "lower": 0.2578643463538415, "upper": 0.45376464923552007 }, { "event_time": 5, "estimate": 0.4802715051615648, "se": 0.06511154955231284, "pvalue": 2.0083738211873533e-12, "lower": 0.3520806012083536, "upper": 0.608462409114776 }, { "event_time": 6, "estimate": 0.9004454975936054, "se": 0.14664582224801329, "pvalue": 2.932896504930232e-09, "lower": 0.6117308126538579, "upper": 1.1891601825333529 }, { "event_time": 7, "estimate": 1.045421307740025, "se": 0.1207852389801106, "pvalue": 4.521040406274086e-16, "lower": 0.8076206552363552, "upper": 1.2832219602436947 } ] }, "target": { "event_times": [ 0.0, 1.0, 2.0, 3.0, 4.0, 5.0, 6.0, 7.0 ], "weights": [ 0.25339366515837103, 0.24434389140271492, 0.14479638009049775, 0.13574660633484162, 0.13122171945701358, 0.07239819004524888, 0.013574660633484163, 0.004524886877828055 ], "weighting": "observations" }, "checks": { "did2s_vs_direct_imputation_max_post_difference": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "package_aggregate_vs_estimable_cell_weights": 5.551115123125783e-17, "saturated_vs_deviations_relative_rss_difference": 5.4937673277844035e-16 }, "inference": { "standard_errors": "Cluster-robust; did2s uses two-stage covariance", "confidence_intervals": "Pointwise t, clusters minus one degrees of freedom" }, "f_test": { "F": 0.20447382674239223, "df_num": 21, "df_den": 2534, "pvalue": 0.9999624123905335, "log10_pvalue": -1.6324398178714618e-05, "inference": "Homoskedastic nested-model F", "observations": 2895, "design_columns": 80, "restricted_design_columns": 59, "fixed_effect_rank": 281, "covariance_rank": 21, "rss_unrestricted": 1241.62707597737, "rss_restricted": 1243.7310558636577, "test_horizon": null, "reference_cohort": 4, "pyfixest": "0.27.0", "formulaic": "1.0.2", "design_head": { "index": [ 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 ], "columns": [ "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.-10.0]", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.-9.0]", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.-8.0]", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.-7.0]", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.-6.0]", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.-5.0]" ], "data": [ [ -0.007102272727272724, -0.07741477272727278, 0.0014204545454545336, 0.005681818181818184, -0.029474431818181795, -0.02911931818181818 ], [ 0.0007102272726244227, 0.0007647330866539602, -0.07611103770263562, 0.0017573995771377996, 0.009536590468599053, -0.02499504492605062 ], [ 0.0007102272726244227, 0.008516671071150082, 0.0014083421423255948, -0.07576198026782341, 0.005660621476351029, 0.013764644996430079 ], [ 0.0007102272726244227, 0.008516671071150082, 0.009160280126821723, 0.0017573995771377965, -0.07185875836861025, 0.009888676004182025 ], [ 0.0007102272717775185, 0.008516671070929346, 0.009160280126589766, 0.009509337561393404, 0.0057369952492610015, -0.06680332129765942 ] ] }, "formula": "y~i(rel_time,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_5,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_6,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_7,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_8,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_9,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_10,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_11,ref=-1.0)|unit_fe+time_fe", "restriction_names": [ "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.1.0]:cohort_dummy_5", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.2.0]:cohort_dummy_5", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.3.0]:cohort_dummy_5", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.4.0]:cohort_dummy_5", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.5.0]:cohort_dummy_5", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.6.0]:cohort_dummy_5", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.1.0]:cohort_dummy_6", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.2.0]:cohort_dummy_6", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.3.0]:cohort_dummy_6", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.4.0]:cohort_dummy_6", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.5.0]:cohort_dummy_6", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.1.0]:cohort_dummy_7", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.2.0]:cohort_dummy_7", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.3.0]:cohort_dummy_7", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.4.0]:cohort_dummy_7", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.1.0]:cohort_dummy_8", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.2.0]:cohort_dummy_8", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.3.0]:cohort_dummy_8", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.1.0]:cohort_dummy_9", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.2.0]:cohort_dummy_9", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.1.0]:cohort_dummy_10" ], "deviations": [ { "event_time": -4.0, "cohort": 5, "estimate": -1.398241398804244 }, { "event_time": -3.0, "cohort": 5, "estimate": -0.9559976624101815 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 5, "estimate": -0.6600879071083896 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 5, "estimate": -0.32866008147786785 }, { "event_time": 1.0, "cohort": 5, "estimate": -0.13824521769007936 }, { "event_time": 2.0, "cohort": 5, "estimate": -0.2431567081403488 }, { "event_time": 3.0, "cohort": 5, "estimate": -0.27812602096135075 }, { "event_time": 4.0, "cohort": 5, "estimate": 0.00931853363916374 }, { "event_time": 5.0, "cohort": 5, "estimate": 0.007902761150926918 }, { "event_time": 6.0, "cohort": 5, "estimate": 0.10946742068473911 }, { "event_time": -5.0, "cohort": 6, "estimate": -0.9540738074216111 }, { "event_time": -4.0, "cohort": 6, "estimate": -2.1414704819461075 }, { "event_time": -3.0, "cohort": 6, "estimate": -1.3513656271907901 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 6, "estimate": -0.35140911911483763 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 6, "estimate": 0.305339497663761 }, { "event_time": 1.0, "cohort": 6, "estimate": -0.2685398139841224 }, { "event_time": 2.0, "cohort": 6, "estimate": -0.6082335520995102 }, { "event_time": 3.0, "cohort": 6, "estimate": -0.37573960380441473 }, { "event_time": 4.0, "cohort": 6, "estimate": -0.10969211517653596 }, { "event_time": 5.0, "cohort": 6, "estimate": -0.22134493906569866 }, { "event_time": -6.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": -0.4734400833190887 }, { "event_time": -5.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": -1.0408814151162953 }, { "event_time": -4.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": -2.0481690124872802 }, { "event_time": -3.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": -0.6877104231807576 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": -0.32980025759580534 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": -0.33507065816858345 }, { "event_time": 1.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": -0.7201287956121208 }, { "event_time": 2.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": -0.48864361164839165 }, { "event_time": 3.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": -0.4733634054731343 }, { "event_time": 4.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": 0.04211031447317665 }, { "event_time": -7.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": -0.5150682267934313 }, { "event_time": -6.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": -1.4541139860824617 }, { "event_time": -5.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": -2.0279080385602732 }, { "event_time": -4.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": -2.3042649610144563 }, { "event_time": -3.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": -1.1307809175690717 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": -0.2091257467301327 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": -0.5378828362586207 }, { "event_time": 1.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": -0.19990422114154338 }, { "event_time": 2.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": -0.6252212359546504 }, { "event_time": 3.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": -0.48040255936741516 }, { "event_time": -8.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": -0.28889356889140605 }, { "event_time": -7.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": -0.46562078540975205 }, { "event_time": -6.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": -1.0048540632780796 }, { "event_time": -5.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": -1.3861224761825126 }, { "event_time": -4.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": -1.9911394801146707 }, { "event_time": -3.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": -0.36748375758432894 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": -0.0702537077901711 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": 0.11322125975812414 }, { "event_time": 1.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": -0.4853404326833459 }, { "event_time": 2.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": -0.341530520427486 }, { "event_time": -9.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": -0.6890974919672058 }, { "event_time": -8.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": -0.2813024203726431 }, { "event_time": -7.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": -0.7855362383027552 }, { "event_time": -6.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": -1.0755696623511364 }, { "event_time": -5.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": -1.6107526628062505 }, { "event_time": -4.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": -1.7703208388405318 }, { "event_time": -3.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": -0.8797158146611423 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": -0.59856367293912 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": -0.5918993396264862 }, { "event_time": 1.