{ "study_id": 2, "specification_id": "S02-P009", "source_specification_id": "AM005-P2587-T2-DEMP-QP-M1", "role": "active_comparison", "published_source_location": "", "outcome_label": "", "outcome_variable": "", "treatment_label": "", "unit_fixed_effects": "", "time_fixed_effects": "", "allowed_adjustments": "", "published_weights": "", "published_clustering": "", "panel_structure": "", "design": "", "descriptive_metadata_status": "not_recorded_in_exported_source_metadata", "title": "Do Powerful Politicians Really Cause Corporate Downsizing?", "status": "ready", "reason": "", "config": "analyses/full-archive/configs/S02-P009.json", "input_bytes": 1459671, "specification_type": "twfe_scalar", "run_status": "completed", "expanded_status": "processed", "expanded_reason": null, "regression_result": { "schema": "did-replication-v2", "config": { "outcomes": [ "y" ], "treatments": [ "d" ], "unit": "unit", "time": "time", "cluster": "cluster", "covariates": [], "baseline_by_time": [], "weight": null, "period_step": 1, "period_values": null, "display_window": [ -10, 10 ], "seed": 20261008, "panelview_max_units": 100, "test_mode": "classical", "test_horizon": null, "post_horizon": null, "post_weighting": "observations", "sample_query": null, "reversal_policy": "drop_post_untreated", "labels": {}, "allow_repeated_cells": true, "time_fe": null, "unit_fe": null, "frequency_weights": false, "source_sd": null, "require_never_control_periods": false, "latest_cohort_control": true, "slug": "s02-p009", "specification_id": "S02-P009", "source_specification_id": "AM005-P2587-T2-DEMP-QP-M1", "study_id": 2, "study": "Do Powerful Politicians Really Cause Corporate Downsizing?", "citation": "Snyder and Welch (2017), JPE. https://doi.org/10.1086/694204", "description": "AM005-P2587-T2-DEMP-QP-M1", "data": "analyses/full-archive/prepared/S02-P009.parquet", "output_dir": "analyses/full-archive/results/S02-P009" }, "source": { "file": "S02-P009.parquet", "bytes": 1459671, "sha256": "0333b7e85ed021a4c6a5163940667841842e0309d15f02865f3ef196a8dac18a" }, "versions": { "pyfixest": "0.60.0", "polars": "2.0.0", "duckreg": "0.4.1", "numpy": "2.5.3", "pandas": "3.0.6" }, "specifications": { "y__d": { "sample": { "outcome": "y", "treatment": "d", "source_rows": 168267, "source_sd": 0.3181313377096774, "rows": 158933, "units": 14681, "clusters": 2018, "treated_units": 792, "never_treated_units": 13889, "treated_cohorts": 8, "latest_cohort_control_index": null, "unique_unit_period_cells": 158639, "unsupported_prediction_rows_removed": 0, "rows_without_never_control_time_fe_removed": 0, "initially_treated_units_removed": 286, "post_adoption_untreated_rows_removed": 6132, "units_without_minus_one_removed": 36, "additional_rows_removed": 2068 }, "estimates": [ { "method": "Static TWFE", "estimate": -0.08543758521702213, "se": 0.040893257759548066, "pvalue": 0.0368072975065947, "lower": -0.1656350221522489, "upper": -0.005240148281795351 }, { "method": "Dynamic TWFE", "estimate": -0.024149093274566148, "se": 0.049449436010379905, "pvalue": 0.6253484329284327, "lower": -0.12112640061562846, "upper": 0.07282821406649617 }, { "method": "BJS / did2s", "estimate": -0.09135880636764052, "se": 0.04155857067060034, "pvalue": 0.02803993756904423, "lower": -0.17286101560885578, "upper": -0.009856597126425254 }, { "method": "Sun\u2013Abraham", "estimate": -0.02445158515512512, "se": 0.013256197082919415, "pvalue": 0.06525103447781172, "lower": -0.050448854333566724, "upper": 0.0015456840233164862 } ], "event_studies": { "Dynamic TWFE": [ { "event_time": -31, "estimate": -0.3186995184443159, "se": 0.0779957287058334, "pvalue": 4.558291632447692e-05, "lower": -0.471660125566468, "upper": -0.16573891132216373 }, { "event_time": -30, "estimate": -0.20356475393937723, "se": 0.07660759254743288, "pvalue": 0.007940489567095095, "lower": -0.3538030305816389, "upper": -0.05332647729711554 }, { "event_time": -29, "estimate": -0.31114581801092317, "se": 0.07543805024857826, "pvalue": 3.8658565927358634e-05, "lower": -0.45909045751361083, "upper": -0.1632011785082355 }, { "event_time": -28, "estimate": -0.21369540520473376, "se": 0.07757376967144577, "pvalue": 0.005926668697099447, "lower": -0.36582849124141675, "upper": -0.06156231916805077 }, { "event_time": -27, "estimate": -0.1229352822101254, "se": 0.07534998676429769, "pvalue": 0.1029359924674136, "lower": -0.270707216819297, "upper": 0.0248366523990462 }, { "event_time": -26, "estimate": -0.07950490110200319, "se": 0.13658047141767693, "pvalue": 0.5605574355022448, "lower": -0.3473584384139139, "upper": 0.1883486362099075 }, { "event_time": -25, "estimate": -0.10245191360067477, "se": 0.11439645864808864, "pvalue": 0.37058056237876236, "lower": -0.326799477983737, "upper": 0.12189565078238743 }, { "event_time": -24, "estimate": -0.30997969006599757, "se": 0.1187914124657066, "pvalue": 0.009135965305373682, "lower": -0.5429463777699293, "upper": -0.07701300236206585 }, { "event_time": -23, "estimate": -0.024203352222334436, "se": 0.05333797815213794, "pvalue": 0.650040796097319, "lower": -0.12880663827649644, "upper": 0.08039993383182756 }, { "event_time": -22, "estimate": 0.01228786646740328, "se": 0.05153968739355938, "pvalue": 0.8115829730592219, "lower": -0.08878871817914999, "upper": 0.11336445111395654 }, { "event_time": -21, "estimate": -0.09147009366376964, "se": 0.05116087940363791, "pvalue": 0.07394361143608247, "lower": -0.19180378249945554, "upper": 0.008863595171916261 }, { "event_time": -20, "estimate": -0.10674435096494915, "se": 0.05172421857308277, "pvalue": 0.03917184292463184, "lower": -0.20818282723968784, "upper": -0.0053058746902104464 }, { "event_time": -19, "estimate": -0.07536438970622557, "se": 0.047561855698655765, "pvalue": 0.11322417406533267, "lower": -0.1686398862524674, "upper": 0.017911106840016247 }, { "event_time": -18, "estimate": 0.07365680604475063, "se": 0.057677739062322424, "pvalue": 0.20173495444480488, "lower": -0.03945736226670035, "upper": 0.1867709743562016 }, { "event_time": -17, "estimate": -0.018589681409877764, "se": 0.04441654506732375, "pvalue": 0.6756038076926348, "lower": -0.10569678089464919, "upper": 0.06851741807489366 }, { "event_time": -16, "estimate": -0.011847772347073984, "se": 0.06074028458890062, "pvalue": 0.8453685548053113, "lower": -0.13096802369483354, "upper": 0.10727247900068557 }, { "event_time": -15, "estimate": 0.014058746740304922, "se": 0.05252042436217144, "pvalue": 0.7889718489494555, "lower": -0.08894120120620325, "upper": 0.1170586946868131 }, { "event_time": -14, "estimate": 0.04705858759463283, "se": 0.049106462178814085, "pvalue": 0.33802774127639784, "lower": -0.04924609976615876, "upper": 0.14336327495542442 }, { "event_time": -13, "estimate": 0.05313909624592241, "se": 0.04421474780701318, "pvalue": 0.2295662281985867, "lower": -0.033572250394880994, "upper": 0.13985044288672582 }, { "event_time": -12, "estimate": 0.11976678358708828, "se": 0.05835072918908147, "pvalue": 0.040246696276010366, "lower": 0.005332786868564823, "upper": 0.23420078030561176 }, { "event_time": -11, "estimate": 0.02609356604284508, "se": 0.08943288904892638, "pvalue": 0.7704947793790184, "lower": -0.14929692305952455, "upper": 0.2014840551452147 }, { "event_time": -10, "estimate": 0.08988607165622593, "se": 0.05201945511798676, "pvalue": 0.08415350931221807, "lower": -0.012131405057414793, "upper": 0.19190354836986667 }, { "event_time": -9, "estimate": 0.03412270802782062, "se": 0.050252838283306636, "pvalue": 0.49720277018648873, "lower": -0.06443018430320538, "upper": 0.13267560035884662 }, { "event_time": -8, "estimate": 0.06424831238402222, "se": 0.06963591946388291, "pvalue": 0.35630947735216484, "lower": -0.07231753161081923, "upper": 0.20081415637886368 }, { "event_time": -7, "estimate": 0.17071836282719252, "se": 0.04799209768080478, "pvalue": 0.00038345267773223806, "lower": 0.07659910116854105, "upper": 0.264837624485844 }, { "event_time": -6, "estimate": 0.1829563597874907, "se": 0.05029714408983274, "pvalue": 0.0002821986685962337, "lower": 0.08431657753085314, "upper": 0.28159614204412825 }, { "event_time": -5, "estimate": 0.15167416924047042, "se": 0.049851919979876876, "pvalue": 0.00237652288118439, "lower": 0.0539075341586111, "upper": 0.24944080432232973 }, { "event_time": -4, "estimate": 0.049620680509263736, "se": 0.05782714810155236, "pvalue": 0.39094679300307145, "lower": -0.06378649996746033, "upper": 0.1630278609859878 }, { "event_time": -3, "estimate": 0.033749258408383734, "se": 0.056087505126348816, "pvalue": 0.5474247796979876, "lower": -0.07624623722253904, "upper": 0.1437447540393065 }, { "event_time": -2, "estimate": 0.05416497629702208, "se": 0.045280372447462185, "pvalue": 0.2317539928454818, "lower": -0.03463621032184175, "upper": 0.1429661629158859 }, { "event_time": 0, "estimate": -0.12957986856224768, "se": 0.12349804972457475, "pvalue": 0.2941904885251465, "lower": -0.3717769347056896, "upper": 0.11261719758119429 }, { "event_time": 1, "estimate": -0.005634663807181347, "se": 0.05283399683991627, "pvalue": 0.9150784869480476, "lower": -0.10924957153890477, "upper": 0.09798024392454208 }, { "event_time": 2, "estimate": -0.0420147702022572, "se": 0.044283548668643584, "pvalue": 0.3428527817204925, "lower": -0.12886104502105358, "upper": 0.044831504616539196 }, { "event_time": 3, "estimate": 0.01972716170750977, "se": 0.06112553417916672, "pvalue": 0.7469317175709194, "lower": -0.10014861833648024, "upper": 0.1396029417514998 }, { "event_time": 4, "estimate": 0.013022385717713992, "se": 0.11028276267231868, "pvalue": 0.9060146116853303, "lower": -0.20325764157824786, "upper": 0.22930241301367585 }, { "event_time": 5, "estimate": 0.043601163550500734, "se": 0.04347737925605168, "pvalue": 0.31605493303653565, "lower": -0.041664099527788094, "upper": 0.12886642662878955 } ], "BJS / did2s": [ { "event_time": -31, "estimate": -0.2773448514923687, "se": 0.047555077661804945, "pvalue": 6.360483942161579e-09, "lower": -0.3706070553538828, "upper": -0.18408264763085463 }, { "event_time": -30, "estimate": -0.16225820313608655, "se": 0.046254084133117025, "pvalue": 0.0004614178619556766, "lower": -0.25296897548574643, "upper": -0.07154743078642668 }, { "event_time": -29, "estimate": -0.26656575393845594, "se": 0.04583843546915074, "pvalue": 7.019427345551594e-09, "lower": -0.35646138072765077, "upper": -0.1766701271492611 }, { "event_time": -28, "estimate": -0.17060262258610678, "se": 0.047258227144168094, "pvalue": 0.00031365684727949764, "lower": -0.2632826607809148, "upper": -0.07792258439129879 }, { "event_time": -27, "estimate": -0.08050019584860635, "se": 0.04557655040579132, "pvalue": 0.07750289978748608, "lower": -0.16988222915066598, "upper": 0.008881837453453278 }, { "event_time": -26, "estimate": -0.054355179944884646, "se": 0.1153104081381465, "pvalue": 0.6374193872231866, "lower": -0.28049512797763987, "upper": 0.17178476808787058 }, { "event_time": -25, "estimate": -0.07523973096178238, "se": 0.09424660835442843, "pvalue": 0.4247740055733773, "lower": -0.2600706014760914, "upper": 0.10959113955252664 }, { "event_time": -24, "estimate": -0.2846946338498049, "se": 0.09399722179261419, "pvalue": 0.002486777148962182, "lower": -0.4690364221985112, "upper": -0.10035284550109863 }, { "event_time": -23, "estimate": -0.04461189958094714, "se": 0.023970393015408296, "pvalue": 0.06287190804063886, "lower": -0.09162121572468135, "upper": 0.0023974165627870733 }, { "event_time": -22, "estimate": -0.006660033026173445, "se": 0.022194374216588722, "pvalue": 0.7641489394432799, "lower": -0.050186326211658416, "upper": 0.03686626015931152 }, { "event_time": -21, "estimate": -0.10399929750923734, "se": 0.02291701683550732, "pvalue": 6.011026464218347e-06, "lower": -0.14894279463083815, "upper": -0.05905580038763652 }, { "event_time": -20, "estimate": -0.12214352770650815, "se": 0.02483666802531772, "pvalue": 9.456848934435256e-07, "lower": -0.17085173113098373, "upper": -0.07343532428203257 }, { "event_time": -19, "estimate": -0.09621163301013884, "se": 0.021017311785347454, "pvalue": 4.986770302853369e-06, "lower": -0.13742954101747654, "upper": -0.054993725002801135 }, { "event_time": -18, "estimate": 0.04321303071967466, "se": 0.036126137975269784, "pvalue": 0.23177051314612618, "lower": -0.027635413026740586, "upper": 0.11406147446608991 }, { "event_time": -17, "estimate": -0.04453287716053242, "se": 0.01564949062466904, "pvalue": 0.004476941268441236, "lower": -0.07522373199092998, "upper": -0.013842022330134863 }, { "event_time": -16, "estimate": -0.043508462671367425, "se": 0.03880760643356225, "pvalue": 0.2623649944768546, "lower": -0.11961564366102662, "upper": 0.03259871831829176 }, { "event_time": -15, "estimate": -0.015550080713253422, "se": 0.029673607964976437, "pvalue": 0.6003100961932234, "lower": -0.07374420448311128, "upper": 0.04264404305660444 }, { "event_time": -14, "estimate": 0.009219710295090531, "se": 0.02275627463881135, "pvalue": 0.6854100395097296, "lower": -0.03540854874354428, "upper": 0.053847969333725335 }, { "event_time": -13, "estimate": 0.007952041762663875, "se": 0.015579752970509633, "pvalue": 0.6098210012024715, "lower": -0.022602047707674933, "upper": 0.038506131233002686 }, { "event_time": -12, "estimate": 0.062415424388260816, "se": 0.03275844454117268, "pvalue": 0.05688014265139453, "lower": -0.0018284983051669243, "upper": 0.12665934708168855 }, { "event_time": -11, "estimate": -0.025316703895771082, "se": 0.06499159535531594, "pvalue": 0.6969192413057044, "lower": -0.1527743743135982, "upper": 0.10214096652205602 }, { "event_time": -10, "estimate": 0.03341129325566555, "se": 0.031977075988794235, "pvalue": 0.29621684783198654, "lower": -0.029300255676517672, "upper": 0.09612284218784878 }, { "event_time": -9, "estimate": -0.01689677653548775, "se": 0.026413668375569337, "pvalue": 0.5224414643391113, "lower": -0.06869769971537594, "upper": 0.03490414664440043 }, { "event_time": -8, "estimate": 0.008470227170488068, "se": 0.04656161590188539, "pvalue": 0.8556682041598226, "lower": -0.08284365828344926, "upper": 0.0997841126244254 }, { "event_time": -7, "estimate": 0.11204987693050361, "se": 0.03162392223817483, "pvalue": 0.0004042911574380868, "lower": 0.050030912233361556, "upper": 0.17406884162764566 }, { "event_time": -6, "estimate": 0.11089069363405095, "se": 0.030954987123225097, "pvalue": 0.00034862601701049023, "lower": 0.05018360489480844, "upper": 0.17159778237329346 }, { "event_time": -5, "estimate": 0.08480164457517948, "se": 0.030794591577745615, "pvalue": 0.005943908771263676, "lower": 0.02440911408705304, "upper": 0.14519417506330592 }, { "event_time": -4, "estimate": -0.017916756418942557, "se": 0.04527129492638003, "pvalue": 0.6923208685490865, "lower": -0.10670014074069435, "upper": 0.07086662790280925 }, { "event_time": -3, "estimate": -0.038238518227493114, "se": 0.050435682795800546, "pvalue": 0.4484413925694393, "lower": -0.13714999439514824, "upper": 0.06067295794016201 }, { "event_time": -2, "estimate": -0.0333684657115615, "se": 0.026801516861379406, "pvalue": 0.21326846150474968, "lower": -0.08593001438781073, "upper": 0.019193082964687733 }, { "event_time": -1, "estimate": -0.07608518596248696, "se": 