Are State Governments Roadblocks to Federal Stimulus? Evidence on the Flypaper Effect of Highway Grants in the 2009 Recovery Act

Sylvain Leduc; Daniel Wilson (2017). American Economic Journal: Economic Policy.

Under development — community extension. This is a provisional source-design assessment, not a new successful replication or a final eligibility ruling.

Extension index · Provisional eligibility log · Assessment JSON · QMD · Reproduction code

Source design and template applicability

Highway grants per capita are instrumented with lagged road-formula variables in a cross-state fiscal-response regression. Neither continuous grant exposure nor its instruments are binary adoption.

No DiD estimates, uncertainty intervals or homogeneity-test decision were computed in this tranche. No point is added to the calibration plots. This is not a zero effect or a failed statistical test.

Recorded treatment-column measurement

48 distinct nonmissing values in L1_FHWA_apport_ARRApc.

Observed support in the indicated source frame; missing values excluded. N=48; missing=0. Frame: selected_source_data. Source: AEJ-Policy/Leduc_Wilson_AEJ-Policy_2017_114624/R/141_leduc_wilson_replicate.R.

These are the existing data-measured counts, not counts inferred from design labels. A binary instrument, group indicator or interaction component need not be the treatment of interest; the source-design assessment above takes precedence for template applicability.

Replication status

This tranche: unsupported design; source code/documentation inspected, no estimator run.

Supplied library: verified; verification: verified; preparation: runs_with_shim. These are the library’s labels, not new verification claims. Missing data and unsupported designs are separate issues.

Evidence and provenance

The following files in the supplied library were inspected. Their SHA-256 digests are recorded in the downloadable assessment JSON. Source archives and microdata are not redistributed.

  • AEJ-Policy/Leduc_Wilson_AEJ-Policy_2017_114624/R/141_leduc_wilson_replicate.R (326 lines)
  • AEJ-Policy/Leduc_Wilson_AEJ-Policy_2017_114624/verdict.md (55 lines)
  • AEJ-Policy/Leduc_Wilson_AEJ-Policy_2017_114624/aeraej-141.md (202 lines)