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": -0.588274146688415 }, { "event_time": -3.0, "cohort": 11, "estimate": 0.9123099256051085 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 11, "estimate": 0.16323114069217048 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 11, "estimate": 0.00556469456584141 } ] } } }, "code_sha256": { "replication_engine.py": "b42dd52795225c55faa7af833b12a94304ddde96f066412b80dea4620c4bcc24", "reference_f_test.py": "9cf8f31eeda89784ac1750ea22c35401ae46e24e06279acf938d2d103b78cccf", "sparse_did2s.py": "75169d7fbba6e1bad163e564ac9b5b1262a04033eda925dc379dc3eef64c59fa", "frequency.py": "8f922ae4be2b63ad9b89515d8e665cda4e11a354258b54ef3b820648243642eb", "sparse_models.py": "538c06b81a46a104838d662d6e6489d0d2daa7f680fd234049f28c97c87ef555" } }, "comparison": { "schema": "expensive-replication-v1", "config": { "outcomes": [ "y" ], "treatments": [ "d" ], "unit": "unit", "time": "time", "cluster": "cluster", "covariates": [], "baseline_by_time": [], "weight": null, "period_step": 1, "period_values": null, "display_window": [ -10, 10 ], "seed": 20261008, "panelview_max_units": 100, "test_mode": "classical", "test_horizon": null, "post_horizon": null, "post_weighting": "observations", "sample_query": null, "reversal_policy": "drop_post_untreated", "labels": {}, "allow_repeated_cells": true, "time_fe": null, "unit_fe": null, "frequency_weights": false, "source_sd": null, "require_never_control_periods": false, "latest_cohort_control": true, "slug": "s22-p049", "specification_id": "S22-P049", "source_specification_id": "REXER-T1-PB-SPILLS-C1", "study_id": 22, "study": "Corruption as a Local Advantage", "citation": "Rexer (2025), AER. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20220528", "description": "Operational oil spills: count of non-sabotage spills within 15 km of the field", "data": "analyses/full-archive/prepared/S22-P049.parquet", "output_dir": "analyses/archive-expanded/fits/S22-P049" }, "options": { "output_dir": "analyses/archive-expanded/fits/S22-P049", "regression_results": "analyses/archive-expanded/baselines/S22-P049.json", "display_window": [ -10, 10 ], "timeout_seconds": 3600 }, "source": { "file": "S22-P049.parquet", "bytes": 61893, "sha256": "b2382f612d6e02ea506df4b841a214e6751d83d410ac1cfe92622609f7746c36" }, "regressions": { "y__d": { "sample": { "outcome": "y", "treatment": "d", "source_rows": 3183, "source_sd": 9.624386552239383, "rows": 2895, "units": 271, "clusters": 271, "treated_units": 56, "never_treated_units": 215, "treated_cohorts": 8, "latest_cohort_control_index": null, "unique_unit_period_cells": 2895, "unsupported_prediction_rows_removed": 0, "rows_without_never_control_time_fe_removed": 0, "initially_treated_units_removed": 38, "post_adoption_untreated_rows_removed": 0, "units_without_minus_one_removed": 0, "additional_rows_removed": 5 }, "estimates": [ { "method": "Static TWFE", "estimate": 0.16257441691578423, "se": 0.0807703804464623, "pvalue": 0.045128568531085426, "lower": 0.003554578603412323, "upper": 0.3215942552281561 }, { "method": "Dynamic TWFE", "estimate": 0.16671644718716244, "se": 0.05549270001198819, "pvalue": 0.0029119591446683754, "lower": 0.05746302861161795, "upper": 0.27596986576270693 }, { "method": "BJS / did2s", "estimate": 0.21781064923581012, "se": 0.0772891990360015, "pvalue": 0.005187678329954082, "lower": 0.06564452266736698, "upper": 0.36997677580425326 }, { "method": "Sun\u2013Abraham", "estimate": 0.17550353597810928, "se": 0.03983388672041021, "pvalue": 1.520808214473233e-05, "lower": 0.09707901710597597, "upper": 0.2539280548502426 } ], "event_studies": { "Dynamic TWFE": [ { "event_time": -10, "estimate": -0.3035411475020059, "se": 0.330734737786605, "pvalue": 0.35955406666629164, "lower": -0.9546880683955078, "upper": 0.347605773391496 }, { "event_time": -9, "estimate": 0.430555022395296, "se": 0.128744035317743, "pvalue": 0.0009418582365985373, "lower": 0.1770851790350808, "upper": 0.6840248657555112 }, { "event_time": -8, "estimate": 0.2779686416321219, "se": 0.20663785131282167, "pvalue": 0.17969031506316527, "lower": -0.12885769152798238, "upper": 0.6847949747922262 }, { "event_time": -7, "estimate": -0.058459650573631144, "se": 0.2061673040818557, "pvalue": 0.7769691729506416, "lower": -0.46435957551115514, "upper": 0.3474402743638929 }, { "event_time": -6, "estimate": 0.011855151945298967, "se": 0.144888375620991, "pvalue": 0.9348483604519605, "lower": -0.2733994913687074, "upper": 0.2971097952593053 }, { "event_time": -5, "estimate": -0.07681163831806954, "se": 0.12701889318410198, "pvalue": 0.5458688696331486, "lower": -0.32688504078446856, "upper": 0.1732617641483295 }, { "event_time": -4, "estimate": -0.04472221545178392, "se": 0.12043700443366212, "pvalue": 0.7106808510789306, "lower": -0.2818372676033825, "upper": 0.19239283669981466 }, { "event_time": -3, "estimate": 0.03322052420813614, "se": 0.1297250670136084, "pvalue": 0.79808091480694, "lower": -0.2221807635849703, "upper": 0.2886218120012426 }, { "event_time": -2, "estimate": -0.15492118212442912, "se": 0.06732601893639302, "pvalue": 0.022150295155387845, "lower": -0.2874719090902055, "upper": -0.02237045515865277 }, { "event_time": 0, "estimate": 0.1165528466635646, "se": 0.06990128406075162, "pvalue": 0.09659588175934855, "lower": -0.02106803400736164, "upper": 0.25417372733449084 }, { "event_time": 1, "estimate": 0.04435294445513194, "se": 0.06153583810739247, "pvalue": 0.47167703055122334, "lower": -0.07679813806007293, "upper": 0.1655040269703368 }, { "event_time": 2, "estimate": 0.0497800085180519, "se": 0.06886434011939242, "pvalue": 0.4703850705014309, "lower": -0.0857993483048688, "upper": 0.18535936534097258 }, { "event_time": 3, "estimate": 0.23335451174145874, "se": 0.06857277536392234, "pvalue": 0.0007675236605408541, "lower": 0.09834918440826135, "upper": 0.36835983907465614 }, { "event_time": 4, "estimate": 0.3304215714009518, "se": 0.07754542129076396, "pvalue": 2.8140849181650533e-05, "lower": 0.1777509972701827, "upper": 0.48309214553172086 }, { "event_time": 5, "estimate": 0.4299712857019464, "se": 0.08485140096203753, "pvalue": 7.492203335929776e-07, "lower": 0.2629167790006296, "upper": 0.5970257924032633 }, { "event_time": 6, "estimate": 0.718932422476112, "se": 0.14987956365874303, "pvalue": 2.6701598543075493e-06, "lower": 0.423851182947469, "upper": 1.014013662004755 }, { "event_time": 7, "estimate": 0.7101573805176554, "se": 0.07299088223370437, "pvalue": 2.255756257515471e-19, "lower": 0.5664537328819406, "upper": 0.8538610281533703 } ], "BJS / did2s": [ { "event_time": -10, "estimate": -0.40372889960826935, "se": 0.31242157685649086, "pvalue": 0.19737312736200552, "lower": -1.0188210703074785, "upper": 0.21136327109093972 }, { "event_time": -9, "estimate": 0.33211684151323123, "se": 0.07482507224428561, "pvalue": 1.3206877981278758e-05, "lower": 0.184802060720726, "upper": 0.47943162230573644 }, { "event_time": -8, "estimate": 0.19936918677724608, "se": 0.12634808500149827, "pvalue": 0.11575117710967983, "lower": -0.04938353590348618, "upper": 0.44812190945797836 }, { "event_time": -7, "estimate": -0.1091181414643692, "se": 0.11868236426592295, "pvalue": 0.35870010310941486, "lower": -0.3427786773164535, "upper": 0.1245423943877151 }, { "event_time": -6, "estimate": -0.038873357622890306, "se": 0.07262018053153815, "pvalue": 0.5928851796034447, "lower": -0.181847171817005, "upper": 0.10410045657122437 }, { "event_time": -5, "estimate": -0.0772718579684308, "se": 0.06445064312407559, "pvalue": 0.23160604883832517, "lower": -0.20416157660126882, "upper": 0.04961786066440722 }, { "event_time": -4, "estimate": -0.019597088215186395, "se": 0.061975072158399244, "pvalue": 0.7520880364201998, "lower": -0.1416129299080292, "upper": 0.1024187534776564 }, { "event_time": -3, "estimate": 0.05158037689018956, "se": 0.06552234058513941, "pvalue": 0.4318446354788299, "lower": -0.07741928793871856, "upper": 0.1805800417190977 }, { "event_time": -2, "estimate": -0.13595337505746213, "se": 0.06283775369747018, "pvalue": 0.031375254210730744, "lower": -0.25966765469376685, "upper": -0.012239095421157406 }, { "event_time": -1, "estimate": 0.029819033832452543, "se": 0.07603320319667836, "pvalue": 0.6952313869134524, "lower": -0.11987430191606172, "upper": 0.1795123695809668 }, { "event_time": 0, "estimate": 0.13405614211051248, "se": 0.08391713792368642, "pvalue": 0.1113278794607599, "lower": -0.03115899777739317, "upper": 0.2992712819984181 }, { "event_time": 1, "estimate": 0.06567563609483866, "se": 0.07766513244248678, "pvalue": 0.398510321594521, "lower": -0.08723062403723349, "upper": 0.21858189622691082 }, { "event_time": 2, "estimate": 0.12846174452986833, "se": 0.0984183400824886, "pvalue": 0.19291477254910616, "lower": -0.06530320297168637, "upper": 0.32222669203142307 }, { "event_time": 3, "estimate": 0.3043569640257046, "se": 0.1021598292696744, "pvalue": 0.0031527509989862207, "lower": 0.1032258136871069, "upper": 0.5054881143643023 }, { "event_time": 4, "estimate": 0.395965541243322, "se": 0.11323810912611412, "pvalue": 0.0005504626187902195, "lower": 0.1730235951425581, "upper": 0.6189074873440858 }, { "event_time": 5, "estimate": 0.5795977994868464, "se": 0.08639222355968994, "pvalue": 1.1473037299582465e-10, "lower": 0.4095097381706774, "upper": 0.7496858608030155 }, { "event_time": 6, "estimate": 0.8005179110462973, "se": 0.19859331176357392, "pvalue": 7.231499790800207e-05, "lower": 0.40952957903646353, "upper": 1.1915062430561312 }, { "event_time": 7, "estimate": 0.6829212070923472, "se": 0.060014563491096816, "pvalue": 9.086573734862701e-25, "lower": 0.5647651933409004, "upper": 0.801077220843794 } ], "Sun\u2013Abraham": [ { "event_time": -10, "estimate": 0.5196936494855123, "se": 0.0730530268535849, "pvalue": 1.0143357712092474e-11, "lower": 0.37586765220441065, "upper": 0.663519646766614 }, { "event_time": -9, "estimate": 0.39124539556955173, "se": 0.1417599296015987, "pvalue": 0.0061774401454631435, "lower": 0.11215000243392609, "upper": 0.6703407887051773 }, { "event_time": -8, "estimate": 0.21106915219620231, "se": 0.2300035536721398, "pvalue": 0.359606577241308, "lower": -0.2417593192563745, "upper": 0.6638976236487791 }, { "event_time": -7, "estimate": -0.16578142787603303, "se": 0.23842986234003488, "pvalue": 0.48746227794810637, "lower": -0.6351995233285486, "upper": 0.30363666757648256 }, { "event_time": -6, "estimate": -0.02370749899038388, "se": 0.15733936021886213, "pvalue": 0.8803426422101926, "lower": -0.3334755040917064, "upper": 0.28606050611093864 }, { "event_time": -5, "estimate": -0.10161247767254407, "se": 0.11846889922381232, "pvalue": 0.39181091098644366, "lower": -0.33485274589317554, "upper": 0.13162779054808743 }, { "event_time": -4, "estimate": -0.05089226204659268, "se": 0.11012515165040132, "pvalue": 0.6443594377691602, "lower": -0.2677054516437363, "upper": 