0.04485288519257581, "pvalue": 0.08997816709040264, "lower": -0.1640480098770158, "upper": 0.011877637952041845 }, { "event_time": 0, "estimate": -0.21107687573975614, "se": 0.1506641819700041, "pvalue": 0.16137513505478743, "lower": -0.5065505526716394, "upper": 0.08439680119212717 }, { "event_time": 1, "estimate": -0.08600318100439285, "se": 0.06314776945669312, "pvalue": 0.17337036519588767, "lower": -0.2098448491928594, "upper": 0.03783848718407369 }, { "event_time": 2, "estimate": -0.11055974628754862, "se": 0.02460249252970923, "pvalue": 7.391193367568517e-06, "lower": -0.15880869858922872, "upper": -0.06231079398586853 }, { "event_time": 3, "estimate": -0.03420882281195632, "se": 0.04250402071029074, "pvalue": 0.4210084105889604, "lower": -0.11756519271650917, "upper": 0.04914754709259653 }, { "event_time": 4, "estimate": -0.04899420380855881, "se": 0.09718307800889736, "pvalue": 0.6142156993063189, "lower": -0.2395839048203352, "upper": 0.14159549720321757 }, { "event_time": 5, "estimate": -0.003056177981218323, "se": 0.03606895096293172, "pvalue": 0.9324832249002543, "lower": -0.07379246994353109, "upper": 0.06768011398109444 } ], "Sun\u2013Abraham": [ { "event_time": -31, "estimate": 0.13622468881839422, "se": 0.09665997043182531, "pvalue": 0.15889515176519423, "lower": -0.053339124572267416, "upper": 0.32578850220905586 }, { "event_time": -30, "estimate": 0.25006814170076846, "se": 0.09549272303214905, "pvalue": 0.008892275479767661, "lower": 0.06279346482923112, "upper": 0.43734281857230584 }, { "event_time": -29, "estimate": 0.1488020351105983, "se": 0.09463624098406732, "pvalue": 0.1160244264526925, "lower": -0.036792959857357976, "upper": 0.3343970300785546 }, { "event_time": -28, "estimate": 0.24516124735882736, "se": 0.0962701244585062, "pvalue": 0.010951622483756767, "lower": 0.05636197681881233, "upper": 0.4339605178988424 }, { "event_time": -27, "estimate": 0.33516714265356584, "se": 0.09454522531079798, "pvalue": 0.00040148804080231517, "lower": 0.1497506422374512, "upper": 0.5205836430696805 }, { "event_time": -26, "estimate": -0.18277987826893685, "se": 0.10079012890617017, "pvalue": 0.06990791785076036, "lower": -0.380443514024605, "upper": 0.01488375748673132 }, { "event_time": -25, "estimate": -0.20609911670868278, "se": 0.10016990593450283, "pvalue": 0.0397668853249451, "lower": -0.4025464078789295, "upper": -0.009651825538436076 }, { "event_time": -24, "estimate": -0.4017557184734999, "se": 0.06387794296534785, "pvalue": 3.895957496029315e-10, "lower": -0.5270293597333326, "upper": -0.27648207721366713 }, { "event_time": -23, "estimate": -0.10398149309831536, "se": 0.038206392265525316, "pvalue": 0.006553056676263941, "lower": -0.17890960844323633, "upper": -0.02905337775339438 }, { "event_time": -22, "estimate": -0.07354009782108298, "se": 0.033739025783828, "pvalue": 0.029396897785804506, "lower": -0.1397070784139356, "upper": -0.007373117228230364 }, { "event_time": -21, "estimate": -0.1695902799708594, "se": 0.030693189610440142, "pvalue": 3.714392770054867e-08, "lower": -0.22978394692197185, "upper": -0.10939661301974696 }, { "event_time": -20, "estimate": -0.18580445779349536, "se": 0.03547667390028207, "pvalue": 1.7984592640648095e-07, "lower": -0.25537921103323136, "upper": -0.11622970455375933 }, { "event_time": -19, "estimate": -0.15406146348927602, "se": 0.02908800162942078, "pvalue": 1.30986024371744e-07, "lower": -0.2111071307717407, "upper": -0.09701579620681132 }, { "event_time": -18, "estimate": 0.012581628352936969, "se": 0.02912056156816311, "pvalue": 0.6657490163715356, "lower": -0.044527893554396625, "upper": 0.06969115026027056 }, { "event_time": -17, "estimate": -0.05560872038684174, "se": 0.026050431590727268, "pvalue": 0.032909318660533864, "lower": -0.10669728508171475, "upper": -0.004520155691968723 }, { "event_time": -16, "estimate": -0.05023117634417247, "se": 0.02433772958061177, "pvalue": 0.03915274532563275, "lower": -0.09796089121952962, "upper": -0.0025014614688153164 }, { "event_time": -15, "estimate": -0.008415780412168969, "se": 0.02407955517225204, "pvalue": 0.7267512079051586, "lower": -0.05563917891736888, "upper": 0.03880761809303094 }, { "event_time": -14, "estimate": 0.031251861860938736, "se": 0.023981008286819892, "pvalue": 0.1926579102233311, "lower": -0.015778272324845036, "upper": 0.07828199604672251 }, { "event_time": -13, "estimate": 0.04011378812853318, "se": 0.024128275720953198, "pvalue": 0.0965635401416233, "lower": -0.0072051582333546305, "upper": 0.087432734490421 }, { "event_time": -12, "estimate": 0.11171324559742317, "se": 0.024699448931529755, "pvalue": 6.454088379662589e-06, "lower": 0.06327414813865657, "upper": 0.16015234305618975 }, { "event_time": -11, "estimate": 0.018673320268924615, "se": 0.02483472041887915, "pvalue": 0.45219665069974513, "lower": -0.030031063625068685, "upper": 0.06737770416291791 }, { "event_time": -10, "estimate": 0.08164717565473414, "se": 0.026672657129425976, "pvalue": 0.0022344765526999006, "lower": 0.029338339058495526, "upper": 0.13395601225097276 }, { "event_time": -9, "estimate": 0.02491910851186528, "se": 0.025261974084897013, "pvalue": 0.3240416380471566, "lower": -0.024623179985798577, "upper": 0.07446139700952914 }, { "event_time": -8, "estimate": 0.0586727723850913, "se": 0.02471522483273424, "pvalue": 0.017691951454690758, "lower": 0.010202736162546522, "upper": 0.10714280860763607 }, { "event_time": -7, "estimate": 0.1635060628533561, "se": 0.01974842397865744, "pvalue": 2.223813129265221e-16, "lower": 0.124776622516001, "upper": 0.20223550319071118 }, { "event_time": -6, "estimate": 0.1681800211363244, "se": 0.024319412752265443, "pvalue": 6.236502649749811e-12, "lower": 0.1204862281406765, "upper": 0.21587381413197232 }, { "event_time": -5, "estimate": 0.14414546330817174, "se": 0.023673608519623655, "pvalue": 1.3577266780785237e-09, "lower": 0.09771818335299443, "upper": 0.19057274326334905 }, { "event_time": -4, "estimate": 0.04864954417404508, "se": 0.0218702218473106, "pvalue": 0.02622746189364296, "lower": 0.005758959430901489, "upper": 0.09154012891718867 }, { "event_time": -3, "estimate": 0.031996801904923024, "se": 0.02056528156153723, "pvalue": 0.11989707932747383, "lower": -0.008334611179951025, "upper": 0.07232821498979708 }, { "event_time": -2, "estimate": 0.05298930360217826, "se": 0.01801147547646582, "pvalue": 0.003298453852444076, "lower": 0.01766626386962028, "upper": 0.08831234333473624 }, { "event_time": 0, "estimate": -0.13219927720877842, "se": 0.0166739944535259, "pvalue": 3.6398450512664786e-15, "lower": -0.16489932831519197, "upper": -0.09949922610236486 }, { "event_time": 1, "estimate": -0.007808330080758292, "se": 0.01744585137501318, "pvalue": 0.654507881196398, "lower": -0.042022101300838784, "upper": 0.0264054411393222 }, { "event_time": 2, "estimate": -0.042199690794714736, "se": 0.01744590588265204, "pvalue": 0.01565602856050992, "lower": -0.07641356891195064, "upper": -0.007985812677478839 }, { "event_time": 3, "estimate": 0.020598238659890716, "se": 0.018650949689211094, "pvalue": 0.26954837306234475, "lower": -0.015978900052745923, "upper": 0.057175377372527356 }, { "event_time": 4, "estimate": 0.01200520938139288, "se": 0.020783290767175614, "pvalue": 0.5635733168124281, "lower": -0.02875375045515568, "upper": 0.052764169217941435 }, { "event_time": 5, "estimate": 0.04865986811906401, "se": 0.02086476189834974, "pvalue": 0.01979047195209666, "lower": 0.0077411319217569816, "upper": 0.08957860431637105 } ] }, "target": { "event_times": [ 0.0, 1.0, 2.0, 3.0, 4.0, 5.0 ], "weights": [ 0.20758638607430502, 0.18472330475448168, 0.16939464796050924, 0.1558846453624318, 0.1465315666406859, 0.13587944920758638 ], "weighting": "observations" }, "checks": { "did2s_vs_direct_imputation_max_post_difference": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "package_aggregate_vs_estimable_cell_weights": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "saturated_vs_deviations_relative_rss_difference": 2.9534156907009315e-11 }, "inference": { "standard_errors": "Cluster-robust; did2s uses two-stage covariance", "confidence_intervals": "Pointwise t, clusters minus one degrees of freedom" }, "f_test": { "F": 1.253099602797619, "df_num": 26, "df_den": 144036, "pvalue": 0.17464635282314106, "log10_pvalue": -0.757840479395491, "inference": "Homoskedastic nested-model F", "observations": 158933, "design_columns": 176, "restricted_design_columns": 150, "fixed_effect_rank": 14721, "covariance_rank": 26, "rss_unrestricted": 123260.97502256309, "rss_restricted": 123288.85635257691, "test_horizon": null, "reference_cohort": 3, "pyfixest": "0.27.0", "formulaic": "1.0.2", "design_head": { "index": [ 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 ], "columns": [ "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.-31.0]", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.-30.0]", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.-29.0]", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.-28.0]", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.-27.0]", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.-26.0]" ], "data": [ [ -4.078271317269437e-06, -4.088767869652299e-06, -4.505505143285e-06, -4.712841826748393e-06, -5.03532585073542e-06, -1.7590611430607248e-05 ], [ -2.747798904257305e-06, -2.7626692462244555e-06, -3.153683995234479e-06, -3.2847041287333957e-06, -3.506613277334991e-06, -1.201645281891921e-05 ], [ -1.5266182456917919e-06, -1.543340969538012e-06, -1.864152626206384e-06, -1.972217236715994e-06, -2.1155112423680953e-06, -6.9123780911460195e-06 ], [ -6.673649907463753e-07, -6.77355151464401e-07, -9.210866266801626e-07, -1.0404453519698981e-06, -1.1249890436930595e-06, -3.2667261165021862e-06 ], [ 2.5204395719800058e-08, -1.0265041002695305e-08, -2.096525564360571e-07, -3.1997406913733174e-07, -3.8501628616149373e-07, -4.34073074232132e-07 ] ] }, "formula": "y~i(rel_time,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_17,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_19,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_20,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_24,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_25,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_28,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_33,ref=-1.0)|unit_fe+time_fe", "restriction_names": [ "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.1.0]:cohort_dummy_17", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.2.0]:cohort_dummy_17", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.3.0]:cohort_dummy_17", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.4.0]:cohort_dummy_17", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.5.0]:cohort_dummy_17", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.1.0]:cohort_dummy_19", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.2.0]:cohort_dummy_19", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.3.0]:cohort_dummy_19", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.4.0]:cohort_dummy_19", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.5.0]:cohort_dummy_19", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.4.0]:cohort_dummy_20", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.1.0]:cohort_dummy_25", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.2.0]:cohort_dummy_25", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.3.0]:cohort_dummy_25", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.4.0]:cohort_dummy_25", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.5.0]:cohort_dummy_25", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.1.0]:cohort_dummy_28", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.2.0]:cohort_dummy_28", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.3.0]:cohort_dummy_28", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.4.0]:cohort_dummy_28", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.5.0]:cohort_dummy_28", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.1.0]:cohort_dummy_33", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.2.0]:cohort_dummy_33", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.3.0]:cohort_dummy_33", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.4.0]:cohort_dummy_33", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.5.0]:cohort_dummy_33" ], "deviations": [ { "event_time": -16.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": 3.805820994684279 }, { "event_time": -15.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": -0.5986748097399779 }, { "event_time": -14.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": 0.007693395437162354 }, { "event_time": -13.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": 0.3053294301681614 }, { "event_time": -12.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": -0.4006430519201094 }, { "event_time": -11.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": -0.2807147358005716 }, { "event_time": -10.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": -0.1758571940229534 }, { "event_time": -9.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": -0.7081493157707299 }, { "event_time": -8.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": -0.11465558003481838 }, { "event_time": -7.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": -0.1677443297621471 }, { "event_time": -6.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": 0.1532517420770027 }, { "event_time": -5.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": -0.0531899429120833 }, { "event_time": -4.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": 0.12883233805677352 }, { "event_time": -3.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": 0.363576904875236 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": 0.47406446453872503 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": -0.07712552434345665 }, { "event_time": 1.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": 0.2382491835609709 }, { "event_time": 2.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": 0.24797307612417513 }, { "event_time": 3.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": -0.1405824302756319 }, { "event_time": 4.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": -0.39965835974373776 }, { "event_time": 5.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": -0.06507528214066668 }, { "event_time": -18.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": -0.3983449362375072 }, { "event_time": -17.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": -0.4019048641439076 }, { "event_time": -16.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": 3.6386140104286295 }, { "event_time": -15.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": -0.5216996789443868 }, { "event_time": -14.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": -0.05373313811598446 }, { "event_time": -13.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": 0.2573196715799557 }, { "event_time": -12.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": -0.4080365245449421 }, { "event_time": -11.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": -0.21234360440458236 }, { "event_time": -10.