Aid, China, and Growth: Evidence from a New Global Development Finance Dataset

Axel Dreher; Andreas Fuchs; Bradley Parks; Austin Strange; Michael J. Tierney (2021). American Economic Journal: Economic Policy.

Under development — community extension. This is a provisional source-design assessment, not a new successful replication or a final eligibility ruling.

Extension index · Provisional eligibility log · Assessment JSON · QMD · Reproduction code

Source design and template applicability

The aid-growth design instruments lagged Chinese official-finance exposure with historical recipient propensities and global supply shifters. It is panel IV with continuous exposure, not binary adoption.

No DiD estimates, uncertainty intervals or homogeneity-test decision were computed in this tranche. No point is added to the calibration plots. This is not a zero effect or a failed statistical test.

Recorded treatment-column measurement

955 distinct nonmissing values in L2_OFa_all_con_ln.

Aid intensity in the effectiveness data rather than the allocation regression outcome. N=13,363; missing=10,099. Frame: effectiveness. Source: AEJ-Policy/Dreher_Fuchs_Parks_Strange_etal_AEJ-Policy_2021_118648/R/01_replicate_empirical_results.R.

These are the existing data-measured counts, not counts inferred from design labels. A binary instrument, group indicator or interaction component need not be the treatment of interest; the source-design assessment above takes precedence for template applicability.

Replication status

This tranche: unsupported design; source code/documentation inspected, no estimator run.

Supplied library: verified; verification: verified; preparation: runs_with_shim. These are the library’s labels, not new verification claims. Missing data and unsupported designs are separate issues.

Evidence and provenance

The following files in the supplied library were inspected. Their SHA-256 digests are recorded in the downloadable assessment JSON. Source archives and microdata are not redistributed.

  • AEJ-Policy/Dreher_Fuchs_Parks_Strange_etal_AEJ-Policy_2021_118648/R/01_replicate_empirical_results.R (469 lines)
  • AEJ-Policy/Dreher_Fuchs_Parks_Strange_etal_AEJ-Policy_2021_118648/verdict.md (67 lines)
  • AEJ-Policy/Dreher_Fuchs_Parks_Strange_etal_AEJ-Policy_2021_118648/aeraej-95.md (107 lines)