0.16592092755055093 }, { "event_time": -3, "estimate": 0.01960897617334724, "se": 0.1176411606198943, "pvalue": 0.8677429405646447, "lower": -0.212001649370942, "upper": 0.2512196017176365 }, { "event_time": -2, "estimate": -0.17897365279295874, "se": 0.06687412905919478, "pvalue": 0.007899794540321014, "lower": -0.31063470392942916, "upper": -0.04731260165648829 }, { "event_time": 0, "estimate": 0.11170917005638373, "se": 0.05784763054645293, "pvalue": 0.0545182660014302, "lower": -0.002180609902597247, "upper": 0.2255989500153647 }, { "event_time": 1, "estimate": 0.007251861853817244, "se": 0.05656094773639403, "pvalue": 0.8980756754243596, "lower": -0.10410471111413691, "upper": 0.11860843482177139 }, { "event_time": 2, "estimate": 0.08418633023747882, "se": 0.052471038924803565, "pvalue": 0.10978740461707208, "lower": -0.0191180751619128, "upper": 0.18749073563687044 }, { "event_time": 3, "estimate": 0.25650941670491934, "se": 0.053383840153412444, "pvalue": 2.5705198626015205e-06, "lower": 0.1514078982675257, "upper": 0.36161093514231296 }, { "event_time": 4, "estimate": 0.3558144977946808, "se": 0.04975147176998273, "pvalue": 8.044381444261798e-12, "lower": 0.2578643463538415, "upper": 0.45376464923552007 }, { "event_time": 5, "estimate": 0.4802715051615648, "se": 0.06511154955231284, "pvalue": 2.0083738211873533e-12, "lower": 0.3520806012083536, "upper": 0.608462409114776 }, { "event_time": 6, "estimate": 0.9004454975936054, "se": 0.14664582224801329, "pvalue": 2.932896504930232e-09, "lower": 0.6117308126538579, "upper": 1.1891601825333529 }, { "event_time": 7, "estimate": 1.045421307740025, "se": 0.1207852389801106, "pvalue": 4.521040406274086e-16, "lower": 0.8076206552363552, "upper": 1.2832219602436947 } ] }, "target": { "event_times": [ 0.0, 1.0, 2.0, 3.0, 4.0, 5.0, 6.0, 7.0 ], "weights": [ 0.25339366515837103, 0.24434389140271492, 0.14479638009049775, 0.13574660633484162, 0.13122171945701358, 0.07239819004524888, 0.013574660633484163, 0.004524886877828055 ], "weighting": "observations" }, "checks": { "did2s_vs_direct_imputation_max_post_difference": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "package_aggregate_vs_estimable_cell_weights": 5.551115123125783e-17, "saturated_vs_deviations_relative_rss_difference": 5.4937673277844035e-16 }, "inference": { "standard_errors": "Cluster-robust; did2s uses two-stage covariance", "confidence_intervals": "Pointwise t, clusters minus one degrees of freedom" }, "f_test": { "F": 0.20447382674239223, "df_num": 21, "df_den": 2534, "pvalue": 0.9999624123905335, "log10_pvalue": -1.6324398178714618e-05, "inference": "Homoskedastic nested-model F", "observations": 2895, "design_columns": 80, "restricted_design_columns": 59, "fixed_effect_rank": 281, "covariance_rank": 21, "rss_unrestricted": 1241.62707597737, "rss_restricted": 1243.7310558636577, "test_horizon": null, "reference_cohort": 4, "pyfixest": "0.27.0", "formulaic": "1.0.2", "design_head": { "index": [ 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 ], "columns": [ "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.-10.0]", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.-9.0]", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.-8.0]", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.-7.0]", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.-6.0]", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.-5.0]" ], "data": [ [ -0.007102272727272724, -0.07741477272727278, 0.0014204545454545336, 0.005681818181818184, -0.029474431818181795, -0.02911931818181818 ], [ 0.0007102272726244227, 0.0007647330866539602, -0.07611103770263562, 0.0017573995771377996, 0.009536590468599053, -0.02499504492605062 ], [ 0.0007102272726244227, 0.008516671071150082, 0.0014083421423255948, -0.07576198026782341, 0.005660621476351029, 0.013764644996430079 ], [ 0.0007102272726244227, 0.008516671071150082, 0.009160280126821723, 0.0017573995771377965, -0.07185875836861025, 0.009888676004182025 ], [ 0.0007102272717775185, 0.008516671070929346, 0.009160280126589766, 0.009509337561393404, 0.0057369952492610015, -0.06680332129765942 ] ] }, "formula": "y~i(rel_time,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_5,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_6,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_7,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_8,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_9,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_10,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_11,ref=-1.0)|unit_fe+time_fe", "restriction_names": [ "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.1.0]:cohort_dummy_5", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.2.0]:cohort_dummy_5", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.3.0]:cohort_dummy_5", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.4.0]:cohort_dummy_5", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.5.0]:cohort_dummy_5", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.6.0]:cohort_dummy_5", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.1.0]:cohort_dummy_6", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.2.0]:cohort_dummy_6", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.3.0]:cohort_dummy_6", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.4.0]:cohort_dummy_6", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.5.0]:cohort_dummy_6", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.1.0]:cohort_dummy_7", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.2.0]:cohort_dummy_7", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.3.0]:cohort_dummy_7", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.4.0]:cohort_dummy_7", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.1.0]:cohort_dummy_8", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.2.0]:cohort_dummy_8", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.3.0]:cohort_dummy_8", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.1.0]:cohort_dummy_9", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.2.0]:cohort_dummy_9", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.1.0]:cohort_dummy_10" ], "deviations": [ { "event_time": -4.0, "cohort": 5, "estimate": -1.398241398804244 }, { "event_time": -3.0, "cohort": 5, "estimate": -0.9559976624101815 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 5, "estimate": -0.6600879071083896 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 5, "estimate": -0.32866008147786785 }, { "event_time": 1.0, "cohort": 5, "estimate": -0.13824521769007936 }, { "event_time": 2.0, "cohort": 5, "estimate": -0.2431567081403488 }, { "event_time": 3.0, "cohort": 5, "estimate": -0.27812602096135075 }, { "event_time": 4.0, "cohort": 5, "estimate": 0.00931853363916374 }, { "event_time": 5.0, "cohort": 5, "estimate": 0.007902761150926918 }, { "event_time": 6.0, "cohort": 5, "estimate": 0.10946742068473911 }, { "event_time": -5.0, "cohort": 6, "estimate": -0.9540738074216111 }, { "event_time": -4.0, "cohort": 6, "estimate": -2.1414704819461075 }, { "event_time": -3.0, "cohort": 6, "estimate": -1.3513656271907901 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 6, "estimate": -0.35140911911483763 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 6, "estimate": 0.305339497663761 }, { "event_time": 1.0, "cohort": 6, "estimate": -0.2685398139841224 }, { "event_time": 2.0, "cohort": 6, "estimate": -0.6082335520995102 }, { "event_time": 3.0, "cohort": 6, "estimate": -0.37573960380441473 }, { "event_time": 4.0, "cohort": 6, "estimate": -0.10969211517653596 }, { "event_time": 5.0, "cohort": 6, "estimate": -0.22134493906569866 }, { "event_time": -6.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": -0.4734400833190887 }, { "event_time": -5.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": -1.0408814151162953 }, { "event_time": -4.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": -2.0481690124872802 }, { "event_time": -3.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": -0.6877104231807576 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": -0.32980025759580534 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": -0.33507065816858345 }, { "event_time": 1.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": -0.7201287956121208 }, { "event_time": 2.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": -0.48864361164839165 }, { "event_time": 3.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": -0.4733634054731343 }, { "event_time": 4.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": 0.04211031447317665 }, { "event_time": -7.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": -0.5150682267934313 }, { "event_time": -6.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": -1.4541139860824617 }, { "event_time": -5.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": -2.0279080385602732 }, { "event_time": -4.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": -2.3042649610144563 }, { "event_time": -3.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": -1.1307809175690717 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": -0.2091257467301327 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": -0.5378828362586207 }, { "event_time": 1.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": -0.19990422114154338 }, { "event_time": 2.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": -0.6252212359546504 }, { "event_time": 3.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": -0.48040255936741516 }, { "event_time": -8.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": -0.28889356889140605 }, { "event_time": -7.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": -0.46562078540975205 }, { "event_time": -6.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": -1.0048540632780796 }, { "event_time": -5.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": -1.3861224761825126 }, { "event_time": -4.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": -1.9911394801146707 }, { "event_time": -3.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": -0.36748375758432894 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": -0.0702537077901711 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": 0.11322125975812414 }, { "event_time": 1.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": -0.4853404326833459 }, { "event_time": 2.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": -0.341530520427486 }, { "event_time": -9.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": -0.6890974919672058 }, { "event_time": -8.