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": -0.3883709077338575 }, { "event_time": -9.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": -0.6812072213111542 }, { "event_time": -8.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": -0.28370859898719525 }, { "event_time": -7.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": -0.428754018459759 }, { "event_time": -6.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": 0.10470449095202022 }, { "event_time": -5.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": 0.13008510177728205 }, { "event_time": -4.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": -0.24781448437842013 }, { "event_time": -3.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": 0.09516787261942378 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": 0.2636400786629616 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": -0.5553636309691015 }, { "event_time": 1.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": -0.1726398156271355 }, { "event_time": 2.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": 0.03644785052083327 }, { "event_time": 3.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": -0.11732898085036503 }, { "event_time": 4.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": -0.31213539294965054 }, { "event_time": 5.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": -0.2602366499684906 }, { "event_time": -5.0, "cohort": 20, "estimate": 3.3957612099345007 }, { "event_time": -4.0, "cohort": 20, "estimate": 0.5635164597548515 }, { "event_time": -3.0, "cohort": 20, "estimate": -1.0380971171458373 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 20, "estimate": -0.9819183928615379 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 20, "estimate": 1.1271249037851014 }, { "event_time": 4.0, "cohort": 20, "estimate": 0.3549333901900986 }, { "event_time": -22.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -0.8885469362592522 }, { "event_time": -21.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -0.9155385545311746 }, { "event_time": -20.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -1.2370184858145548 }, { "event_time": -19.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -1.0507813038924976 }, { "event_time": -18.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -1.0328187296801785 }, { "event_time": -17.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -0.39679559209431964 }, { "event_time": -16.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": 3.425605233756004 }, { "event_time": -15.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -0.9743829234736664 }, { "event_time": -14.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -0.4362842315233442 }, { "event_time": -13.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -0.09170366925471943 }, { "event_time": -12.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -0.7103407305309815 }, { "event_time": -11.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -0.9342127127473862 }, { "event_time": -10.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -0.7105701417762212 }, { "event_time": -9.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -1.2307834121204282 }, { "event_time": -8.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -1.2855608182982405 }, { "event_time": -7.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -1.120351260870201 }, { "event_time": -6.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -0.5559921028688172 }, { "event_time": -5.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -0.9326470782852061 }, { "event_time": -4.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -0.9912194728857825 }, { "event_time": -3.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": 0.3093569060548442 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -0.12283596585615537 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -1.7838724865677598 }, { "event_time": -24.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.9117439014920289 }, { "event_time": -23.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.543745981639616 }, { "event_time": -22.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.6342288766756705 }, { "event_time": -21.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.8901254438111992 }, { "event_time": -20.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.9246593316572727 }, { "event_time": -19.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.7213094009003483 }, { "event_time": -18.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.8907129676201159 }, { "event_time": -17.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.5106412085229463 }, { "event_time": -16.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": 3.6480011448560146 }, { "event_time": -15.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.770032902105747 }, { "event_time": -14.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.2747968041548615 }, { "event_time": -13.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": 0.0931357067012292 }, { "event_time": -12.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.6618829622931608 }, { "event_time": -11.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.5891274459057352 }, { "event_time": -10.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.4376646666912215 }, { "event_time": -9.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.9013111182784352 }, { "event_time": -8.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.587692876496609 }, { "event_time": -7.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.49715472235206043 }, { "event_time": -6.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.11381974494167688 }, { "event_time": -5.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.06806576508643813 }, { "event_time": -4.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.2508376196254841 }, { "event_time": -3.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": 0.09642066780043457 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": 0.11417270063443347 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.279686292995309 }, { "event_time": 1.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.18257053969170572 }, { "event_time": 2.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.13696426588352686 }, { "event_time": 3.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.3828493609893237 }, { "event_time": 4.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.7486352920685997 }, { "event_time": 5.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.3409560679097109 }, { "event_time": -26.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -1.1842745133428214 }, { "event_time": -25.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -1.095971397261895 }, { "event_time": -24.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.8166277370267898 }, { "event_time": -23.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.8582152594221948 }, { "event_time": -22.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.9794744350924381 }, { "event_time": -21.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.8970701718436104 }, { "event_time": -20.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -1.1505943022212126 }, { "event_time": -19.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -1.0331848917081103 }, { "event_time": -18.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -1.1869256162312376 }, { "event_time": -17.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.7571939944767625 }, { "event_time": -16.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": 3.568759579857716 }, { "event_time": -15.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -1.010103587406751 }, { "event_time": -14.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.2995757873147529 }, { "event_time": -13.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": 0.030851101782086277 }, { "event_time": -12.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -1.0008564362881731 }, { "event_time": -11.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.6233985216053689 }, { "event_time": -10.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.5655887267727282 }, { "event_time": -9.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -1.0033415813777713 }, { "event_time": -8.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.5758450201925631 }, { "event_time": -7.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.867007135549771 }, { "event_time": -6.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.3036043697700602 }, { "event_time": -5.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.4462657509601758 }, { "event_time": -4.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.35939474953055317 }, { "event_time": -3.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.3104369411408018 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": 0.04351936594952808 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.789877255650402 }, { "event_time": 1.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.7746345274819293 }, { "event_time": 2.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.344426469547214 }, { "event_time": 3.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.5508827554787147 }, { "event_time": 4.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.8309779638530497 }, { "event_time": 5.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.8239353859818023 }, { "event_time": -16.0, "cohort": 33, "estimate": 4.313692111700004 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 33, "estimate": 0.3088733833825058 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 33, "estimate": 0.5191879837921233 }, { "event_time": 1.0, "cohort": 33, "estimate": 0.28944455723941587 }, { "event_time": 2.0, "cohort": 33, "estimate": 0.26922801017683995 }, { "event_time": 3.0, "cohort": 33, "estimate": -0.4291529607722828 }, { "event_time": 4.0, "cohort": 33, "estimate": -0.036967988790286385 }, { "event_time": 5.0, "cohort": 33, "estimate": -0.13738030864470707 } ] } } }, "code_sha256": { "replication_engine.py": "cd3acc93d19b09e121e2366dbaaccd6cc5c4f902ca3ac3d3c1c27b3cc1d436f0", "reference_f_test.py": "5f044e72270f04daf518d8b9667920b0bdce87bdaa9b134f2625697b9eff1909", "sparse_did2s.py": "16f2083b77e2a6a0fd9a4dda23961f99f24def371aa785b956cc08b5c86929f3", "frequency.py": "f8b8062ee5e78fff474749beed9c4a3c20ced533b2e327a18f101ff35bca26b2", "sparse_models.py": "fd6fc12f18694fa56b8e0a68bec3d72bf57339ae0aecab45d7f13a834468feec" } }, "comparison": { "schema": "expensive-replication-v1", "config": { "outcomes": [ "y" ], "treatments": [ "d" ], "unit": "unit", "time": "time", "cluster": "cluster", "covariates": [], "baseline_by_time": [], "weight": null, "period_step": 1, "period_values": null, "display_window": [ -10, 10 ], "seed": 20261008, "panelview_max_units": 100, "test_mode": "classical", "test_horizon": null, "post_horizon": null, "post_weighting": "observations", "sample_query": null, "reversal_policy": "drop_post_untreated", "labels": {}, "allow_repeated_cells": true, "time_fe": null, "unit_fe": null, "frequency_weights": false, "source_sd": null, "require_never_control_periods": false, "latest_cohort_control": true, "slug": "s02-p009", "specification_id": "S02-P009", "source_specification_id": "AM005-P2587-T2-DEMP-QP-M1", "study_id": 2, "study": "Do Powerful Politicians Really Cause Corporate Downsizing?", "citation": "Snyder and Welch (2017), JPE. https://doi.org/10.1086/694204", "description": "AM005-P2587-T2-DEMP-QP-M1", "data": "analyses/full-archive/prepared/S02-P009.parquet", "output_dir": "analyses/archive-expanded/fits/S02-P009" }, "options": { "output_dir": "analyses/archive-expanded/fits/S02-P009", "regression_results": "analyses/archive-expanded/baselines/S02-P009.json", "display_window": [ -10, 10 ], "timeout_seconds": 3600 }, "source": { "file": "S02-P009.parquet", "bytes": 1459671, "sha256": "0333b7e85ed021a4c6a5163940667841842e0309d15f02865f3ef196a8dac18a" }, "regressions": { "y__d": { "sample": { "outcome": "y", "treatment": "d", "source_rows": 168267, "source_sd": 0.3181313377096774, "rows": 158933, "units": 14681, "clusters": 2018, "treated_units": 792, "never_treated_units": 13889, "treated_cohorts": 8, "latest_cohort_control_index": null, "unique_unit_period_cells": 158639, "unsupported_prediction_rows_removed": 0, "rows_without_never_control_time_fe_removed": 0, "initially_treated_units_removed": 286, "post_adoption_untreated_rows_removed": 6132, "units_without_minus_one_removed": 36, "additional_rows_removed": 2068 }, "estimates": [ { "method": "Static TWFE", "estimate": -0.08543758521702213, "se": 0.040893257759548066, "pvalue": 0.0368072975065947, "lower": -0.1656350221522489, "upper": -0.005240148281795351 }, { "method": "Dynamic TWFE", "estimate": -0.024149093274566148, "se": 0.049449436010379905, "pvalue": 0.6253484329284327, "lower": -0.12112640061562846, "upper": 0.07282821406649617 }, { "method": "BJS / did2s", "estimate": -0.09135880636764052, "se": 0.04155857067060034, "pvalue": 0.02803993756904423, "lower": -0.17286101560885578, "upper": -0.009856597126425254 }, { "method": "Sun\u2013Abraham", "estimate": -0.02445158515512512, "se": 0.013256197082919415, "pvalue": 0.06525103447781172, "lower": -0.050448854333566724, "upper": 0.0015456840233164862 } ], "event_studies": { "Dynamic TWFE": [ { "event_time": -31, "estimate": -0.3186995184443159, "se": 0.0779957287058334, "pvalue": 4.558291632447692e-05, "lower": -0.471660125566468, "upper": -0.16573891132216373 }, { "event_time": -30, "estimate": -0.20356475393937723, "se": 0.07660759254743288, "pvalue": 0.007940489567095095, "lower": -0.3538030305816389, "upper": -0.05332647729711554 }, { "event_time": -29, "estimate": -0.31114581801092317, "se": 0.07543805024857826, "pvalue": 3.8658565927358634e-05, "lower": -0.45909045751361083, "upper": -0.1632011785082355 }, { "event_time": -28, "estimate": -0.21369540520473376, "se": 0.07757376967144577, "pvalue": 0.005926668697099447, "lower": -0.36582849124141675, "upper": -0.06156231916805077 }, { "event_time": -27, "estimate": -0.1229352822101254, "se": 0.07534998676429769, "pvalue": 0.1029359924674136, "lower": -0.270707216819297, "upper": 0.0248366523990462 }, { "event_time": -26, "estimate": -0.07950490110200319, "se": 0.13658047141767693, "pvalue": 0.5605574355022448, "lower": -0.3473584384139139, "upper": 0.1883486362099075 }, { "event_time": -25, "estimate": -0.10245191360067477, "se": 0.11439645864808864, "pvalue": 0.37058056237876236, "lower": -0.326799477983737, "upper": 0.12189565078238743 }, { "event_time": -24, "estimate": -0.30997969006599757, "se": 0.1187914124657066, "pvalue": 0.009135965305373682, "lower": -0.5429463777699293, "upper": -0.07701300236206585 }, { "event_time": -23, "estimate": -0.024203352222334436, "se": 0.05333797815213794, "pvalue": 0.650040796097319, "lower": -0.12880663827649644, "upper": 0.08039993383182756 }, { "event_time": -22, "estimate": 0.01228786646740328, "se": 0.05153968739355938, "pvalue": 0.8115829730592219, "lower": -0.08878871817914999, "upper": 0.11336445111395654 }, { "event_time": -21, "estimate": -0.09147009366376964, "se": 0.05116087940363791, "pvalue": 