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title: "Aid, China, and Growth: Evidence from a New Global Development Finance Dataset"
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[Axel Dreher; Andreas Fuchs; Bradley Parks; Austin Strange; Michael J. Tierney (2021)](https://doi.org/10.1257/pol.20180631). *American Economic Journal: Economic Policy*.

**Under development — community extension.** This is a provisional source-design assessment, not a new successful replication or a final eligibility ruling.

[Extension index](development.html) · [Provisional eligibility log](development.html#eligibility-log) · [Assessment JSON](aeraej-95.json) · [QMD](aeraej-95.qmd) · [Reproduction code](collection-code.zip)

## Source design and template applicability

The aid-growth design instruments lagged Chinese official-finance exposure with historical recipient propensities and global supply shifters. It is panel IV with continuous exposure, not binary adoption.

No DiD estimates, uncertainty intervals or homogeneity-test decision were computed in this tranche. No point is added to the calibration plots. This is not a zero effect or a failed statistical test.

## Recorded treatment-column measurement

**955 distinct nonmissing values** in `L2_OFa_all_con_ln`.

Aid intensity in the effectiveness data rather than the allocation regression outcome. N=13,363; missing=10,099. Frame: effectiveness. Source: AEJ-Policy/Dreher_Fuchs_Parks_Strange_etal_AEJ-Policy_2021_118648/R/01_replicate_empirical_results.R.

These are the existing data-measured counts, not counts inferred from design labels. A binary instrument, group indicator or interaction component need not be the treatment of interest; the source-design assessment above takes precedence for template applicability.

## Replication status

**This tranche:** unsupported design; source code/documentation inspected, no estimator run.

**Supplied library:** verified; verification: verified; preparation: runs_with_shim. These are the library’s labels, not new verification claims. Missing data and unsupported designs are separate issues.

## Evidence and provenance

The following files in the supplied library were inspected. Their SHA-256 digests are recorded in the downloadable assessment JSON. Source archives and microdata are not redistributed.

- `AEJ-Policy/Dreher_Fuchs_Parks_Strange_etal_AEJ-Policy_2021_118648/R/01_replicate_empirical_results.R` (469 lines)
- `AEJ-Policy/Dreher_Fuchs_Parks_Strange_etal_AEJ-Policy_2021_118648/verdict.md` (67 lines)
- `AEJ-Policy/Dreher_Fuchs_Parks_Strange_etal_AEJ-Policy_2021_118648/aeraej-95.md` (107 lines)