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": -0.2813024203726431 }, { "event_time": -7.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": -0.7855362383027552 }, { "event_time": -6.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": -1.0755696623511364 }, { "event_time": -5.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": -1.6107526628062505 }, { "event_time": -4.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": -1.7703208388405318 }, { "event_time": -3.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": -0.8797158146611423 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": -0.59856367293912 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": -0.5918993396264862 }, { "event_time": 1.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": -0.588274146688415 }, { "event_time": -3.0, "cohort": 11, "estimate": 0.9123099256051085 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 11, "estimate": 0.16323114069217048 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 11, "estimate": 0.00556469456584141 } ] } } }, "alternative_models": { "y__d": [ { "method": "CS-DID", "class": "csdid.att_gt.ATTgt", "package": { "csdid": "0.4.2", "drdid": "1.1.6" }, "parameters": { "est_method": "dr", "covariate_basis": "intercept", "control_group": "notyettreated", "xformla": "y ~ 1", "panel": true, "effective_panel": false, "allow_unbalanced_panel": true, "weights_name": "weight", "fix_weights": null, "base_period": "universal", "clustervar": "cluster", "aggregate": "dynamic", "faster_mode": true }, "data_structure": "unbalanced or varying-weight panel; native repeated-cross-section comparisons", "aggregations": { "summaries": [ { "typec": "dynamic", "aggregation": "Native CS-DID dynamic", "matches_treated_unit_year_target": false, "estimate": 0.4044263638075007, "se": 0.04953270796074709, "lower": 0.30734404014769595, "upper": 0.5015086874673054 }, { "typec": "simple", "aggregation": "Native CS-DID simple", "matches_treated_unit_year_target": false, "estimate": 0.1726895240166161, "se": 0.04836870693767353, "lower": 0.07788860044000333, "upper": 0.2674904475932289 }, { "typec": "group", "aggregation": "Native CS-DID group", "matches_treated_unit_year_target": false, "estimate": 0.08979861214086078, "se": 0.05930095116731316, "lower": -0.026429116396041494, "upper": 0.20602634067776304 }, { "typec": "treated_cells", "aggregation": "Observed treated observations, configured weights", "matches_treated_unit_year_target": true, "weight_sum": 221.0, "post_cells": 36, "estimate": 0.17268952401661616, "se": 0.04836870693767354, "lower": 0.07788860044000337, "upper": 0.26749044759322893 } ], "same_group_time_effects": true, "additional_covariates": [] }, "estimate": 0.4044263638075007, "se": 0.04953270796074709, "lower": 0.30734404014769595, "upper": 0.5015086874673054, "event_study": [ { "event_time": -10, "estimate": 0.5175127085805842, "se": 0.07109235088966216, "lower": 0.3781742612605623, "upper": 0.656851155900606, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.5175127085805842, "n": 0.0 }, { "event_time": -9, "estimate": 0.3889712969332755, "se": 0.14466055960549287, "lower": 0.10544181012309967, "upper": 0.6725007837434513, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.3889712969332755, "n": 0.0 }, { "event_time": -8, "estimate": 0.2034785629338745, "se": 0.22597775400569706, "lower": -0.23942969622454363, "upper": 0.6463868220922926, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.2034785629338745, "n": 0.0 }, { "event_time": -7, "estimate": -0.16831534603932205, "se": 0.2367168166587091, "lower": -0.632271781225363, "upper": 0.29564108914671894, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.16831534603932205, "n": 0.0 }, { "event_time": -6, "estimate": -0.0022999628420583354, "se": 0.16033398632713403, "lower": -0.31654880154097853, "upper": 0.3119488758568618, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.0022999628420583354, "n": 0.0 }, { "event_time": -5, "estimate": -0.10624354904418068, "se": 0.13648864686926737, "lower": -0.3737563812065503, "upper": 0.16126928311818897, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.10624354904418068, "n": 0.0 }, { "event_time": -4, "estimate": -0.06378028661097464, "se": 0.12577934313784714, "lower": -0.31030326916026024, "upper": 0.18274269593831094, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.06378028661097464, "n": 0.0 }, { "event_time": -3, "estimate": 0.030261521643060202, "se": 0.13613076499858395, "lower": -0.23654987494205013, "upper": 0.2970729182281705, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.030261521643060202, "n": 0.0 }, { "event_time": -2, "estimate": -0.1723408321911543, "se": 0.06830958774102674, "lower": -0.3062251639623455, "upper": -0.03845650041996307, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.1723408321911543, "n": 0.0 }, { "event_time": -1, "estimate": 0.0, "se": null, "lower": null, "upper": null, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.0, "n": 0.0 }, { "event_time": 0, "estimate": 0.10075743819078638, "se": 0.0738270219056286, "lower": -0.04394086583009531, "upper": 0.24545574221166805, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.10075743819078638, "n": 56.0 }, { "event_time": 1, "estimate": 0.004039807549401558, "se": 0.06054648918356641, "lower": -0.11462913064073255, "upper": 0.12270874573953566, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.004039807549401558, "n": 54.0 }, { "event_time": 2, "estimate": 0.08273430654757566, "se": 0.053303530447543844, "lower": -0.02173869337844446, "upper": 0.1872073064735958, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.08273430654757566, "n": 32.0 }, { "event_time": 3, "estimate": 0.25005327527145615, "se": 0.052709351215897794, "lower": 0.14674484523982395, "upper": 0.35336170530308836, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.25005327527145615, "n": 30.0 }, { "event_time": 4, "estimate": 0.36609236945311563, "se": 0.05018548531752761, "lower": 0.26773062568409783, "upper": 0.4644541132221334, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.36609236945311563, "n": 29.0 }, { "event_time": 5, "estimate": 0.48700389521853826, "se": 0.06737775883958015, "lower": 0.35494591453393587, "upper": 0.6190618759031407, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.48700389521853826, "n": 16.0 }, { "event_time": 6, "estimate": 0.9006258688941197, "se": 0.14679581765546657, "lower": 0.6129113532082962, "upper": 1.1883403845799432, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.9006258688941197, "n": 3.0 }, { "event_time": 7, "estimate": 1.0441039493350126, "se": 0.11868640174711025, "lower": 0.8114828764560248, "upper": 1.2767250222140005, "relative_to_minus_one": 1.0441039493350126, "n": 1.0 } ], "group_time_estimates": [ { "group": 4, "year": 1, "att": 0.7513720050564856, "se": 0.09404738618911056, "event_time": -3, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 4, "year": 2, "att": 0.16939782974252865, "se": 0.08679726600687321, "event_time": -2, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 4, "year": 3, "att": 0.0, "se": null, "event_time": -1, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 4, "year": 4, "att": 0.32585835506558014, "se": 0.06484833098493986, "event_time": 0, "mass": 1.0 }, { "group": 4, "year": 5, "att": 0.48537213290137815, "se": 0.08945980838406993, "event_time": 1, "mass": 1.0 }, { "group": 4, "year": 6, "att": 0.5293607578667336, "se": 0.10530011468754817, "event_time": 2, "mass": 1.0 }, { "group": 4, "year": 7, "att": 0.606405212359654, "se": 0.10301378957115626, "event_time": 3, "mass": 1.0 }, { "group": 4, "year": 8, "att": 0.3790247453569484, "se": 0.11812888729722754, "event_time": 4, "mass": 1.0 }, { "group": 4, "year": 9, "att": 0.6327267608861025, "se": 0.11325639847999881, "event_time": 5, "mass": 1.0 }, { "group": 4, "year": 10, "att": 0.8306430478489132, "se": 0.1232988541437524, "event_time": 6, "mass": 1.0 }, { "group": 4, "year": 11, "att": 1.0441039493350126, "se": 0.11868640174711027, "event_time": 7, "mass": 1.0 }, { "group": 5, "year": 1, "att": 0.3241027436549442, "se": 0.09102115970425775, "event_time": -4, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 5, "year": 2, "att": -0.10532884196761691, "se": 0.06351153435564869, "event_time": -3, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 5, "year": 3, "att": -0.38077293160053366, "se": 0.0749432759049137, "event_time": -2, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 5, "year": 4, "att": 0.0, "se": null, "event_time": -1, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 5, "year": 5, "att": 0.052647838241381716, "se": 0.08449839568440543, "event_time": 0, "mass": 2.0 }, { "group": 5, "year": 6, "att": 0.33915866005398976, "se": 0.06959834834844668, "event_time": 1, "mass": 2.0 }, { "group": 5, "year": 7, "att": 0.29267295492263795, "se": 0.06789142015465512, "event_time": 2, "mass": 2.0 }, { "group": 5, "year": 8, "att": 0.3754107374919423, "se": 0.2703486911730179, "event_time": 3, "mass": 2.0 }, { "group": 5, "year": 9, "att": 0.3697799496114532, "se": 0.09882969450192103, "event_time": 4, "mass": 2.0 }, { "group": 5, "year": 10, "att": 0.6707539013455177, "se": 0.16135320151275245, "event_time": 5, "mass": 2.0 }, { "group": 5, "year": 11, "att": 0.9356172794167228, "se": 0.19357850817760944, "event_time": 6, "mass": 2.0 }, { "group": 6, "year": 1, "att": 0.12588423580039057, "se": 0.07645655924857336, "event_time": -5, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 6, "year": 2, "att": -0.39841263547424643, "se": 0.07516266214637958, "event_time": -4, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 6, "year": 3, "att": -0.4696847533905345, "se": 0.1654596111166621, "event_time": -3, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 6, "year": 4, "att": -0.13162108379316514, "se": 0.07862354601750084, "event_time": -2, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 6, "year": 5, "att": 0.0, "se": null, "event_time": -1, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 6, "year": 6, "att": 0.6191522220396455, "se": 0.13381789141872316, "event_time": 0, "mass": 13.0 }, { "group": 6, "year": 7, "att": 0.188218639225667, "se": 0.10327567189871203, "event_time": 1, "mass": 13.0 }, { "group": 6, "year": 8, "att": -0.03388344203005351, "se": 0.08637454373107151, "event_time": 2, "mass": 13.0 }, { "group": 6, "year": 9, "att": 0.2517726555166757, "se": 0.0563884359914839, "event_time": 