0.07394361143608247, "lower": -0.19180378249945554, "upper": 0.008863595171916261 }, { "event_time": -20, "estimate": -0.10674435096494915, "se": 0.05172421857308277, "pvalue": 0.03917184292463184, "lower": -0.20818282723968784, "upper": -0.0053058746902104464 }, { "event_time": -19, "estimate": -0.07536438970622557, "se": 0.047561855698655765, "pvalue": 0.11322417406533267, "lower": -0.1686398862524674, "upper": 0.017911106840016247 }, { "event_time": -18, "estimate": 0.07365680604475063, "se": 0.057677739062322424, "pvalue": 0.20173495444480488, "lower": -0.03945736226670035, "upper": 0.1867709743562016 }, { "event_time": -17, "estimate": -0.018589681409877764, "se": 0.04441654506732375, "pvalue": 0.6756038076926348, "lower": -0.10569678089464919, "upper": 0.06851741807489366 }, { "event_time": -16, "estimate": -0.011847772347073984, "se": 0.06074028458890062, "pvalue": 0.8453685548053113, "lower": -0.13096802369483354, "upper": 0.10727247900068557 }, { "event_time": -15, "estimate": 0.014058746740304922, "se": 0.05252042436217144, "pvalue": 0.7889718489494555, "lower": -0.08894120120620325, "upper": 0.1170586946868131 }, { "event_time": -14, "estimate": 0.04705858759463283, "se": 0.049106462178814085, "pvalue": 0.33802774127639784, "lower": -0.04924609976615876, "upper": 0.14336327495542442 }, { "event_time": -13, "estimate": 0.05313909624592241, "se": 0.04421474780701318, "pvalue": 0.2295662281985867, "lower": -0.033572250394880994, "upper": 0.13985044288672582 }, { "event_time": -12, "estimate": 0.11976678358708828, "se": 0.05835072918908147, "pvalue": 0.040246696276010366, "lower": 0.005332786868564823, "upper": 0.23420078030561176 }, { "event_time": -11, "estimate": 0.02609356604284508, "se": 0.08943288904892638, "pvalue": 0.7704947793790184, "lower": -0.14929692305952455, "upper": 0.2014840551452147 }, { "event_time": -10, "estimate": 0.08988607165622593, "se": 0.05201945511798676, "pvalue": 0.08415350931221807, "lower": -0.012131405057414793, "upper": 0.19190354836986667 }, { "event_time": -9, "estimate": 0.03412270802782062, "se": 0.050252838283306636, "pvalue": 0.49720277018648873, "lower": -0.06443018430320538, "upper": 0.13267560035884662 }, { "event_time": -8, "estimate": 0.06424831238402222, "se": 0.06963591946388291, "pvalue": 0.35630947735216484, "lower": -0.07231753161081923, "upper": 0.20081415637886368 }, { "event_time": -7, "estimate": 0.17071836282719252, "se": 0.04799209768080478, "pvalue": 0.00038345267773223806, "lower": 0.07659910116854105, "upper": 0.264837624485844 }, { "event_time": -6, "estimate": 0.1829563597874907, "se": 0.05029714408983274, "pvalue": 0.0002821986685962337, "lower": 0.08431657753085314, "upper": 0.28159614204412825 }, { "event_time": -5, "estimate": 0.15167416924047042, "se": 0.049851919979876876, "pvalue": 0.00237652288118439, "lower": 0.0539075341586111, "upper": 0.24944080432232973 }, { "event_time": -4, "estimate": 0.049620680509263736, "se": 0.05782714810155236, "pvalue": 0.39094679300307145, "lower": -0.06378649996746033, "upper": 0.1630278609859878 }, { "event_time": -3, "estimate": 0.033749258408383734, "se": 0.056087505126348816, "pvalue": 0.5474247796979876, "lower": -0.07624623722253904, "upper": 0.1437447540393065 }, { "event_time": -2, "estimate": 0.05416497629702208, "se": 0.045280372447462185, "pvalue": 0.2317539928454818, "lower": -0.03463621032184175, "upper": 0.1429661629158859 }, { "event_time": 0, "estimate": -0.12957986856224768, "se": 0.12349804972457475, "pvalue": 0.2941904885251465, "lower": -0.3717769347056896, "upper": 0.11261719758119429 }, { "event_time": 1, "estimate": -0.005634663807181347, "se": 0.05283399683991627, "pvalue": 0.9150784869480476, "lower": -0.10924957153890477, "upper": 0.09798024392454208 }, { "event_time": 2, "estimate": -0.0420147702022572, "se": 0.044283548668643584, "pvalue": 0.3428527817204925, "lower": -0.12886104502105358, "upper": 0.044831504616539196 }, { "event_time": 3, "estimate": 0.01972716170750977, "se": 0.06112553417916672, "pvalue": 0.7469317175709194, "lower": -0.10014861833648024, "upper": 0.1396029417514998 }, { "event_time": 4, "estimate": 0.013022385717713992, "se": 0.11028276267231868, "pvalue": 0.9060146116853303, "lower": -0.20325764157824786, "upper": 0.22930241301367585 }, { "event_time": 5, "estimate": 0.043601163550500734, "se": 0.04347737925605168, "pvalue": 0.31605493303653565, "lower": -0.041664099527788094, "upper": 0.12886642662878955 } ], "BJS / did2s": [ { "event_time": -31, "estimate": -0.2773448514923687, "se": 0.047555077661804945, "pvalue": 6.360483942161579e-09, "lower": -0.3706070553538828, "upper": -0.18408264763085463 }, { "event_time": -30, "estimate": -0.16225820313608655, "se": 0.046254084133117025, "pvalue": 0.0004614178619556766, "lower": -0.25296897548574643, "upper": -0.07154743078642668 }, { "event_time": -29, "estimate": -0.26656575393845594, "se": 0.04583843546915074, "pvalue": 7.019427345551594e-09, "lower": -0.35646138072765077, "upper": -0.1766701271492611 }, { "event_time": -28, "estimate": -0.17060262258610678, "se": 0.047258227144168094, "pvalue": 0.00031365684727949764, "lower": -0.2632826607809148, "upper": -0.07792258439129879 }, { "event_time": -27, "estimate": -0.08050019584860635, "se": 0.04557655040579132, "pvalue": 0.07750289978748608, "lower": -0.16988222915066598, "upper": 0.008881837453453278 }, { "event_time": -26, "estimate": -0.054355179944884646, "se": 0.1153104081381465, "pvalue": 0.6374193872231866, "lower": -0.28049512797763987, "upper": 0.17178476808787058 }, { "event_time": -25, "estimate": -0.07523973096178238, "se": 0.09424660835442843, "pvalue": 0.4247740055733773, "lower": -0.2600706014760914, "upper": 0.10959113955252664 }, { "event_time": -24, "estimate": -0.2846946338498049, "se": 0.09399722179261419, "pvalue": 0.002486777148962182, "lower": -0.4690364221985112, "upper": -0.10035284550109863 }, { "event_time": -23, "estimate": -0.04461189958094714, "se": 0.023970393015408296, "pvalue": 0.06287190804063886, "lower": -0.09162121572468135, "upper": 0.0023974165627870733 }, { "event_time": -22, "estimate": -0.006660033026173445, "se": 0.022194374216588722, "pvalue": 0.7641489394432799, "lower": -0.050186326211658416, "upper": 0.03686626015931152 }, { "event_time": -21, "estimate": -0.10399929750923734, "se": 0.02291701683550732, "pvalue": 6.011026464218347e-06, "lower": -0.14894279463083815, "upper": -0.05905580038763652 }, { "event_time": -20, "estimate": -0.12214352770650815, "se": 0.02483666802531772, "pvalue": 9.456848934435256e-07, "lower": -0.17085173113098373, "upper": -0.07343532428203257 }, { "event_time": -19, "estimate": -0.09621163301013884, "se": 0.021017311785347454, "pvalue": 4.986770302853369e-06, "lower": -0.13742954101747654, "upper": -0.054993725002801135 }, { "event_time": -18, "estimate": 0.04321303071967466, "se": 0.036126137975269784, "pvalue": 0.23177051314612618, "lower": -0.027635413026740586, "upper": 0.11406147446608991 }, { "event_time": -17, "estimate": -0.04453287716053242, "se": 0.01564949062466904, "pvalue": 0.004476941268441236, "lower": -0.07522373199092998, "upper": -0.013842022330134863 }, { "event_time": -16, "estimate": -0.043508462671367425, "se": 0.03880760643356225, "pvalue": 0.2623649944768546, "lower": -0.11961564366102662, "upper": 0.03259871831829176 }, { "event_time": -15, "estimate": -0.015550080713253422, "se": 0.029673607964976437, "pvalue": 0.6003100961932234, "lower": -0.07374420448311128, "upper": 0.04264404305660444 }, { "event_time": -14, "estimate": 0.009219710295090531, "se": 0.02275627463881135, "pvalue": 0.6854100395097296, "lower": -0.03540854874354428, "upper": 0.053847969333725335 }, { "event_time": -13, "estimate": 0.007952041762663875, "se": 0.015579752970509633, "pvalue": 0.6098210012024715, "lower": -0.022602047707674933, "upper": 0.038506131233002686 }, { "event_time": -12, "estimate": 0.062415424388260816, "se": 0.03275844454117268, "pvalue": 0.05688014265139453, "lower": -0.0018284983051669243, "upper": 0.12665934708168855 }, { "event_time": -11, "estimate": -0.025316703895771082, "se": 0.06499159535531594, "pvalue": 0.6969192413057044, "lower": -0.1527743743135982, "upper": 0.10214096652205602 }, { "event_time": -10, "estimate": 0.03341129325566555, "se": 0.031977075988794235, "pvalue": 0.29621684783198654, "lower": -0.029300255676517672, "upper": 0.09612284218784878 }, { "event_time": -9, "estimate": -0.01689677653548775, "se": 0.026413668375569337, "pvalue": 0.5224414643391113, "lower": -0.06869769971537594, "upper": 0.03490414664440043 }, { "event_time": -8, "estimate": 0.008470227170488068, "se": 0.04656161590188539, "pvalue": 0.8556682041598226, "lower": -0.08284365828344926, "upper": 0.0997841126244254 }, { "event_time": -7, "estimate": 0.11204987693050361, "se": 0.03162392223817483, "pvalue": 0.0004042911574380868, "lower": 0.050030912233361556, "upper": 0.17406884162764566 }, { "event_time": -6, "estimate": 0.11089069363405095, "se": 0.030954987123225097, "pvalue": 0.00034862601701049023, "lower": 0.05018360489480844, "upper": 0.17159778237329346 }, { "event_time": -5, "estimate": 0.08480164457517948, "se": 0.030794591577745615, "pvalue": 0.005943908771263676, "lower": 0.02440911408705304, "upper": 0.14519417506330592 }, { "event_time": -4, "estimate": -0.017916756418942557, "se": 0.04527129492638003, "pvalue": 0.6923208685490865, "lower": -0.10670014074069435, "upper": 0.07086662790280925 }, { "event_time": -3, "estimate": -0.038238518227493114, "se": 0.050435682795800546, "pvalue": 0.4484413925694393, "lower": -0.13714999439514824, "upper": 0.06067295794016201 }, { "event_time": -2, "estimate": -0.0333684657115615, "se": 0.026801516861379406, "pvalue": 0.21326846150474968, "lower": -0.08593001438781073, "upper": 0.019193082964687733 }, { "event_time": -1, "estimate": -0.07608518596248696, "se": 0.04485288519257581, "pvalue": 0.08997816709040264, "lower": -0.1640480098770158, "upper": 0.011877637952041845 }, { "event_time": 0, "estimate": -0.21107687573975614, "se": 0.1506641819700041, "pvalue": 0.16137513505478743, "lower": -0.5065505526716394, "upper": 0.08439680119212717 }, { "event_time": 1, "estimate": -0.08600318100439285, "se": 0.06314776945669312, "pvalue": 0.17337036519588767, "lower": -0.2098448491928594, "upper": 0.03783848718407369 }, { "event_time": 2, "estimate": -0.11055974628754862, "se": 0.02460249252970923, "pvalue": 7.391193367568517e-06, "lower": -0.15880869858922872, "upper": -0.06231079398586853 }, { "event_time": 3, "estimate": -0.03420882281195632, "se": 0.04250402071029074, "pvalue": 0.4210084105889604, "lower": -0.11756519271650917, "upper": 0.04914754709259653 }, { "event_time": 4, "estimate": -0.04899420380855881, "se": 0.09718307800889736, "pvalue": 0.6142156993063189, "lower": -0.2395839048203352, "upper": 0.14159549720321757 }, { "event_time": 5, "estimate": -0.003056177981218323, "se": 0.03606895096293172, "pvalue": 0.9324832249002543, "lower": -0.07379246994353109, "upper": 0.06768011398109444 } ], "Sun\u2013Abraham": [ { "event_time": -31, "estimate": 0.13622468881839422, "se": 0.09665997043182531, "pvalue": 0.15889515176519423, "lower": -0.053339124572267416, "upper": 0.32578850220905586 }, { "event_time": -30, "estimate": 0.25006814170076846, "se": 0.09549272303214905, "pvalue": 0.008892275479767661, "lower": 0.06279346482923112, "upper": 0.43734281857230584 }, { "event_time": -29, "estimate": 0.1488020351105983, "se": 0.09463624098406732, "pvalue": 0.1160244264526925, "lower": -0.036792959857357976, "upper": 0.3343970300785546 }, { "event_time": -28, "estimate": 0.24516124735882736, "se": 0.0962701244585062, "pvalue": 0.010951622483756767, "lower": 0.05636197681881233, "upper": 0.4339605178988424 }, { "event_time": -27, "estimate": 0.33516714265356584, "se": 0.09454522531079798, "pvalue": 0.00040148804080231517, "lower": 0.1497506422374512, "upper": 0.5205836430696805 }, { "event_time": -26, "estimate": -0.18277987826893685, "se": 0.10079012890617017, "pvalue": 0.06990791785076036, "lower": -0.380443514024605, "upper": 0.01488375748673132 }, { "event_time": -25, "estimate": -0.20609911670868278, "se": 0.10016990593450283, "pvalue": 0.0397668853249451, "lower": -0.4025464078789295, "upper": -0.009651825538436076 }, { "event_time": -24, "estimate": -0.4017557184734999, "se": 0.06387794296534785, "pvalue": 3.895957496029315e-10, "lower": -0.5270293597333326, "upper": -0.27648207721366713 }, { "event_time": -23, "estimate": -0.10398149309831536, "se": 0.038206392265525316, "pvalue": 0.006553056676263941, "lower": -0.17890960844323633, "upper": -0.02905337775339438 }, { "event_time": -22, "estimate": -0.07354009782108298, "se": 0.033739025783828, "pvalue": 0.029396897785804506, "lower": -0.1397070784139356, "upper": -0.007373117228230364 }, { "event_time": -21, "estimate": -0.1695902799708594, "se": 0.030693189610440142, "pvalue": 3.714392770054867e-08, "lower": -0.22978394692197185, "upper": -0.10939661301974696 }, { "event_time": -20, "estimate": -0.18580445779349536, "se": 0.03547667390028207, "pvalue": 1.7984592640648095e-07, "lower": -0.25537921103323136, "upper": -0.11622970455375933 }, { "event_time": -19, "estimate": -0.15406146348927602, "se": 0.02908800162942078, "pvalue": 1.30986024371744e-07, "lower": -0.2111071307717407, "upper": -0.09701579620681132 }, { "event_time": -18, "estimate": 0.012581628352936969, "se": 0.02912056156816311, "pvalue": 0.6657490163715356, "lower": -0.044527893554396625, "upper": 0.06969115026027056 }, { "event_time": -17, "estimate": -0.05560872038684174, "se": 0.026050431590727268, "pvalue": 0.032909318660533864, "lower": -0.10669728508171475, "upper": -0.004520155691968723 }, { "event_time": -16, "estimate": -0.05023117634417247, "se": 0.02433772958061177, "pvalue": 0.03915274532563275, "lower": -0.09796089121952962, "upper": -0.0025014614688153164 }, { "event_time": -15, "estimate": -0.008415780412168969, "se": 0.02407955517225204, "pvalue": 0.7267512079051586, "lower": -0.05563917891736888, "upper": 0.03880761809303094 }, { "event_time": -14, "estimate": 0.031251861860938736, "se": 0.023981008286819892, "pvalue": 0.1926579102233311, "lower": -0.015778272324845036, "upper": 0.07828199604672251 }, { "event_time": -13, "estimate": 0.04011378812853318, "se": 0.024128275720953198, "pvalue": 0.0965635401416233, "lower": -0.0072051582333546305, "upper": 0.087432734490421 }, { "event_time": -12, "estimate": 0.11171324559742317, "se": 0.024699448931529755, "pvalue": 6.454088379662589e-06, "lower": 0.06327414813865657, "upper": 0.16015234305618975 }, { "event_time": -11, "estimate": 0.018673320268924615, "se": 0.02483472041887915, "pvalue": 0.45219665069974513, "lower": -0.030031063625068685, "upper": 0.06737770416291791 }, { "event_time": -10, "estimate": 0.08164717565473414, "se": 0.026672657129425976, "pvalue": 0.0022344765526999006, "lower": 0.029338339058495526, "upper": 0.13395601225097276 }, { "event_time": -9, "estimate": 0.02491910851186528, "se": 0.025261974084897013, "pvalue": 0.3240416380471566, "lower": -0.024623179985798577, "upper": 0.07446139700952914 }, { "event_time": -8, "estimate": 0.0586727723850913, "se": 0.02471522483273424, "pvalue": 0.017691951454690758, "lower": 0.010202736162546522, "upper": 0.10714280860763607 }, { "event_time": -7, "estimate": 0.1635060628533561, "se": 0.01974842397865744, "pvalue": 2.223813129265221e-16, "lower": 0.124776622516001, "upper": 0.20223550319071118 }, { "event_time": -6, "estimate": 0.1681800211363244, "se": 0.024319412752265443, "pvalue": 6.236502649749811e-12, "lower": 0.1204862281406765, "upper": 0.21587381413197232 }, { "event_time": -5, "estimate": 0.14414546330817174, "se": 0.023673608519623655, "pvalue": 1.3577266780785237e-09, "lower": 0.09771818335299443, "upper": 0.19057274326334905 }, { "event_time": -4, "estimate": 0.04864954417404508, "se": 0.0218702218473106, "pvalue": 0.02622746189364296, "lower": 0.005758959430901489, "upper": 0.09154012891718867 }, { "event_time": -3, "estimate": 0.031996801904923024, "se": 0.02056528156153723, "pvalue": 0.11989707932747383, "lower": -0.008334611179951025, "upper": 0.07232821498979708 }, { "event_time": -2, "estimate": 0.05298930360217826, "se": 0.01801147547646582, "pvalue": 0.003298453852444076, "lower": 0.01766626386962028, "upper": 0.08831234333473624 }, { "event_time": 0, "estimate": -0.13219927720877842, "se": 0.0166739944535259, "pvalue": 3.6398450512664786e-15, "lower": -0.16489932831519197, "upper": -0.09949922610236486 }, { "event_time": 1, "estimate": -0.007808330080758292, "se": 0.01744585137501318, "pvalue": 0.654507881196398, "lower": -0.042022101300838784, "upper": 0.0264054411393222 }, { "event_time": 2, "estimate": -0.042199690794714736, "se": 0.01744590588265204, "pvalue": 0.01565602856050992, "lower": -0.07641356891195064, "upper": -0.007985812677478839 }, { "event_time": 3, "estimate": 0.020598238659890716, "se": 0.018650949689211094, "pvalue": 0.26954837306234475, "lower": -0.015978900052745923, "upper": 0.057175377372527356 }, { "event_time": 4, "estimate": 0.01200520938139288, "se": 0.020783290767175614, "pvalue": 0.5635733168124281, "lower": -0.02875375045515568, "upper": 0.052764169217941435 }, { "event_time": 5, "estimate": 0.04865986811906401, "se": 0.02086476189834974, "pvalue": 0.01979047195209666, "lower": 0.0077411319217569816, "upper": 0.08957860431637105 } ] }, "target": { "event_times": [ 0.0, 1.0, 2.0, 3.0, 4.0, 5.0 ], "weights": [ 0.20758638607430502, 0.18472330475448168, 0.16939464796050924, 0.1558846453624318, 0.1465315666406859, 0.13587944920758638 ], "weighting": "observations" }, "checks": { "did2s_vs_direct_imputation_max_post_difference": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "package_aggregate_vs_estimable_cell_weights": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "saturated_vs_deviations_relative_rss_difference": 2.9534156907009315e-11 }, "inference": { "standard_errors": "Cluster-robust; did2s uses two-stage covariance", "confidence_intervals": "Pointwise t, clusters minus one degrees of freedom" }, "f_test": { "F": 1.253099602797619, "df_num": 26, "df_den": 144036, "pvalue": 0.17464635282314106, "log10_pvalue": -0.757840479395491, "inference": "Homoskedastic nested-model F", "observations": 158933, "design_columns": 176, "restricted_design_columns": 150, "fixed_effect_rank": 14721, "covariance_rank": 26, "rss_unrestricted": 123260.97502256309, "rss_restricted": 123288.85635257691, "test_horizon": null, "reference_cohort": 3, "pyfixest": "0.27.0", "formulaic": "1.0.2", "design_head": { "index": [ 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 ], "columns": [ "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.-31.0]", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.-30.0]", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.-29.0]", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.-28.0]", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.-27.0]", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.-26.0]" ], "data": [ [ -4.078271317269437e-06, -4.088767869652299e-06, -4.505505143285e-06, -4.712841826748393e-06, -5.03532585073542e-06, -1.7590611430607248e-05 ], [ -2.747798904257305e-06, -2.7626692462244555e-06, -3.153683995234479e-06, -3.2847041287333957e-06, -3.506613277334991e-06, -1.201645281891921e-05 ], [ -1.5266182456917919e-06, -1.543340969538012e-06, -1.864152626206384e-06, -1.972217236715994e-06, -2.1155112423680953e-06, -6.9123780911460195e-06 ], [ -6.673649907463753e-07, -6.77355151464401e-07, -9.210866266801626e-07, -1.0404453519698981e-06, -1.1249890436930595e-06, -3.2667261165021862e-06 ], [ 2.5204395719800058e-08, -1.0265041002695305e-08, -2.096525564360571e-07, -3.1997406913733174e-07, -3.8501628616149373e-07, -4.34073074232132e-07 ] ] }, "formula": "y~i(rel_time,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_17,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_19,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_20,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_24,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_25,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_28,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_33,ref=-1.0)|unit_fe+time_fe", "restriction_names": [ "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.1.0]:cohort_dummy_17", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.2.0]:cohort_dummy_17", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.3.0]:cohort_dummy_17", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.4.0]:cohort_dummy_17", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.5.0]:cohort_dummy_17", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.1.0]:cohort_dummy_19", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.2.0]:cohort_dummy_19", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.3.0]:cohort_dummy_19", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.4.0]:cohort_dummy_19", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.5.0]:cohort_dummy_19", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.4.0]:cohort_dummy_20", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.1.0]:cohort_dummy_25", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.2.0]:cohort_dummy_25", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.3.0]:cohort_dummy_25", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.4.0]:cohort_dummy_25", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.5.0]:cohort_dummy_25", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.1.0]:cohort_dummy_28", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.2.0]:cohort_dummy_28", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.3.0]:cohort_dummy_28", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.4.0]:cohort_dummy_28", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.5.0]:cohort_dummy_28", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.1.0]:cohort_dummy_33", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.2.0]:cohort_dummy_33", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.3.0]:cohort_dummy_33", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.4.0]:cohort_dummy_33", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.5.0]:cohort_dummy_33" ], "deviations": [ { "event_time": -16.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": 3.805820994684279 }, { "event_time": -15.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": -0.5986748097399779 }, { "event_time": -14.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": 0.007693395437162354 }, { "event_time": -13.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": 0.3053294301681614 }, { "event_time": -12.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": -0.4006430519201094 }, { "event_time": -11.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": -0.2807147358005716 }, { "event_time": -10.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": -0.1758571940229534 }, { "event_time": -9.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": -0.7081493157707299 }, { "event_time": -8.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": -0.11465558003481838 }, { "event_time": -7.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": -0.1677443297621471 }, { "event_time": -6.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": 0.1532517420770027 }, { "event_time": -5.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": -0.0531899429120833 }, { "event_time": -4.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": 0.12883233805677352 }, { "event_time": -3.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": 0.363576904875236 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": 0.47406446453872503 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": -0.07712552434345665 }, { "event_time": 1.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": 0.2382491835609709 }, { "event_time": 2.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": 0.24797307612417513 }, { "event_time": 3.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": -0.1405824302756319 }, { "event_time": 4.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": -0.39965835974373776 }, { "event_time": 5.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": -0.06507528214066668 }, { "event_time": -18.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": -0.3983449362375072 }, { "event_time": -17.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": -0.4019048641439076 }, { "event_time": -16.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": 3.6386140104286295 }, { "event_time": -15.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": -0.5216996789443868 }, { "event_time": -14.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": -0.05373313811598446 }, { "event_time": -13.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": 0.2573196715799557 }, { "event_time": -12.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": -0.4080365245449421 }, { "event_time": -11.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": -0.21234360440458236 }, { "event_time": -10.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": -0.3883709077338575 }, { "event_time": -9.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": -0.6812072213111542 }, { "event_time": -8.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": -0.28370859898719525 }, { "event_time": -7.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": -0.428754018459759 }, { "event_time": -6.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": 0.10470449095202022 }, { "event_time": -5.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": 0.13008510177728205 }, { "event_time": -4.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": -0.24781448437842013 }, { "event_time": -3.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": 0.09516787261942378 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": 0.2636400786629616 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": -0.5553636309691015 }, { "event_time": 1.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": -0.1726398156271355 }, { "event_time": 2.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": 0.03644785052083327 }, { "event_time": 3.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": -0.11732898085036503 }, { "event_time": 4.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": -0.31213539294965054 }, { "event_time": 5.0, "cohort": 19, "estimate": -0.2602366499684906 }, { "event_time": -5.0, "cohort": 20, "estimate": 3.3957612099345007 }, { "event_time": -4.0, "cohort": 20, "estimate": 0.5635164597548515 }, { "event_time": -3.0, "cohort": 20, "estimate": -1.0380971171458373 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 20, "estimate": -0.9819183928615379 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 20, "estimate": 1.1271249037851014 }, { "event_time": 4.0, "cohort": 20, "estimate": 0.3549333901900986 }, { "event_time": -22.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -0.8885469362592522 }, { "event_time": -21.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -0.9155385545311746 }, { "event_time": -20.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -1.2370184858145548 }, { "event_time": -19.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -1.0507813038924976 }, { "event_time": -18.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -1.0328187296801785 }, { "event_time": -17.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -0.39679559209431964 }, { "event_time": -16.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": 3.425605233756004 }, { "event_time": -15.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -0.9743829234736664 }, { "event_time": -14.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -0.4362842315233442 }, { "event_time": -13.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -0.09170366925471943 }, { "event_time": -12.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -0.7103407305309815 }, { "event_time": -11.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -0.9342127127473862 }, { "event_time": -10.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -0.7105701417762212 }, { "event_time": -9.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -1.2307834121204282 }, { "event_time": -8.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -1.2855608182982405 }, { "event_time": -7.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -1.120351260870201 }, { "event_time": -6.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -0.5559921028688172 }, { "event_time": -5.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -0.9326470782852061 }, { "event_time": -4.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -0.9912194728857825 }, { "event_time": -3.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": 0.3093569060548442 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -0.12283596585615537 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 24, "estimate": -1.7838724865677598 }, { "event_time": -24.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.9117439014920289 }, { "event_time": -23.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.543745981639616 }, { "event_time": -22.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.6342288766756705 }, { "event_time": -21.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.8901254438111992 }, { "event_time": -20.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.9246593316572727 }, { "event_time": -19.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.7213094009003483 }, { "event_time": -18.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.8907129676201159 }, { "event_time": -17.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.5106412085229463 }, { "event_time": -16.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": 3.6480011448560146 }, { "event_time": -15.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.770032902105747 }, { "event_time": -14.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.2747968041548615 }, { "event_time": -13.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": 0.0931357067012292 }, { "event_time": -12.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.6618829622931608 }, { "event_time": -11.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.5891274459057352 }, { "event_time": -10.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.4376646666912215 }, { "event_time": -9.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.9013111182784352 }, { "event_time": -8.