3, "mass": 13.0 }, { "group": 6, "year": 10, "att": 0.2933014476308171, "se": 0.06626367472261369, "event_time": 4, "mass": 13.0 }, { "group": 6, "year": 11, "att": 0.447525212301498, "se": 0.06924289719109653, "event_time": 5, "mass": 13.0 }, { "group": 7, "year": 1, "att": 0.3610049366340683, "se": 0.20629702920924875, "event_time": -6, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 7, "year": 2, "att": 0.14380071718884707, "se": 0.4578534445014952, "event_time": -5, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 7, "year": 3, "att": -0.16835725651909397, "se": 0.41328868379697137, "event_time": -4, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 7, "year": 4, "att": 0.26344628059851893, "se": 0.4750743721613859, "event_time": -3, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 7, "year": 5, "att": -0.02028144166979667, "se": 0.09008518190282584, "event_time": -2, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 7, "year": 6, "att": 0.0, "se": null, "event_time": -1, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 7, "year": 7, "att": 0.03406253121033115, "se": 0.06640695413746804, "event_time": 0, "mass": 13.0 }, { "group": 7, "year": 8, "att": -0.16503651840099184, "se": 0.07031537686084041, "event_time": 1, "mass": 13.0 }, { "group": 7, "year": 9, "att": 0.11503110793206953, "se": 0.06702329801364738, "event_time": 2, "mass": 13.0 }, { "group": 7, "year": 10, "att": 0.20638282097363866, "se": 0.070093793135867, "event_time": 3, "mass": 13.0 }, { "group": 7, "year": 11, "att": 0.43732117310460583, "se": 0.060677567265983716, "event_time": 4, "mass": 13.0 }, { "group": 8, "year": 1, "att": -0.0015137161198624457, "se": 0.052829033692211626, "event_time": -7, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 8, "year": 2, "att": -0.6275833700923868, "se": 0.058942986239124015, "event_time": -6, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 8, "year": 3, "att": -0.8177705339883332, "se": 0.10339780007125846, "event_time": -5, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 8, "year": 4, "att": -0.4504969847070872, "se": 0.05730523248278135, "event_time": -4, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 8, "year": 5, "att": -0.19705689436347978, "se": 0.03767726983740389, "event_time": -3, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 8, "year": 6, "att": 0.030006390732620767, "se": 0.03928815510339968, "event_time": -2, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 8, "year": 7, "att": 0.0, "se": null, "event_time": -1, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 8, "year": 8, "att": -0.12703761027460767, "se": 0.05133599562618205, "event_time": 0, "mass": 1.0 }, { "group": 8, "year": 9, "att": 0.331836829756811, "se": 0.04030446464101254, "event_time": 1, "mass": 1.0 }, { "group": 8, "year": 10, "att": -0.01241234268063741, "se": 0.04868033567545632, "event_time": 2, "mass": 1.0 }, { "group": 8, "year": 11, "att": 0.18835037642605973, "se": 0.04681870318148995, "event_time": 3, "mass": 1.0 }, { "group": 9, "year": 1, "att": 0.12650102345377479, "se": 0.09056544344785407, "event_time": -8, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 9, "year": 2, "att": 0.01901883677626576, "se": 0.0817899632167866, "event_time": -7, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 9, "year": 3, "att": -0.1728366355749084, "se": 0.1191447612590395, "event_time": -6, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 9, "year": 4, "att": -0.22159800265703575, "se": 0.08414817804151656, "event_time": -5, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 9, "year": 5, "att": -0.17552336510613015, "se": 0.06179078071129503, "event_time": -4, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 9, "year": 6, "att": 0.472739295679341, "se": 0.06855573494419344, "event_time": -3, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 9, "year": 7, "att": 0.12805329555438322, "se": 0.05176013754489132, "event_time": -2, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 9, "year": 8, "att": 0.0, "se": null, "event_time": -1, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 9, "year": 9, "att": 0.45989012531119433, "se": 0.05441907263514526, "event_time": 0, "mass": 2.0 }, { "group": 9, "year": 10, "att": 0.0438326750717543, "se": 0.07036643648010887, "event_time": 1, "mass": 2.0 }, { "group": 9, "year": 11, "att": 0.2451419138824204, "se": 0.08617006798931748, "event_time": 2, "mass": 2.0 }, { "group": 10, "year": 1, "att": 0.3312200098413284, "se": 0.14695865357429308, "event_time": -9, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 10, "year": 2, "att": 0.1860078251756436, "se": 0.2640076935875636, "event_time": -8, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 10, "year": 3, "att": -0.2563353340782294, "se": 0.2825899037163593, "event_time": -7, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 10, "year": 4, "att": -0.24757742556599885, "se": 0.23872690839266297, "event_time": -6, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 10, "year": 5, "att": -0.4626611477253112, "se": 0.12077119441241552, "event_time": -5, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 10, "year": 6, "att": 0.019160497432818783, "se": 0.1466618247438579, "event_time": -4, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 10, "year": 7, "att": -0.022527746700561374, "se": 0.10049898590852858, "event_time": -3, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 10, "year": 8, "att": -0.3715895380608344, "se": 0.14868513956380688, "event_time": -2, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 10, "year": 9, "att": 0.0, "se": null, "event_time": -1, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 10, "year": 10, "att": -0.2191312856829305, "se": 0.11664224139387047, "event_time": 0, "mass": 22.0 }, { "group": 10, "year": 11, "att": -0.07574589072558048, "se": 0.12232009238133586, "event_time": 1, "mass": 22.0 }, { "group": 11, "year": 1, "att": 0.5175127085805842, "se": 0.07109235088966213, "event_time": -10, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 11, "year": 2, "att": 1.0242354549446928, "se": 0.33862045996810547, "event_time": -9, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 11, "year": 3, "att": 0.4726342177545139, "se": 0.22186432429111289, "event_time": -8, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 11, "year": 4, "att": 0.5291695246133412, "se": 0.26577116680536844, "event_time": -7, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 11, "year": 5, "att": 0.8174486568844782, "se": 0.3706143774239531, "event_time": -6, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 11, "year": 6, "att": 1.151349650528793, "se": 0.33458637871199387, "event_time": -5, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 11, "year": 7, "att": 1.7959500581986327, "se": 0.44336191813317327, "event_time": -4, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 11, "year": 8, "att": 1.7911098838017352, "se": 0.5554362185935886, "event_time": -3, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 11, "year": 9, "att": 0.4023255586346858, "se": 0.33203509588759844, "event_time": -2, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 11, "year": 10, "att": 0.0, "se": null, "event_time": -1, "mass": 0.0 }, { "group": 11, "year": 11, "att": 0.37380817978134423, "se": 0.05133820560553577, "event_time": 0, "mass": 2.0 } ], "treated_cell_att": 0.17268952401661616, "treated_cell_se": 0.04836870693767354, "checks": { "input_rows": 2895, "retained_rows": 2895, "all_observed_post_cells_estimated": true, "dynamic_cluster_se_error": 6.938893903907228e-18 }, "target": "Equal average of nonnegative native CS-DID event-time effects", "donor_rule": "notyettreated", "inference": "Configured-cluster analytical influence-function intervals; observed-cell ratio includes estimated weight-share uncertainty", "warnings": [ "Be aware that there are some small groups in your dataset.\n Check groups: 4,5,8,9,11.", "Not returning pre-test Wald statistic due to singular covariance matrix" ], "seconds": 0.21938283322378993, "status": "estimated" }, { "method": "SDID", "class": "SyntheticDID", "parameters": {}, "partial_pooling": { "parameter": null, "value": null, "status": "not_applicable", "fit_scope": "Separate adoption-cohort fits", "within_cohort_target": "Mean treated outcome history", "cross_cohort_partial_pooling": false, "shared_structure": null, "note": "Regularization penalties are not partial-pooling parameters." }, "estimate": 0.09669638606381421, "event_study": [ { "event_time": -10, "estimate": 0.18785320388413523, "raw_gap": 0.10356509996088242, "n": 2, "n_cells": 2, "weight_sum": 2.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.2000564695893051 }, { "event_time": -9, "estimate": 0.042947476036807375, "raw_gap": 0.13407589688374136, "n": 24, "n_cells": 24, "weight_sum": 24.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.05515074174197723 }, { "event_time": -8, "estimate": 0.028894493041117738, "raw_gap": 0.1129799523685486, "n": 26, "n_cells": 26, "weight_sum": 26.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.04109775874628759 }, { "event_time": -7, "estimate": -0.09563974485622821, "raw_gap": -0.013366414079520604, "n": 27, "n_cells": 27, "weight_sum": 27.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.08343647915105835 }, { "event_time": -6, "estimate": -0.05642490780172198, "raw_gap": -0.02389477176081105, "n": 38, "n_cells": 38, "weight_sum": 38.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.04422164209655212 }, { "event_time": -5, "estimate": -0.13559133584595678, "raw_gap": -0.09620412593346955, "n": 50, "n_cells": 50, "weight_sum": 50.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.12338807014078693 }, { "event_time": -4, "estimate": -0.05971602511795286, "raw_gap": -0.02031240215876606, "n": 53, "n_cells": 53, "weight_sum": 53.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.047512759412783004 }, { "event_time": -3, "estimate": 0.015772797286237455, "raw_gap": 0.05493841427310454, "n": 54, "n_cells": 54, "weight_sum": 54.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.027976062991407313 }, { "event_time": -2, "estimate": -0.10613642851558967, "raw_gap": -0.06931140086470945, "n": 55, "n_cells": 55, "weight_sum": 55.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.09393316281041982 }, { "event_time": -1, "estimate": -0.012203265705169856, "raw_gap": 0.02236476508600881, "n": 56, "n_cells": 56, "weight_sum": 56.