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.587692876496609 }, { "event_time": -7.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.49715472235206043 }, { "event_time": -6.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.11381974494167688 }, { "event_time": -5.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.06806576508643813 }, { "event_time": -4.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.2508376196254841 }, { "event_time": -3.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": 0.09642066780043457 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": 0.11417270063443347 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.279686292995309 }, { "event_time": 1.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.18257053969170572 }, { "event_time": 2.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.13696426588352686 }, { "event_time": 3.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.3828493609893237 }, { "event_time": 4.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.7486352920685997 }, { "event_time": 5.0, "cohort": 25, "estimate": -0.3409560679097109 }, { "event_time": -26.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -1.1842745133428214 }, { "event_time": -25.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -1.095971397261895 }, { "event_time": -24.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.8166277370267898 }, { "event_time": -23.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.8582152594221948 }, { "event_time": -22.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.9794744350924381 }, { "event_time": -21.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.8970701718436104 }, { "event_time": -20.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -1.1505943022212126 }, { "event_time": -19.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -1.0331848917081103 }, { "event_time": -18.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -1.1869256162312376 }, { "event_time": -17.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.7571939944767625 }, { "event_time": -16.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": 3.568759579857716 }, { "event_time": -15.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -1.010103587406751 }, { "event_time": -14.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.2995757873147529 }, { "event_time": -13.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": 0.030851101782086277 }, { "event_time": -12.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -1.0008564362881731 }, { "event_time": -11.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.6233985216053689 }, { "event_time": -10.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.5655887267727282 }, { "event_time": -9.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -1.0033415813777713 }, { "event_time": -8.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.5758450201925631 }, { "event_time": -7.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.867007135549771 }, { "event_time": -6.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.3036043697700602 }, { "event_time": -5.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.4462657509601758 }, { "event_time": -4.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.35939474953055317 }, { "event_time": -3.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.3104369411408018 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": 0.04351936594952808 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.789877255650402 }, { "event_time": 1.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.7746345274819293 }, { "event_time": 2.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.344426469547214 }, { "event_time": 3.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.5508827554787147 }, { "event_time": 4.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.8309779638530497 }, { "event_time": 5.0, "cohort": 28, "estimate": -0.8239353859818023 }, { "event_time": -16.0, "cohort": 33, "estimate": 4.313692111700004 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 33, "estimate": 0.3088733833825058 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 33, "estimate": 0.5191879837921233 }, { "event_time": 1.0, "cohort": 33, "estimate": 0.28944455723941587 }, { "event_time": 2.0, "cohort": 33, "estimate": 0.26922801017683995 }, { "event_time": 3.0, "cohort": 33, "estimate": -0.4291529607722828 }, { "event_time": 4.0, "cohort": 33, "estimate": -0.036967988790286385 }, { "event_time": 5.0, "cohort": 33, "estimate": -0.13738030864470707 } ] } } }, "alternative_models": { "y__d": [ { "method": "CS-DID", "estimate": -0.11233680961787894, "se": 0.019237292098996536, "lower": -0.15004120929198908, "upper": -0.0746324099437688, "event_study": [ { "event_time": -31, "estimate": 0.28086063326359706, "se": 0.03508961404417539, "lower": 0.21208625350560242, "upper": 0.3496350130215917, "n": 0.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.28086063326359706 }, { "event_time": -30, "estimate": 0.38634941086068353, "se": 0.033773505318609065, "lower": 0.3201545568045378, "upper": 0.45254426491682925, "n": 0.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.38634941086068353 }, { "event_time": -29, "estimate": 0.2759978288773379, "se": 0.03278735975872345, "lower": 0.2117357846020821, "upper": 0.34025987315259376, "n": 0.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.2759978288773379 }, { "event_time": -28, "estimate": 0.3562750880550105, "se": 0.03787497900533198, "lower": 0.28204149328934913, "upper": 0.4305086828206719, "n": 0.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.3562750880550105 }, { "event_time": -27, "estimate": 0.4273949663776434, "se": 0.03279481246261287, "lower": 0.36311831507117687, "upper": 0.49167161768410994, "n": 0.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.4273949663776434 }, { "event_time": -26, "estimate": -0.23093921910349327, "se": 0.054679358821980634, "lower": -0.3381087930923178, "upper": -0.12376964511466876, "n": 0.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.23093921910349327 }, { "event_time": -25, "estimate": -0.2544813230775679, "se": 0.05138788508318222, "lower": -0.3551997270822881, "upper": -0.15376291907284764, "n": 0.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.2544813230775679 }, { "event_time": -24, "estimate": -0.37380311317839765, "se": 0.06448495061215753, "lower": -0.5001912939230705, "upper": -0.24741493243372478, "n": 0.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.37380311317839765 }, { "event_time": -23, "estimate": -0.029882636100099773, "se": 0.03047342668516116, "lower": -0.08960945488853744, "upper": 0.029844182688337904, "n": 0.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.029882636100099773 }, { "event_time": -22, "estimate": -0.007347474903951082, "se": 0.029213953417664862, "lower": -0.06460577144860503, "upper": 0.049910821640702874, "n": 0.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.007347474903951082 }, { "event_time": -21, "estimate": -0.09585363633837422, "se": 0.028774625577987992, "lower": -0.15225086613985572, "upper": -0.039456406536892724, "n": 0.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.09585363633837422 }, { "event_time": -20, "estimate": -0.11675993061362576, "se": 0.035092334266405636, "lower": -0.18553964190922162, "upper": -0.0479802193180299, "n": 0.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.11675993061362576 }, { "event_time": -19, "estimate": -0.1054810275866088, "se": 0.0272514826807595, "lower": -0.15889295216621446, "upper": -0.052069103007003126, "n": 0.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.1054810275866088 }, { "event_time": -18, "estimate": 0.17683738133392476, "se": 0.041227841942551795, "lower": 0.09603229596621339, "upper": 0.25764246670163615, "n": 0.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.17683738133392476 }, { "event_time": -17, "estimate": 0.004254821407584061, "se": 0.01906498262659129, "lower": -0.03311185790641671, "upper": 0.04162150072158483, "n": 0.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.004254821407584061 }, { "event_time": -16, "estimate": -0.005755997028201247, "se": 0.018637817180730293, "lower": -0.042285447452874464, "upper": 0.030773453396471973, "n": 0.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.005755997028201247 }, { "event_time": -15, "estimate": 0.05317083403656556, "se": 0.022704597493831497, "lower": 0.008670640665177455, "upper": 0.09767102740795366, "n": 0.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.05317083403656556 }, { "event_time": -14, "estimate": 0.08647491523028969, "se": 0.022892833610599423, "lower": 0.04160578584944677, "upper": 0.1313440446111326, "n": 0.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.08647491523028969 }, { "event_time": -13, "estimate": 0.08373388195317928, "se": 0.020639375031649736, "lower": 0.04328145022773056, "upper": 0.12418631367862801, "n": 0.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.08373388195317928 }, { "event_time": -12, "estimate": 0.15033733909563077, "se": 0.02367889582585005, "lower": 0.10392755608328885, "upper": 0.19674712210797268, "n": 0.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.15033733909563077 }, { "event_time": -11, "estimate": 0.05015695687464461, "se": 0.02980222567960585, "lower": -0.00825433211651759, "upper": 0.10856824586580681, "n": 0.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.05015695687464461 }, { "event_time": -10, "estimate": 0.11639483902950493, "se": 0.021625328483394674, "lower": 0.07400997404820317, "upper": 0.15877970401080668, "n": 0.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.11639483902950493 }, { "event_time": -9, "estimate": 0.05251465271679133, "se": 0.02516802061505764, "lower": 0.003186238749116735, "upper": 0.10184306668446592, "n": 0.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.05251465271679133 }, { "event_time": -8, "estimate": 0.07108045265222261, "se": 0.028014277378569017, "lower": 0.016173477937312178, "upper": 0.12598742736713303, "n": 0.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.07108045265222261 }, { "event_time": -7, "estimate": 0.16435629777212846, "se": 0.016062646469459096, "lower": 0.13287408919558918, "upper": 0.19583850634866773, "n": 0.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.16435629777212846 }, { "event_time": -6, "estimate": 0.16377519914418462, "se": 0.025774130547378534, "lower": 0.11325883153848906, "upper": 0.21429156674988017, "n": 0.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.16377519914418462 }, { "event_time": -5, "estimate": 0.14557543954473678, "se": 0.0298353970343789, "lower": 0.087099135892901, "upper": 0.20405174319657257, "n": 0.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.14557543954473678 }, { "event_time": -4, "estimate": 0.04380250439614458, "se": 0.023651194308105594, "lower": -0.0025529846391011066, "upper": 0.09015799343139028, "n": 0.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.04380250439614458 }, { "event_time": -3, "estimate": 0.03014273831077715, "se": 0.022590996274944375, "lower": -0.014134800762992346, "upper": 0.07442027738454665, "n": 0.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.03014273831077715 }, { "event_time": -2, "estimate": 0.056131956231443084, "se": 0.021559550187034832, "lower": 0.013876014341971027, "upper": 0.09838789812091514, "n": 0.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.056131956231443084 }, { "event_time": -1, "estimate": 0.0, "se": 3.167991750427085e-20, "lower": -6.20914973415709e-20, "upper": 6.20914973415709e-20, "n": 0.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.0 }, { "event_time": 0, "estimate": -0.1480880927747309, "se": 0.026045876268408742, "lower": -0.19913707220659854, "upper": -0.09703911334286326, "n": 799.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.1480880927747309 }, { "event_time": 1, "estimate": -0.06996802134929862, "se": 0.02268358821503268, "lower": -0.1144270372908999, "upper": -0.025509005407697356, "n": 711.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.06996802134929862 }, { "event_time": 2, "estimate": -0.12536698201587074, "se": 0.02505049921014061, "lower": -0.17446505826249542, "upper": -0.07626890576924607, "n": 652.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.12536698201587074 }, { "event_time": 3, "estimate": -0.08417761126829329, "se": 0.03141802201533613, "lower": -0.14575580288383863, "upper": -0.02259941965274795, "n": 600.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.08417761126829329 }, { "event_time": 4, "estimate": -0.12727371760108744, "se": 0.044597868715853445, "lower": -0.2146839340714058, "upper": -0.0398635011307691, "n": 564.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.12727371760108744 }, { "event_time": 5, "estimate": -0.11914643269799263, "se": 0.02702908763516771, "lower": -0.17212247099789824, "upper": -0.06617039439808703, "n": 523.