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.0 }, { "event_time": 0, "estimate": 0.05761769225424256, "raw_gap": 0.09218572304542123, "n": 56, "n_cells": 56, "weight_sum": 56.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.06982095795941241 }, { "event_time": 1, "estimate": -0.045545850787401095, "raw_gap": -0.006575740932724972, "n": 54, "n_cells": 54, "weight_sum": 54.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.03334258508223124 }, { "event_time": 2, "estimate": 0.07625352373069107, "raw_gap": 0.06840126198005325, "n": 32, "n_cells": 32, "weight_sum": 32.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.08845678943586092 }, { "event_time": 3, "estimate": 0.1884014552030823, "raw_gap": 0.18005438126284234, "n": 30, "n_cells": 30, "weight_sum": 30.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.20060472090825215 }, { "event_time": 4, "estimate": 0.22906074720917874, "raw_gap": 0.21921349870348555, "n": 29, "n_cells": 29, "weight_sum": 29.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.2412640129143486 }, { "event_time": 5, "estimate": 0.26687079562481775, "raw_gap": 0.3217956798583307, "n": 16, "n_cells": 16, "weight_sum": 16.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.2790740613299876 }, { "event_time": 6, "estimate": 0.4477662633428252, "raw_gap": 0.4759267781741523, "n": 3, "n_cells": 3, "weight_sum": 3.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.45996952904799504 }, { "event_time": 7, "estimate": 0.25463689181869037, "raw_gap": 0.28118819227261227, "n": 1, "n_cells": 1, "weight_sum": 1.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.2668401575238602 } ], "package_event_study": { "event_time": [ -10.0, -9.0, -8.0, -7.0, -6.0, -5.0, -4.0, -3.0, -2.0, -1.0, 0.0, 1.0, 2.0, 3.0, 4.0, 5.0, 6.0, 7.0 ], "estimate": [ 0.10356509996088242, 0.13407589688374136, 0.1129799523685486, -0.013366414079520595, -0.02389477176081112, -0.09620412593346954, -0.02031240215876606, 0.05493841427310452, -0.06931140086470944, 0.02236476508600881, 0.09218572304542123, -0.00657574093272499, 0.06840126198005324, 0.18005438126284232, 0.21921349870348558, 0.32179567985833074, 0.47592677817415224, 0.28118819227261227 ], "n": [ 2.0, 24.0, 26.0, 27.0, 38.0, 50.0, 53.0, 54.0, 55.0, 56.0, 56.0, 54.0, 32.0, 30.0, 29.0, 16.0, 3.0, 1.0 ] }, "sdid_pre_gap_correction": [ { "cohort": 3, "pre_gap": 0.026551300453921907 }, { "cohort": 4, "pre_gap": 0.028965122020029682 }, { "cohort": 5, "pre_gap": 0.06110127717247893 }, { "cohort": 6, "pre_gap": -0.08956679649240831 }, { "cohort": 7, "pre_gap": 0.03515798845790323 }, { "cohort": 8, "pre_gap": -0.00043007890660641535 }, { "cohort": 9, "pre_gap": 0.10707537764422367 }, { "cohort": 10, "pre_gap": -0.08428810392325282 } ], "diagnostics": { "converged": true, "pre_rmse": 0.10954105118465562, "zeta_omega": [ 2.1138091207037317, 2.4751925864979776, 3.442887346387912, 3.0205497937288595, 1.4201137598289473, 1.543433784877387, 2.512281888347376, 1.1085770724332782 ], "zeta_lambda": [ 1.2568784230492617e-06, 1.2796081180932662e-06, 1.158508332714865e-06, 1.063794303282351e-06, 1.0041720696313727e-06, 9.86166373708131e-07, 9.754504160570474e-07, 9.321984862416012e-07 ], "n_observed": 2895, "n_missing": 86, "n_treated_observed": 221, "n_untreated_observed": 2674, "missing_method": "available-case normalized weights", "missing_diagnostics": [ { "cohort": 3, "unit_iterations": 12, "time_iterations": 28, "unit_objective": 0.03775291260852109, "time_objective": 0.39610978621147785, "unit_projected_gradient": 8.36700612093233e-09, "time_projected_gradient": 7.602845797372026e-09 }, { "cohort": 4, "unit_iterations": 10, "time_iterations": 21, "unit_objective": 0.04270002681808182, "time_objective": 0.37523731620657813, "unit_projected_gradient": 7.612471129153642e-09, "time_projected_gradient": 3.181519769857033e-09 }, { "cohort": 5, "unit_iterations": 24, "time_iterations": 20, "unit_objective": 0.07475160346491302, "time_objective": 0.22989502190500147, "unit_projected_gradient": 6.912329203381112e-09, "time_projected_gradient": 4.855354812649537e-09 }, { "cohort": 6, "unit_iterations": 33, "time_iterations": 23, "unit_objective": 0.06092412720395029, "time_objective": 0.27526584198572834, "unit_projected_gradient": 8.991796772439553e-09, "time_projected_gradient": 2.0800937639009476e-09 }, { "cohort": 7, "unit_iterations": 21, "time_iterations": 20, "unit_objective": 0.020793390455842588, "time_objective": 0.1971024579929378, "unit_projected_gradient": 4.049165756164763e-09, "time_projected_gradient": 6.722833512107229e-09 }, { "cohort": 8, "unit_iterations": 96, "time_iterations": 69, "unit_objective": 0.026498470810018302, "time_objective": 0.2424937126597233, "unit_projected_gradient": 8.91157426276051e-09, "time_projected_gradient": 8.983002564022513e-09 }, { "cohort": 9, "unit_iterations": 33, "time_iterations": 22, "unit_objective": 0.056832156102692113, "time_objective": 0.13131018648672213, "unit_projected_gradient": 8.043175290291943e-09, "time_projected_gradient": 4.602380698770503e-09 }, { "cohort": 10, "unit_iterations": 118, "time_iterations": 23, "unit_objective": 0.061484114559744445, "time_objective": 0.14813395992172051, "unit_projected_gradient": 9.638367434033901e-09, "time_projected_gradient": 6.111185665153007e-09 } ] }, "checks": { "scalar_vs_treated_cell_average": 0.0, "native_scalar_vs_unweighted_matrix_average": 5.551115123125783e-17 }, "native_matrix_att": 0.09669638606381427, "matrix_preparation": { "source_rows": 2895, "matrix_shape": [ 271, 11 ], "observed_cells": 2895, "missing_cells": 86, "repeated_cells": 0, "minimum_cell_count": 1, "maximum_cell_count": 1, "observation_mass": 2895.0, "treated_observation_mass": 221.0, "within_cell_aggregation": "Observation-weighted outcome mean", "fitting_weights": "Standard crabbymetrics objective on cell means; no cell-count precision weighting", "reporting_weights": "Sum of original observation weights per treated unit-period" }, "seconds": 0.007014041766524315, "crabbymetrics": "0.9.1", "crabbymetrics_build": { "source_commit": "cb3fcc0e8664cdbb6848d3998ddc4365d65740dc", "extension_sha256": "3e1dd2e2bd6d38612b9200b15094fc37138cd002749f8b31148d6265fc533cbd" }, "normalization": "Original source outcome / source SD; no mean subtraction", "target": "All observed treated observations, using configured observation weights; cell mass equals sum of row weights", "status": "estimated" }, { "method": "Matrix completion", "class": "MatrixCompletion", "parameters": { "lambda_fraction": 0.25, "max_iterations": 1000, "tolerance": 1e-12 }, "partial_pooling": { "parameter": null, "value": null, "status": "not_applicable", "fit_scope": "Joint untreated-cell fit", "within_cohort_target": null, "cross_cohort_partial_pooling": false, "shared_structure": "Low-rank matrix and unit/time effects", "note": "Regularization penalties are not partial-pooling parameters." }, "estimate": 0.13940165029833212, "event_study": [ { "event_time": -10, "estimate": -0.18569331142344825, "raw_gap": -0.18569331142344825, "n": 2, "n_cells": 2, "weight_sum": 2.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.2089389897959047 }, { "event_time": -9, "estimate": 0.14829793022417373, "raw_gap": 0.14829793022417373, "n": 24, "n_cells": 24, "weight_sum": 24.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.12505225185171728 }, { "event_time": -8, "estimate": 0.12286878360741013, "raw_gap": 0.12286878360741013, "n": 26, "n_cells": 26, "weight_sum": 26.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.09962310523495368 }, { "event_time": -7, "estimate": -0.009172209910319131, "raw_gap": -0.009172209910319131, "n": 27, "n_cells": 27, "weight_sum": 27.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.03241788828277557 }, { "event_time": -6, "estimate": -0.026527061257884555, "raw_gap": -0.026527061257884555, "n": 38, "n_cells": 38, "weight_sum": 38.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.049772739630341 }, { "event_time": -5, "estimate": -0.09778047776948623, "raw_gap": -0.09778047776948623, "n": 50, "n_cells": 50, "weight_sum": 50.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.12102615614194268 }, { "event_time": -4, "estimate": -0.01495618436935581, "raw_gap": -0.01495618436935581, "n": 53, "n_cells": 53, "weight_sum": 53.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.038201862741812254 }, { "event_time": -3, "estimate": 0.05828538541478148, "raw_gap": 0.05828538541478148, "n": 54, "n_cells": 54, "weight_sum": 54.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.035039707042325036 }, { "event_time": -2, "estimate": -0.07080253217971917, "raw_gap": -0.07080253217971917, "n": 55, "n_cells": 55, "weight_sum": 55.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.09404821055217562 }, { "event_time": -1, "estimate": 0.023245678372456443, "raw_gap": 0.023245678372456443, "n": 56, "n_cells": 56, "weight_sum": 56.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.0 }, { "event_time": 0, "estimate": 0.08985707771295064, "raw_gap": 0.08985707771295064, "n": 56, "n_cells": 56, "weight_sum": 56.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.06661139934049419 }, { "event_time": 1, "estimate": -0.001769026385825162, "raw_gap": -0.001769026385825162, "n": 54, "n_cells": 54, "weight_sum": 54.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.025014704758281606 }, { "event_time": 2, "estimate": 0.0884465244151524, "raw_gap": 0.0884465244151524, "n": 32, "n_cells": 32, "weight_sum": 32.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.06520084604269595 }, { "event_time": 3, "estimate": 0.21657757068935107, "raw_gap": 0.21657757068935107, "n": 30, "n_cells": 30, "weight_sum": 30.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.19333189231689463 }, { "event_time": 4, "estimate": 0.2781271620213652, "raw_gap": 0.2781271620213652, "n": 29, "n_cells": 29, "weight_sum": 29.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.2548814836489088 }, { "event_time": 5, "estimate": 0.3892545255439435, "raw_gap": 0.3892545255439435, "n": 16, "n_cells": 16, "weight_sum": 16.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.3660088471714871 }, { "event_time": 6, "estimate": 0.6004671444636779, "raw_gap": 0.6004671444636779, "n": 3, "n_cells": 3, "weight_sum": 3.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.5772214660912215 }, { "event_time": 7, "estimate": 0.4485183461615906, "raw_gap": 0.4485183461615906, "n": 1, "n_cells": 1, "weight_sum": 1.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.42527266778913414 } ], "package_event_study": { "event_time": [ -10.0, -9.0, -8.0, -7.0, -6.0, -5.0, -4.0, -3.0, -2.0, -1.0, 0.0, 1.0, 2.0, 3.0, 4.0, 5.0, 6.0, 7.0 ], "estimate": [ -0.18569331142344825, 0.1482979302241737, 0.12286878360741013, -0.009172209910319131, -0.02652706125788457, -0.09778047776948622, -0.014956184369355793, 0.05828538541478147, -0.07080253217971921, 0.023245678372456446, 0.08985707771295066, -0.0017690263858251545, 0.08844652441515238, 0.2165775706893511, 0.2781271620213652, 0.38925452554394346, 0.6004671444636779, 0.4485183461615906 ], "n": [ 2.0, 24.0, 26.0, 27.0, 38.0, 50.0, 53.0, 54.0, 55.0, 56.0, 56.0, 54.0, 32.0, 30.0, 29.0, 16.0, 3.0, 1.0 ] }, "sdid_pre_gap_correction": [], "diagnostics": { "converged": true, "iterations": 32, "termination_reason": "Relative objective tolerance reached", "objective": 0.28343792213214924, "lambda_l": 0.004405584930330722, "singular_values": [ 17.95373712978119, 10.571125345511495, 6.485347621860788, 2.5180889069561854, 2.341241506938548, 0.648299670031534, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0 ], "history_objective": [ 0.28445692930450134, 0.28367398454802784, 0.28351648957225417, 0.2834688437108237, 0.2834510322421755, 0.2834436974263422, 0.2834405290399315, 0.2834391212802299, 0.2834384830455429, 0.2834381887528702, 0.28343805089904545, 0.2834379853158794, 0.2834379536247914, 0.2834379380692037, 0.2834379303141597, 0.28343792638913046, 0.28343792437385606, 0.28343792332526574, 0.28343792277304247, 0.2834379224790962, 0.2834379223211694, 0.28343792223564435, 0.2834379221890172, 0.2834379221634548, 0.2834379221493765, 0.28343792214159397, 0.28343792213727836, 0.2834379221348799, 0.2834379221335438, 0.28343792213279845, 0.28343792213238217, 0.28343792213214924 ], "history_rmse": [ 0.3275877707671904, 0.3251041423733535, 0.32439361289902874, 0.3241485988498331, 0.32404835279571537, 0.32400077589417065, 0.3239753408915966, 0.3239605261471193, 0.32395139454314925, 0.32394556039742095, 0.32394174705064205, 0.3239392166954319, 0.3239375197313441, 0.3239363724538557, 0.32393559169098024, 0.32393505732909167, 0.3239346897274294, 0.3239344356347414, 0.32393425920251573, 0.32393413615778816, 0.32393404998057396, 0.32393398937404216, 0.32393394657838875, 0.3239339162403381, 0.32393389465123507, 0.323933879231148, 0.32393386817801034, 0.323933860228016, 0.3239338544913147, 0.32393385033891336, 0.3239338473244995, 0.32393384513019896 ], "n_observed": 2895, "n_missing": 86, "n_treated_observed": 221, "n_untreated_observed": 2674 }, "checks": { "scalar_vs_treated_cell_average": 0.0, "native_scalar_vs_unweighted_matrix_average": 2.7755575615628914e-17 }, "native_matrix_att": 0.13940165029833215, "matrix_preparation": { "source_rows": 2895, "matrix_shape": [ 271, 11 ], "observed_cells": 2895, "missing_cells": 86, "repeated_cells": 0, "minimum_cell_count": 1, "maximum_cell_count": 1, "observation_mass": 2895.0, "treated_observation_mass": 221.0, "within_cell_aggregation": "Observation-weighted outcome mean", "fitting_weights": "Standard crabbymetrics objective on cell means; no cell-count precision weighting", "reporting_weights": "Sum of original observation weights per treated unit-period" }, "seconds": 0.0028839162550866604, "crabbymetrics": "0.9.1", "crabbymetrics_build": { "source_commit": "cb3fcc0e8664cdbb6848d3998ddc4365d65740dc", "extension_sha256": "3e1dd2e2bd6d38612b9200b15094fc37138cd002749f8b31148d6265fc533cbd" }, "normalization": "Original source outcome / source SD; no mean subtraction", "target": "All observed treated observations, using configured observation weights; cell mass equals sum of row weights", "status": "estimated" }, { "method": "Horizontal ridge", "class": "HorizontalPanelRidge", "parameters": { "penalty": 1.0 }, "partial_pooling": { "parameter": null, "value": null, "status": "not_applicable", "fit_scope": "Separate adoption-cohort fits", "within_cohort_target": "Mean treated outcome history", "cross_cohort_partial_pooling": false, "shared_structure": null, "note": "Regularization penalties are not partial-pooling parameters." }, "estimate": -0.04549909291432021, "event_study": [ { "event_time": -10, "estimate": -0.00803842268440741, "raw_gap": -0.00803842268440741, "n": 2, "n_cells": 2, "weight_sum": 2.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.008242961802214257 }, { "event_time": -9, "estimate": -0.0008971742005874361, "raw_gap": -0.0008971742005874361, "n": 24, "n_cells": 24, "weight_sum": 24.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.0011017133183942834 }, { "event_time": -8, "estimate": 0.008523800005323533, "raw_gap": 0.008523800005323533, "n": 26, "n_cells": 26, "weight_sum": 26.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.008319260887516685 }, { "event_time": -7, "estimate": -0.001106048848583271, "raw_gap": -0.001106048848583271, "n": 27, "n_cells": 27, "weight_sum": 27.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.0013105879663901183 }, { "event_time": -6, "estimate": 0.004039713088563385, "raw_gap": 0.004039713088563385, "n": 38, "n_cells": 38, "weight_sum": 38.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.003835173970756538 }, { "event_time": -5, "estimate": -0.0022726130066350113, "raw_gap": -0.0022726130066350113, "n": 50, "n_cells": 50, "weight_sum": 50.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.0024771521244418586 }, { "event_time": -4, "estimate": 0.0017746789750780363, "raw_gap": 0.0017746789750780363, "n": 53, "n_cells": 53, "weight_sum": 53.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.001570139857271189 }, { "event_time": -3, "estimate": 0.003417003773419646, "raw_gap": 0.003417003773419646, "n": 54, "n_cells": 54, "weight_sum": 54.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.003212464655612799 }, { "event_time": -2, "estimate": -0.00024870898624593696, "raw_gap": -0.00024870898624593696, "n": 55, "n_cells": 55, "weight_sum": 55.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.0004532481040527842 }, { "event_time": -1, "estimate": 0.00020453911780684723, "raw_gap": 0.00020453911780684723, "n": 56, "n_cells": 56, "weight_sum": 56.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.0 }, { "event_time": 0, "estimate": -0.017153450893002336, "raw_gap": -0.017153450893002336, "n": 56, "n_cells": 56, "weight_sum": 56.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.017357990010809184 }, { "event_time": 1, "estimate": -0.18509209185763031, "raw_gap": -0.18509209185763031, "n": 54, "n_cells": 54, "weight_sum": 54.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.18529663097543717 }, { "event_time": 2, "estimate": 0.02115313465112751, "raw_gap": 0.02115313465112751, "n": 32, "n_cells": 32, "weight_sum": 32.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.020948595533320662 }, { "event_time": 3, "estimate": 0.04871738112252351, "raw_gap": 0.04871738112252351, "n": 30, "n_cells": 30, "weight_sum": 30.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.048512842004716665 }, { "event_time": 4, "estimate": -0.027267630221058093, "raw_gap": -0.027267630221058093, "n": 29, "n_cells": 29, "weight_sum": 29.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.02747216933886494 }, { "event_time": 5, "estimate": -0.056494317660935524, "raw_gap": -0.056494317660935524, "n": 16, "n_cells": 16, "weight_sum": 16.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.05669885677874237 }, { "event_time": 6, "estimate": 0.15217176424308967, "raw_gap": 0.15217176424308967, "n": 3, "n_cells": 3, "weight_sum": 3.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.15196722512528282 }, { "event_time": 7, "estimate": 0.0, "raw_gap": 0.0, "n": 1, "n_cells": 1, "weight_sum": 1.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.00020453911780684723 } ], "package_event_study": { "event_time": [ -10.0, -9.0, -8.0, -7.0, -6.0, -5.0, -4.0, -3.0, -2.0, -1.0, 0.0, 1.0, 2.0, 3.0, 4.0, 5.0, 6.0, 7.0 ], "estimate": [ -0.00803842268440741, -0.0008971742005874824, 0.008523800005323537, -0.0011060488485832853, 0.004039713088563394, -0.002272613006635013, 0.0017746789750780595, 0.003417003773419638, -0.00024870898624594623, 0.0002045391178068497, -0.01715345089300233, -0.1850920918576303, 0.021153134651127517, 0.0487173811225235, -0.0272676302210581, -0.056494317660935524, 0.15217176424308967, 0.0 ], "n": [ 2.0, 24.0, 26.0, 27.0, 38.0, 50.0, 53.0, 54.0, 55.0, 56.0, 56.0, 54.0, 32.0, 30.0, 29.0, 16.0, 3.0, 1.0 ] }, "sdid_pre_gap_correction": [], "diagnostics": { "pre_rmse": 0.005168150432446038, "penalty": 1.0, "n_observed": 2895, "n_missing": 86, "n_treated_observed": 221, "n_untreated_observed": 2674, "missing_method": "available donors with complete-case pre-period training" }, "checks": { "scalar_vs_treated_cell_average": 6.938893903907228e-18, "native_scalar_vs_unweighted_matrix_average": 5.551115123125783e-17 }, "native_matrix_att": -0.04549909291432026, "matrix_preparation": { "source_rows": 2895, "matrix_shape": [ 271, 11 ], "observed_cells": 2895, "missing_cells": 86, "repeated_cells": 0, "minimum_cell_count": 1, "maximum_cell_count": 1, "observation_mass": 2895.0, "treated_observation_mass": 221.0, "within_cell_aggregation": "Observation-weighted outcome mean", "fitting_weights": "Standard crabbymetrics objective on cell means; no cell-count precision weighting", "reporting_weights": "Sum of original observation weights per treated unit-period" }, "seconds": 0.2660902077332139, "crabbymetrics": "0.9.1", "crabbymetrics_build": { "source_commit": "cb3fcc0e8664cdbb6848d3998ddc4365d65740dc", "extension_sha256": "3e1dd2e2bd6d38612b9200b15094fc37138cd002749f8b31148d6265fc533cbd" }, "normalization": "Original source outcome / source SD; no mean subtraction", "target": "All observed treated observations, using configured observation weights; cell mass equals sum of row weights", "status": "estimated" }, { "method": "Multisynth (cohort-averaged)", "status": "unsupported", "reason": "multisynth-cohort: requires a complete finite outcome matrix; no panel balancing performed." }, { "method": "Multisynth (individual)", "status": "unsupported", "reason": "multisynth-individual: requires a complete finite outcome matrix; no panel balancing performed." } ] }, "combined_table": [ { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Static TWFE", "Estimate (SDs)": 0.16257441691578423, "SE": 0.0807703804464623, "Aggregation": "Coefficient", "Event study": "No", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Dynamic TWFE", "Estimate (SDs)": 0.16671644718716244, "SE": 