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.11914643269799263 } ], "group_time_estimates": [ { "group": 3, "year": 1, "event_time": -2, "att": -0.2739608648861877, "mass": 0.0, "base": 2 }, { "group": 3, "year": 2, "event_time": -1, "att": 0.0, "mass": 0.0, "base": 2 }, { "group": 3, "year": 3, "event_time": 0, "att": 0.2631890856826381, "mass": 7.0, "base": 2 }, { "group": 3, "year": 4, "event_time": 1, "att": 0.14779084837217632, "mass": 7.0, "base": 2 }, { "group": 3, "year": 5, "event_time": 2, "att": -0.02707380994987607, "mass": 7.0, "base": 2 }, { "group": 3, "year": 6, "event_time": 3, "att": 0.22946916688180452, "mass": 7.0, "base": 2 }, { "group": 3, "year": 7, "event_time": 4, "att": 0.4771921158056023, "mass": 7.0, "base": 2 }, { "group": 3, "year": 8, "event_time": 5, "att": 0.276547552496906, "mass": 7.0, "base": 2 }, { "group": 17, "year": 1, "event_time": -16, "att": 0.06840846056018435, "mass": 0.0, "base": 16 }, { "group": 17, "year": 2, "event_time": -15, "att": 0.10318461074693328, "mass": 0.0, "base": 16 }, { "group": 17, "year": 3, "event_time": -14, "att": 0.24311287968520057, "mass": 0.0, "base": 16 }, { "group": 17, "year": 4, "event_time": -13, "att": 0.19905361236854413, "mass": 0.0, "base": 16 }, { "group": 17, "year": 5, "event_time": -12, "att": 0.2666511159340726, "mass": 0.0, "base": 16 }, { "group": 17, "year": 6, "event_time": -11, "att": 0.1495868552766846, "mass": 0.0, "base": 16 }, { "group": 17, "year": 7, "event_time": -10, "att": 0.3338561024854051, "mass": 0.0, "base": 16 }, { "group": 17, "year": 8, "event_time": -9, "att": 0.12612900168900526, "mass": 0.0, "base": 16 }, { "group": 17, "year": 9, "event_time": -8, "att": 0.39647155816441393, "mass": 0.0, "base": 16 }, { "group": 17, "year": 10, "event_time": -7, "att": 0.462475579336316, "mass": 0.0, "base": 16 }, { "group": 17, "year": 11, "event_time": -6, "att": 0.3332657898125466, "mass": 0.0, "base": 16 }, { "group": 17, "year": 12, "event_time": -5, "att": 0.05451178937886017, "mass": 0.0, "base": 16 }, { "group": 17, "year": 13, "event_time": -4, "att": 0.362857006921252, "mass": 0.0, "base": 16 }, { "group": 17, "year": 14, "event_time": -3, "att": 0.24960551641405043, "mass": 0.0, "base": 16 }, { "group": 17, "year": 15, "event_time": -2, "att": 0.30159309544765406, "mass": 0.0, "base": 16 }, { "group": 17, "year": 16, "event_time": -1, "att": 0.0, "mass": 0.0, "base": 16 }, { "group": 17, "year": 17, "event_time": 0, "att": 0.1474878703229579, "mass": 26.0, "base": 16 }, { "group": 17, "year": 18, "event_time": 1, "att": 0.32771823889420726, "mass": 23.0, "base": 16 }, { "group": 17, "year": 19, "event_time": 2, "att": 0.21071653871973933, "mass": 22.0, "base": 16 }, { "group": 17, "year": 20, "event_time": 3, "att": 0.05534985945880838, "mass": 21.0, "base": 16 }, { "group": 17, "year": 21, "event_time": 4, "att": 0.051306820456822194, "mass": 20.0, "base": 16 }, { "group": 17, "year": 22, "event_time": 5, "att": 0.12655368457718352, "mass": 19.0, "base": 16 }, { "group": 19, "year": 1, "event_time": -18, "att": 0.4010163454652739, "mass": 0.0, "base": 18 }, { "group": 19, "year": 2, "event_time": -17, "att": 0.03463122743152028, "mass": 0.0, "base": 18 }, { "group": 19, "year": 3, "event_time": -16, "att": -0.04446515846512386, "mass": 0.0, "base": 18 }, { "group": 19, "year": 4, "event_time": -15, "att": 0.17004881301211144, "mass": 0.0, "base": 18 }, { "group": 19, "year": 5, "event_time": -14, "att": 0.18307436640754127, "mass": 0.0, "base": 18 }, { "group": 19, "year": 6, "event_time": -13, "att": 0.159259146275885, "mass": 0.0, "base": 18 }, { "group": 19, "year": 7, "event_time": -12, "att": 0.27455737722364476, "mass": 0.0, "base": 18 }, { "group": 19, "year": 8, "event_time": -11, "att": 0.24919281748860364, "mass": 0.0, "base": 18 }, { "group": 19, "year": 9, "event_time": -10, "att": 0.11639550311269817, "mass": 0.0, "base": 18 }, { "group": 19, "year": 10, "event_time": -9, "att": 0.16621516699198569, "mass": 0.0, "base": 18 }, { "group": 19, "year": 11, "event_time": -8, "att": 0.24054384463845824, "mass": 0.0, "base": 18 }, { "group": 19, "year": 12, "event_time": -7, "att": 0.20585021939456366, "mass": 0.0, "base": 18 }, { "group": 19, "year": 13, "event_time": -6, "att": 0.3206119807592598, "mass": 0.0, "base": 18 }, { "group": 19, "year": 14, "event_time": -5, "att": 0.3088997423730971, "mass": 0.0, "base": 18 }, { "group": 19, "year": 15, "event_time": -4, "att": 0.06148803041999731, "mass": 0.0, "base": 18 }, { "group": 19, "year": 16, "event_time": -3, "att": 0.04841318354901594, "mass": 0.0, "base": 18 }, { "group": 19, "year": 17, "event_time": -2, "att": 0.1487519593331318, "mass": 0.0, "base": 18 }, { "group": 19, "year": 18, "event_time": -1, "att": 0.0, "mass": 0.0, "base": 18 }, { "group": 19, "year": 19, "event_time": 0, "att": -0.3053910689562868, "mass": 353.0, "base": 18 }, { "group": 19, "year": 20, "event_time": 1, "att": -0.06213951353819172, "mass": 307.0, "base": 18 }, { "group": 19, "year": 21, "event_time": 2, "att": -0.009948411236385901, "mass": 281.0, "base": 18 }, { "group": 19, "year": 22, "event_time": 3, "att": 0.10216393287386027, "mass": 251.0, "base": 18 }, { "group": 19, "year": 23, "event_time": 4, "att": 0.17557621898444462, "mass": 232.0, "base": 18 }, { "group": 19, "year": 24, "event_time": 5, "att": 0.001386578780552511, "mass": 221.0, "base": 18 }, { "group": 20, "year": 15, "event_time": -5, "att": 3.6265146884861945, "mass": 0.0, "base": 19 }, { "group": 20, "year": 16, "event_time": -4, "att": 0.9316234797251097, "mass": 0.0, "base": 19 }, { "group": 20, "year": 17, "event_time": -3, "att": -1.0477834085896958, "mass": 0.0, "base": 19 }, { "group": 20, "year": 18, "event_time": -2, "att": -1.0980721715863297, "mass": 0.0, "base": 19 }, { "group": 20, "year": 19, "event_time": -1, "att": 0.0, "mass": 0.0, "base": 19 }, { "group": 20, "year": 20, "event_time": 0, "att": 1.3642888687219832, "mass": 1.0, "base": 19 }, { "group": 20, "year": 24, "event_time": 4, "att": 0.8247553791940435, "mass": 1.0, "base": 19 }, { "group": 24, "year": 2, "event_time": -22, "att": -0.023984709339200855, "mass": 0.0, "base": 23 }, { "group": 24, "year": 3, "event_time": -21, "att": 0.07220271201817258, "mass": 0.0, "base": 23 }, { "group": 24, "year": 4, "event_time": -20, "att": -0.21874017102530421, "mass": 0.0, "base": 23 }, { "group": 24, "year": 5, "event_time": -19, "att": -0.21504643168506918, "mass": 0.0, "base": 23 }, { "group": 24, "year": 6, "event_time": -18, "att": 0.07605831595409437, "mass": 0.0, "base": 23 }, { "group": 24, "year": 7, "event_time": -17, "att": 0.2558311947785706, "mass": 0.0, "base": 23 }, { "group": 24, "year": 8, "event_time": -16, "att": -0.04902945982940518, "mass": 0.0, "base": 23 }, { "group": 24, "year": 9, "event_time": -15, "att": -0.07315902873351895, "mass": 0.0, "base": 23 }, { "group": 24, "year": 10, "event_time": -14, "att": 0.00025944836032928964, "mass": 0.0, "base": 23 }, { "group": 24, "year": 11, "event_time": -13, "att": -0.002264849357830445, "mass": 0.0, "base": 23 }, { "group": 24, "year": 12, "event_time": -12, "att": 0.16010191022315612, "mass": 0.0, "base": 23 }, { "group": 24, "year": 13, "event_time": -11, "att": -0.29625595998279675, "mass": 0.0, "base": 23 }, { "group": 24, "year": 14, "event_time": -10, "att": -0.028289243209647458, "mass": 0.0, "base": 23 }, { "group": 24, "year": 15, "event_time": -9, "att": -0.23986836088599753, "mass": 0.0, "base": 23 }, { "group": 24, "year": 16, "event_time": -8, "att": -0.6341320669081357, "mass": 0.0, "base": 23 }, { "group": 24, "year": 17, "event_time": -7, "att": -0.37551376902356604, "mass": 0.0, "base": 23 }, { "group": 24, "year": 18, "event_time": -6, "att": -0.2836350530714752, "mass": 0.0, "base": 23 }, { "group": 24, "year": 19, "event_time": -5, "att": -0.7315252372984143, "mass": 0.0, "base": 23 }, { "group": 24, "year": 20, "event_time": -4, "att": -0.6719044143076132, "mass": 0.0, "base": 23 }, { "group": 24, "year": 21, "event_time": -3, "att": 0.2716395861635388, "mass": 0.0, "base": 23 }, { "group": 24, "year": 22, "event_time": -2, "att": -0.25010799596893774, "mass": 0.0, "base": 23 }, { "group": 24, "year": 23, "event_time": -1, "att": 0.0, "mass": 0.0, "base": 23 }, { "group": 24, "year": 24, "event_time": 0, "att": -1.5332529577548204, "mass": 1.0, "base": 23 }, { "group": 25, "year": 1, "event_time": -24, "att": -0.3818467407140544, "mass": 0.0, "base": 24 }, { "group": 25, "year": 2, "event_time": -23, "att": -0.01669156063719661, "mass": 0.0, "base": 24 }, { "group": 25, "year": 3, "event_time": -22, "att": 0.00954665462415713, "mass": 0.0, "base": 24 }, { "group": 25, "year": 4, "event_time": -21, "att": -0.09711402322279768, "mass": 0.0, "base": 24 }, { "group": 25, "year": 5, "event_time": -20, "att": -0.10678261628467091, "mass": 0.0, "base": 24 }, { "group": 25, "year": 6, "event_time": -19, "att": -0.09012694725804608, "mass": 0.0, "base": 24 }, { "group": 25, "year": 7, "event_time": -18, "att": 0.041110392591548826, "mass": 0.0, "base": 24 }, { "group": 25, "year": 8, "event_time": -17, "att": -0.0029894270106469653, "mass": 0.0, "base": 24 }, { "group": 25, "year": 9, "event_time": -16, "att": 0.02076749510919164, "mass": 0.0, "base": 24 }, { "group": 25, "year": 10, "event_time": -15, "att": -0.015124466282058505, "mass": 0.0, "base": 24 }, { "group": 25, "year": 11, "event_time": -14, "att": 0.020248866611331115, "mass": 0.0, "base": 24 }, { "group": 25, "year": 12, "event_time": -13, "att": 0.038391534647523665, "mass": 0.0, "base": 24 }, { "group": 25, "year": 13, "event_time": -12, "att": 0.07758967730640837, "mass": 0.0, "base": 24 }, { "group": 25, "year": 14, "event_time": -11, "att": -0.08133458844860433, "mass": 0.0, "base": 24 }, { "group": 25, "year": 15, "event_time": -10, "att": 0.11709303816140616, "mass": 0.0, "base": 24 }, { "group": 25, "year": 16, "event_time": -9, "att": -0.02089849435961287, "mass": 0.0, "base": 24 }, { "group": 25, "year": 17, "event_time": -8, "att": -0.052956578154341225, "mass": 0.0, "base": 24 }, { "group": 25, "year": 18, "event_time": -7, "att": 0.14600386196516374, "mass": 0.0, "base": 24 }, { "group": 25, "year": 19, "event_time": -6, "att": 0.07003166686383046, "mass": 0.0, "base": 24 }, { "group": 25, "year": 20, "event_time": -5, "att": 0.06723332283905771, "mass": 0.0, "base": 24 }, { "group": 25, "year": 21, "event_time": -4, "att": 0.02474743344157744, "mass": 0.0, "base": 24 }, { "group": 25, "year": 22, "event_time": -3, "att": 0.02835929349428272, "mass": 0.0, "base": 24 }, { "group": 25, "year": 23, "event_time": -2, "att": -0.01436267118790012, "mass": 0.0, "base": 24 }, { "group": 25, "year": 24, "event_time": -1, "att": 0.0, "mass": 0.0, "base": 24 }, { "group": 25, "year": 25, "event_time": 0, "att": -0.04243473362692145, "mass": 385.0, "base": 24 }, { "group": 25, "year": 26, "event_time": 1, "att": -0.07728394762962863, "mass": 354.0, "base": 24 }, { "group": 25, "year": 27, "event_time": 2, "att": -0.21778105899867972, "mass": 322.0, "base": 24 }, { "group": 25, "year": 28, "event_time": 3, "att": -0.21432265861411787, "mass": 302.0, "base": 24 }, { "group": 25, "year": 29, "event_time": 4, "att": -0.35045734345654456, "mass": 287.0, "base": 24 }, { "group": 25, "year": 30, "event_time": 5, "att": -0.19520898999385572, "mass": 262.0, "base": 24 }, { "group": 28, "year": 2, "event_time": -26, "att": -0.44394435352603207, "mass": 0.0, "base": 27 }, { "group": 28, "year": 3, "event_time": -25, "att": -0.45364050125241456, "mass": 0.0, "base": 27 }, { "group": 28, "year": 4, "event_time": -24, "att": -0.3973664997453548, "mass": 0.0, "base": 27 }, { "group": 28, "year": 5, "event_time": -23, "att": -0.4012092537726799, "mass": 0.0, "base": 27 }, { "group": 28, "year": 6, "event_time": -22, "att": -0.4699938145179078, "mass": 0.0, "base": 27 }, { "group": 28, "year": 7, "event_time": -21, "att": -0.26497558752996014, "mass": 0.0, "base": 27 }, { "group": 28, "year": 8, "event_time": -20, "att": -0.49555930591594494, "mass": 0.0, "base": 27 }, { "group": 28, "year": 9, "event_time": -19, "att": -0.5478140445714593, "mass": 0.0, "base": 27 }, { "group": 28, "year": 10, "event_time": -18, "att": -0.413073948549993, "mass": 0.0, "base": 27 }, { "group": 28, "year": 11, "event_time": -17, "att": -0.3791732725200588, "mass": 0.0, "base": 27 }, { "group": 28, "year": 12, "event_time": -16, "att": -0.19056468663641296, "mass": 0.0, "base": 27 }, { "group": 28, "year": 13, "event_time": -15, "att": -0.3943751934610302, "mass": 0.0, "base": 27 }, { "group": 28, "year": 14, "event_time": -14, "att": -0.15753355802476832, "mass": 0.0, "base": 27 }, { "group": 28, "year": 15, "event_time": -13, "att": -0.15310812426080536, "mass": 0.0, "base": 27 }, { "group": 28, "year": 16, "event_time": -12, "att": -0.3789864681150242, "mass": 0.0, "base": 27 }, { "group": 28, "year": 17, "event_time": -11, "att": -0.2970245694869027, "mass": 0.0, "base": 27 }, { "group": 28, "year": 18, "event_time": -10, "att": -0.19535051889582827, "mass": 0.0, "base": 27 }, { "group": 28, "year": 19, "event_time": -9, "att": -0.2987341353418127, "mass": 0.0, "base": 27 }, { "group": 28, "year": 20, "event_time": -8, "att": -0.22944924942758782, "mass": 0.0, "base": 27 }, { "group": 28, "year": 21, "event_time": -7, "att": -0.41025993471204997, "mass": 0.0, "base": 27 }, { "group": 28, "year": 22, "event_time": -6, "att": -0.3018330886581992, "mass": 0.0, "base": 27 }, { "group": 28, "year": 23, "event_time": -5, "att": -0.4979487366683777, "mass": 0.0, "base": 27 }, { "group": 28, "year": 24, "event_time": -4, "att": -0.20730609061156582, "mass": 0.0, "base": 27 }, { "group": 28, "year": 25, "event_time": -3, "att": -0.39994037323019044, "mass": 0.0, "base": 27 }, { "group": 28, "year": 26, "event_time": -2, "att": -0.04807960066243144, "mass": 0.0, "base": 27 }, { "group": 28, "year": 27, "event_time": -1, "att": 0.0, "mass": 0.0, "base": 27 }, { "group": 28, "year": 28, "event_time": 0, "att": -0.5485880778871828, "mass": 22.0, "base": 27 }, { "group": 28, "year": 29, "event_time": 1, "att": -0.6305418616375842, "mass": 17.0, "base": 27 }, { "group": 28, "year": 30, "event_time": 2, "att": -0.40320090340912884, "mass": 17.0, "base": 27 }, { "group": 28, "year": 31, "event_time": 3, "att": -0.32181002270176423, "mass": 16.0, "base": 27 }, { "group": 28, "year": 32, "event_time": 4, "att": -0.40919134011924096, "mass": 14.0, "base": 27 }, { "group": 28, "year": 33, "event_time": 5, "att": -0.7024457660186143, "mass": 11.0, "base": 27 }, { "group": 33, "year": 2, "event_time": -31, "att": 0.28086063326359706, "mass": 0.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 3, "event_time": -30, "att": 0.38634941086068353, "mass": 0.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 4, "event_time": -29, "att": 0.2759978288773379, "mass": 0.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 5, "event_time": -28, "att": 0.3562750880550105, "mass": 0.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 6, "event_time": -27, "att": 0.4273949663776434, "mass": 0.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 7, "event_time": -26, "att": 0.7874003961494662, "mass": 0.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 8, "event_time": -25, "att": 0.6976632410734116, "mass": 0.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 9, "event_time": -24, "att": 0.4811768953091041, "mass": 0.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 10, "event_time": -23, "att": 0.5279901608060901, "mass": 0.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 11, "event_time": -22, "att": 0.6506042824442216, "mass": 0.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 12, "event_time": -21, "att": 0.7760572046756493, "mass": 0.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 13, "event_time": -20, "att": 0.8055600813837593, "mass": 0.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 14, "event_time": -19, "att": 0.6267626443099733, "mass": 0.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 15, "event_time": -18, "att": 0.9033011884564333, "mass": 0.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 16, "event_time": -17, "att": 0.44136189875878107, "mass": 0.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 17, "event_time": -16, "att": 0.5925247345881124, "mass": 0.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 18, "event_time": -15, "att": 0.639808980998564, "mass": 0.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 19, "event_time": -14, "att": 0.2740308633493206, "mass": 0.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 20, "event_time": -13, "att": -0.10076899753113466, "mass": 0.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 21, "event_time": -12, "att": 0.6755284737724265, "mass": 0.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 22, "event_time": -11, "att": 0.4351718574317067, "mass": 0.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 23, "event_time": -10, "att": 0.47080516942602124, "mass": 0.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 24, "event_time": -9, "att": 0.7898362106280181, "mass": 0.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 25, "event_time": -8, "att": 0.4301314497229152, "mass": 0.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 26, "event_time": -7, "att": 0.5319755588350294, "mass": 0.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 27, "event_time": -6, "att": 0.06118134476855175, "mass": 0.