0.05549270001198819, "Aggregation": "observations", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "BJS / did2s", "Estimate (SDs)": 0.21781064923581012, "SE": 0.0772891990360015, "Aggregation": "observations", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Sun\u2013Abraham", "Estimate (SDs)": 0.17550353597810928, "SE": 0.03983388672041021, "Aggregation": "observations", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "CS-DID", "Estimate (SDs)": 0.4044263638075007, "SE": 0.04953270796074709, "Aggregation": "Equal post-event times", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "CS-DID (treated cells)", "Estimate (SDs)": 0.17268952401661616, "SE": 0.04836870693767354, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "Same CS-DID path", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "SDID", "Estimate (SDs)": 0.09669638606381421, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Matrix completion", "Estimate (SDs)": 0.13940165029833212, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Horizontal ridge", "Estimate (SDs)": -0.04549909291432021, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Multisynth (cohort-averaged)", "Estimate (SDs)": null, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "No", "Status": "unsupported", "Note": "multisynth-cohort: requires a complete finite outcome matrix; no panel balancing performed." }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Multisynth (individual)", "Estimate (SDs)": null, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "No", "Status": "unsupported", "Note": "multisynth-individual: requires a complete finite outcome matrix; no panel balancing performed." } ], "adapter_sha256": { "validate_template.py": "9c8cc9bb42c9d4eb4f48bfa0a6ee09498fe83516d08aa9f26a49c21c4686618a", "mtgpax_worker.py": "7279b1b2aaa3f5909cd39ac1964d2e9c75907219011fe661a015511131affa85", "csdid_general.py": "07619c3b3dfee796ae9e4842afdbc6e367a74cece254ede73f7c403dfc924f6d", "runner.py": "3d6f87d28c1a24f0efe21b6d9b06d77866b0d16abcfdaaaef47465cc9cc1078e", "matrix_inputs.py": "3f675276f9022147996dd5b62762721be2dd436d5db171491a286b05628176ae", "csdid_model.py": "b9fd5536d4886e99a707d2b162db5b11da3ff463930eca5b7590d27500096a3f", "multisynth_model.R": "3ae0740c5b75b14f563dacc9961688e8286655866a6b435045a3ef6f453c1604", "csdid_streaming.py": "378198e98c44bd46862601bdcb514b19d9ea4038cddc38dad7fdba9b0aa0216b", "multisynth_sparse.R": "f9ab3d8d7f7b52a79ccd694c7173f626276a0830f23bb79e527c88c0f0292540", "matrix_models.py": "2fddc228b899ed1c806fd1bd7feef84c5164b4c9d472d0218d2f1491a47a302b", "csdid_aggregations.py": "cbed0fb13450d9398f9a59d53dbfdf8e275a74daa01158c38c0f3396a3e8c6ee", "bootstrap_matrix.py": "c6a1f4bb0085e0a21f9a41677fb4def7990be5f6199077a53e951de489ab9550", "eligibility.py": "f0eb686ff3f13e89c8f3d85f49890601c4a7f9a611a2938753be599b8ceac9a6" }, "scalar_ranges": [ { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Static TWFE", "Estimate (SDs)": 0.16257441691578423, "SE": 0.0807703804464623, "Aggregation": "Coefficient", "Event study": "No", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "", "lower": 0.003554578603412323, "upper": 0.3215942552281561, "ci_level": 0.95, "inference": "Configured-cluster regression interval" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Dynamic TWFE", "Estimate (SDs)": 0.16671644718716244, "SE": 0.05549270001198819, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "", "lower": 0.05746302861161795, "upper": 0.27596986576270693, "ci_level": 0.95, "inference": "Configured-cluster regression interval" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "BJS / did2s", "Estimate (SDs)": 0.21781064923581012, "SE": 0.0772891990360015, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "", "lower": 0.06564452266736698, "upper": 0.36997677580425326, "ci_level": 0.95, "inference": "Configured-cluster regression interval" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Sun\u2013Abraham", "Estimate (SDs)": 0.17550353597810928, "SE": 0.03983388672041021, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "", "lower": 0.09707901710597597, "upper": 0.2539280548502426, "ci_level": 0.95, "inference": "Configured-cluster regression interval" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "CS-DID (equal event-time)", "Estimate (SDs)": 0.4044263638075007, "SE": 0.04953270796074709, "Aggregation": "Equal post-event times", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "", "lower": 0.30734404014769595, "upper": 0.5015086874673054, "ci_level": 0.95, "inference": "Configured-cluster analytical influence-function intervals; observed-cell ratio includes estimated weight-share uncertainty" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "CS-DID (treated cells)", "Estimate (SDs)": 0.17268952401661616, "SE": 0.04836870693767354, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "Same CS-DID path", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "", "lower": 0.07788860044000337, "upper": 0.26749044759322893, "ci_level": 0.95, "inference": "Configured-cluster analytical influence-function intervals; observed-cell ratio includes estimated weight-share uncertainty" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "SDID", "Estimate (SDs)": 0.09669638606381421, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "", "lower": null, "upper": null, "ci_level": null, "inference": "Not computed" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Matrix completion", "Estimate (SDs)": 0.13940165029833212, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "", "lower": null, "upper": null, "ci_level": null, "inference": "Not computed" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Horizontal ridge", "Estimate (SDs)": -0.04549909291432021, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "", "lower": null, "upper": null, "ci_level": null, "inference": "Not computed" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Multisynth (cohort-averaged)", "Estimate (SDs)": null, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "No", "Status": "unsupported", "Note": "multisynth-cohort: requires a complete finite outcome matrix; no panel balancing performed.", "lower": null, "upper": null, "ci_level": null, "inference": "Not computed" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Multisynth (individual)", "Estimate (SDs)": null, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "No", "Status": "unsupported", "Note": "multisynth-individual: requires a complete finite outcome matrix; no panel balancing performed.", "lower": null, "upper": null, "ci_level": null, "inference": "Not computed" } ], "reporting_source": { "path": "templates/reporting/comparison_report.py", "sha256": "94e9c5116a13335ead2db81834cac48593160291aea51c30c12fe3e11e5da1ce" } }, "finished": 1791602611.001788, "scalar_ranges": [ { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Static TWFE", "Estimate (SDs)": 0.16257441691578423, "SE": 0.0807703804464623, "Aggregation": "Coefficient", "Event study": "No", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "", "lower": 0.003554578603412323, "upper": 0.3215942552281561, "ci_level": 0.95, "inference": "Configured-cluster regression interval" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Dynamic TWFE", "Estimate (SDs)": 0.16671644718716244, "SE": 0.05549270001198819, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "", "lower": 0.05746302861161795, "upper": 0.27596986576270693, "ci_level": 0.95, "inference": "Configured-cluster regression interval" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "BJS / did2s", "Estimate (SDs)": 0.21781064923581012, "SE": 0.0772891990360015, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "", "lower": 0.06564452266736698, "upper": 0.36997677580425326, "ci_level": 0.95, "inference": "Configured-cluster regression interval" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Sun\u2013Abraham", "Estimate (SDs)": 0.17550353597810928, "SE": 0.03983388672041021, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "", "lower": 0.09707901710597597, "upper": 0.2539280548502426, "ci_level": 0.95, "inference": "Configured-cluster regression interval" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "CS-DID (equal event-time)", "Estimate (SDs)": 0.4044263638075007, "SE": 0.04953270796074709, "Aggregation": "Equal post-event times", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "", "lower": 0.30734404014769595, "upper": 0.5015086874673054, "ci_level": 0.95, "inference": "Configured-cluster analytical influence-function intervals; observed-cell ratio includes estimated weight-share uncertainty" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "CS-DID (treated cells)", "Estimate (SDs)": 0.17268952401661616, "SE": 0.04836870693767354, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "Same CS-DID path", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "", "lower": 0.07788860044000337, "upper": 0.26749044759322893, "ci_level": 0.95, "inference": "Configured-cluster analytical influence-function intervals; observed-cell ratio includes estimated weight-share uncertainty" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "SDID", "Estimate (SDs)": 0.09669638606381421, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "", "lower": null, "upper": null, "ci_level": null, "inference": "Not computed" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Matrix completion", "Estimate (SDs)": 0.13940165029833212, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "", "lower": null, "upper": null, "ci_level": null, "inference": "Not computed" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Horizontal ridge", "Estimate (SDs)": -0.04549909291432021, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "", "lower": null, "upper": null, "ci_level": null, "inference": "Not computed" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Multisynth (cohort-averaged)", "Estimate (SDs)": null, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "No", "Status": "unsupported", "Note": "multisynth-cohort: requires a complete finite outcome matrix; no panel balancing performed.", "lower": null, "upper": null, "ci_level": null, "inference": "Not computed" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Multisynth (individual)", "Estimate (SDs)": null, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "No", "Status": "unsupported", "Note": "multisynth-individual: requires a complete finite outcome matrix; no panel balancing performed.", "lower": null, "upper": null, "ci_level": null, "inference": "Not computed" } ] }