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 28, "event_time": -5, "att": 0.1882622695096106, "mass": 0.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 29, "event_time": -4, "att": 0.348382530078019, "mass": 0.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 30, "event_time": -3, "att": -0.04330530054065229, "mass": 0.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 31, "event_time": -2, "att": 0.17916983468426717, "mass": 0.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 32, "event_time": -1, "att": 0.0, "mass": 0.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 33, "event_time": 0, "att": 0.788180697187187, "mass": 4.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 34, "event_time": 1, "att": 0.5815054549111845, "mass": 3.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 35, "event_time": 2, "att": 0.3944918553999618, "mass": 3.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 36, "event_time": 3, "att": -0.04746188487488423, "mass": 3.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 37, "event_time": 4, "att": 0.6018371464791876, "mass": 3.0, "base": 32 }, { "group": 33, "year": 38, "event_time": 5, "att": 0.2783833594807965, "mass": 3.0, "base": 32 } ], "parameters": { "est_method": "dr", "xformla": "y ~ 1", "control_group": "notyettreated", "base_period": "universal", "clustervar": "cluster", "weights_name": "weight", "backend": "cluster-sufficient-statistics", "panel": false, "effective_panel": false }, "data_structure": "repeated cross-section", "aggregations": { "summaries": [ { "typec": "dynamic", "aggregation": "Equal post-event times", "matches_treated_unit_year_target": false, "estimate": -0.11233680961787894, "se": 0.019237292098996536, "lower": -0.15004120929198908, "upper": -0.0746324099437688 }, { "typec": "simple", "aggregation": "Native-equivalent CS-DID simple", "matches_treated_unit_year_target": false, "estimate": -0.11235268051532099, "se": 0.019230773504664525, "lower": -0.15004430397931057, "upper": -0.07466105705133141 }, { "typec": "group", "aggregation": "Native-equivalent CS-DID group", "matches_treated_unit_year_target": false, "estimate": -0.11409687426255946, "se": 0.01916278615697602, "lower": -0.15165524497367516, "upper": -0.07653850355144376 }, { "typec": "treated_cells", "aggregation": "Observed treated observations, configured weights", "matches_treated_unit_year_target": true, "estimate": -0.1044703854737469, "se": 0.04240149933205747, "lower": -0.1875757970550787, "upper": -0.02136497389241511 } ], "same_group_time_effects": true, "additional_covariates": [] }, "treated_cell_att": -0.1044703854737469, "treated_cell_se": 0.04240149933205747, "checks": { "input_rows": 158933, "retained_rows": 158933, "all_observed_post_cells_estimated": true, "post_weight_sum": 3849.0, "avoided_dense_if_bytes": 417040192 }, "target": "Equal average of nonnegative native CS-DID event-time effects", "donor_rule": "notyettreated", "inference": "Configured-cluster analytical influence functions, including aggregation-share uncertainty; sufficient-statistic calculation of intercept-only CS-DID", "seconds": 0.37900541722774506, "status": "estimated" }, { "method": "SDID", "status": "failed", "reason": "ValueError: masked SDID weight optimizer did not converge; increase max_iterations or check overlap", "crabbymetrics_build": { "source_commit": "cb3fcc0e8664cdbb6848d3998ddc4365d65740dc", "extension_sha256": "3e1dd2e2bd6d38612b9200b15094fc37138cd002749f8b31148d6265fc533cbd" }, "parameters": {} }, { "method": "Matrix completion", "class": "MatrixCompletion", "parameters": { "lambda_fraction": 0.25, "max_iterations": 1000, "tolerance": 1e-12 }, "partial_pooling": { "parameter": null, "value": null, "status": "not_applicable", "fit_scope": "Joint untreated-cell fit", "within_cohort_target": null, "cross_cohort_partial_pooling": false, "shared_structure": "Low-rank matrix and unit/time effects", "note": "Regularization penalties are not partial-pooling parameters." }, "estimate": -0.11968655766566162, "event_study": [ { "event_time": -31, "estimate": -0.26873821618889865, "raw_gap": -0.26873821618889865, "n": 1, "n_cells": 1, "weight_sum": 1.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.23424535728703647 }, { "event_time": -30, "estimate": -0.20486889584845855, "raw_gap": -0.20486889584845855, "n": 1, "n_cells": 1, "weight_sum": 1.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.17037603694659637 }, { "event_time": -29, "estimate": -0.23867621396155975, "raw_gap": -0.23867621396155975, "n": 1, "n_cells": 1, "weight_sum": 1.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.20418335505969756 }, { "event_time": -28, "estimate": -0.07922190202448184, "raw_gap": -0.07922190202448184, "n": 1, "n_cells": 1, "weight_sum": 1.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.044729043122619654 }, { "event_time": -27, "estimate": -0.029069310953197258, "raw_gap": -0.029069310953197258, "n": 1, "n_cells": 1, "weight_sum": 1.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.005423547948664932 }, { "event_time": -26, "estimate": -0.0820356290153009, "raw_gap": -0.0820356290153009, "n": 4, "n_cells": 4, "weight_sum": 4.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.04754277011343871 }, { "event_time": -25, "estimate": -0.09140051013727449, "raw_gap": -0.09140051013727449, "n": 4, "n_cells": 4, "weight_sum": 4.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.0569076512354123 }, { "event_time": -24, "estimate": -0.2694593736959972, "raw_gap": -0.2694593736959972, "n": 12, "n_cells": 12, "weight_sum": 12.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.23496651479413502 }, { "event_time": -23, "estimate": -0.03778548505422372, "raw_gap": -0.03778548505422372, "n": 75, "n_cells": 75, "weight_sum": 75.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.003292626152361533 }, { "event_time": -22, "estimate": -0.011290966574758579, "raw_gap": -0.011290966574758579, "n": 89, "n_cells": 89, "weight_sum": 89.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.02320189232710361 }, { "event_time": -21, "estimate": -0.09695182264265417, "raw_gap": -0.09695182264265417, "n": 105, "n_cells": 105, "weight_sum": 105.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.06245896374079198 }, { "event_time": -20, "estimate": -0.08946383934821946, "raw_gap": -0.08946383934821946, "n": 121, "n_cells": 121, "weight_sum": 121.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.054970980446357266 }, { "event_time": -19, "estimate": -0.06698539492824114, "raw_gap": -0.06698539492824114, "n": 140, "n_cells": 140, "weight_sum": 140.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.03249253602637895 }, { "event_time": -18, "estimate": 0.039931657283571544, "raw_gap": 0.039931657283571544, "n": 167, "n_cells": 167, "weight_sum": 167.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.07442451618543373 }, { "event_time": -17, "estimate": -0.03867417659826853, "raw_gap": -0.03867417659826853, "n": 222, "n_cells": 221, "weight_sum": 222.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.004181317696406339 }, { "event_time": -16, "estimate": -0.036453459282177025, "raw_gap": -0.036453459282177025, "n": 233, "n_cells": 233, "weight_sum": 233.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.001960600380314835 }, { "event_time": -15, "estimate": -0.006328675305037661, "raw_gap": -0.006328675305037661, "n": 265, "n_cells": 265, "weight_sum": 265.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.02816418359682453 }, { "event_time": -14, "estimate": 0.016119014046553037, "raw_gap": 0.016119014046553037, "n": 298, "n_cells": 298, "weight_sum": 298.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.050611872948415224 }, { "event_time": -13, "estimate": 0.010184559788263796, "raw_gap": 0.010184559788263796, "n": 339, "n_cells": 339, "weight_sum": 339.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.04467741869012599 }, { "event_time": -12, "estimate": 0.04795643808681258, "raw_gap": 0.04795643808681258, "n": 364, "n_cells": 364, "weight_sum": 364.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.08244929698867477 }, { "event_time": -11, "estimate": -0.0006204457601546101, "raw_gap": -0.0006204457601546101, "n": 384, "n_cells": 383, "weight_sum": 384.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.03387241314170758 }, { "event_time": -10, "estimate": 0.019047100794254024, "raw_gap": 0.019047100794254024, "n": 408, "n_cells": 407, "weight_sum": 408.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.05353995969611622 }, { "event_time": -9, "estimate": -0.009245795280896538, "raw_gap": -0.009245795280896538, "n": 433, "n_cells": 431, "weight_sum": 433.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.025247063620965654 }, { "event_time": -8, "estimate": 0.017393221381568888, "raw_gap": 0.017393221381568888, "n": 460, "n_cells": 459, "weight_sum": 460.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.05188608028343108 }, { "event_time": -7, "estimate": 0.053412658720310396, "raw_gap": 0.053412658720310396, "n": 474, "n_cells": 473, "weight_sum": 474.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.08790551762217258 }, { "event_time": -6, "estimate": 0.04889551832699719, "raw_gap": 0.04889551832699719, "n": 506, "n_cells": 504, "weight_sum": 506.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.08338837722885939 }, { "event_time": -5, "estimate": 0.03412460421807261, "raw_gap": 0.03412460421807261, "n": 582, "n_cells": 577, "weight_sum": 582.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.0686174631199348 }, { "event_time": -4, "estimate": -0.011561243003930369, "raw_gap": -0.011561243003930369, "n": 638, "n_cells": 636, "weight_sum": 638.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.02293161589793182 }, { "event_time": -3, "estimate": -0.016084349314377237, "raw_gap": -0.016084349314377237, "n": 675, "n_cells": 673, "weight_sum": 675.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.018408509587484953 }, { "event_time": -2, "estimate": -0.015211060563731617, "raw_gap": -0.015211060563731617, "n": 736, "n_cells": 735, "weight_sum": 736.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.019281798338130575 }, { "event_time": -1, "estimate": -0.03449285890186219, "raw_gap": -0.03449285890186219, "n": 797, "n_cells": 792, "weight_sum": 797.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.0 }, { "event_time": 0, "estimate": -0.21958598180769337, "raw_gap": -0.21958598180769337, "n": 799, "n_cells": 792, "weight_sum": 799.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.1850931229058312 }, { "event_time": 1, "estimate": -0.1119207055819371, "raw_gap": -0.1119207055819371, "n": 711, "n_cells": 708, "weight_sum": 711.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.07742784668007491 }, { "event_time": 2, "estimate": -0.13579552932371727, "raw_gap": -0.13579552932371727, "n": 652, "n_cells": 650, "weight_sum": 652.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.10130267042185509 }, { "event_time": 3, "estimate": -0.07184905942999385, "raw_gap": -0.07184905942999385, "n": 600, "n_cells": 598, "weight_sum": 600.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.03735620052813166 }, { "event_time": 4, "estimate": -0.08629922022395503, "raw_gap": -0.08629922022395503, "n": 564, "n_cells": 562, "weight_sum": 564.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.05180636132209284 }, { "event_time": 5, "estimate": -0.04842802741616946, "raw_gap": -0.04842802741616946, "n": 523, "n_cells": 521, "weight_sum": 523.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.013935168514307268 } ], "package_event_study": { "event_time": [ -31.0, -30.0, -29.0, -28.0, -27.0, -26.0, -25.0, -24.0, -23.0, -22.0, -21.0, -20.0, -19.0, -18.0, -17.0, -16.0, -15.0, -14.0, -13.0, -12.0, -11.0, -10.0, -9.0, -8.0, -7.0, -6.0, -5.0, -4.0, -3.0, -2.0, -1.0, 0.0, 1.0, 2.0, 3.0, 4.0, 5.0 ], "estimate": [ -0.26873821618889865, -0.20486889584845855, -0.23867621396155975, -0.07922190202448184, -0.029069310953197258, -0.0820356290153009, -0.09140051013727449, -0.2694593736959972, -0.03778548505422373, -0.01129096657475858, -0.09695182264265409, -0.0894638393482194, -0.06698539492824117, 0.03993165728357156, -0.036580997238231716, -0.036453459282177, -0.0063286753050376485, 0.016119014046553033, 0.010184559788263796, 0.04795643808681256, -0.0012189974977827225, 0.020861121550584748, -0.009079719830423837, 0.017354260951323783, 0.05316101248431821, 0.049396032171322324, 0.03430398542021952, -0.011149605035044752, -0.015954571417491174, -0.015394739559744791, -0.03525535606969313, -0.21937791737138082, -0.11315988083423853, -0.13798932373798112, -0.07498267852315893, -0.08957459550706176, -0.052015086258539074 ], "n": [ 1.0, 1.0, 1.0, 1.0, 1.0, 4.0, 4.0, 12.0, 75.0, 89.0, 105.0, 121.0, 140.0, 167.0, 221.0, 233.0, 265.0, 298.0, 339.0, 364.0, 383.0, 407.0, 431.0, 459.0, 473.0, 504.0, 577.0, 636.0, 673.0, 735.0, 792.0, 792.0, 708.0, 650.0, 598.0, 562.0, 521.0 ] }, "sdid_pre_gap_correction": [], "diagnostics": { "converged": true, "iterations": 186, "termination_reason": "Relative objective tolerance reached", "objective": 0.4774930166674211, "lambda_l": 0.0003117424356070351, "singular_values": [ 75.78315373095982, 72.92169211926486, 64.6431653869464, 59.207091788579845, 56.41780517922652, 51.873841077480606, 50.71431243358519, 46.610827042038295, 45.22453192570187, 40.850163556236495, 36.913747731361134, 36.23968128867179, 34.771177943434076, 33.729441430405316, 32.88710997562126, 31.52540336591059, 30.177522334512616, 26.58871647098819, 25.266937390656224, 24.607453856945412, 22.078420016448554, 21.776990604246045, 20.706375553084513, 18.87224426408205, 18.229184440502863, 15.815215801727746, 13.606280941885792, 12.516114808299228, 8.582579989635896, 7.829707063791254, 7.121190709417913, 6.513647383336373, 5.850769377586648, 4.791220852710794, 2.189288040641859, 0.2965737336323855, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0 ], "history_objective": [ 0.4800923046207589, 0.4785076293067225, 0.4780139341661587, 0.4778125428681781, 0.4777115723848707, 0.4776532515283225, 0.4776161806175343, 0.47759083999094165, 0.47757252848467946, 0.477558730267893, 0.47754800225760297, 0.4775394635407658, 0.4775325456942846, 0.47752686381166665, 0.47752214641323887, 0.4775181954655871, 0.4775148624955148, 0.47751203368481343, 0.47750962019002974, 0.4775075516265087, 0.47750577154244134, 0.4775042341888537, 0.47750290216046676, 0.4775017446383387, 0.4775007360586352, 0.47749985508963994, 0.47749908383576734, 0.477498407211563, 0.47749781244465006, 0.4774972886777642, 0.4774968266476709, 0.47749641842438917, 0.47749605719802646, 0.4774957371036136, 0.47749545307631347, 0.4774952007312714, 0.4774949762633652, 0.4774947763632773, 0.4774945981469295, 0.4774944390959299, 0.4774942970071851, 0.4774941699500572, 0.47749405622990126, 0.47749395435690134, 0.4774938630193689, 0.4774937810608284, 0.47749370746027975, 0.47749364131517985, 0.4774935818267102, 0.4774935282870434, 0.477493480068264, 0.4774934366127508, 0.4774933974247988, 0.47749336206329596, 0.4774933301353348, 0.4774933012906276, 0.4774932752166029, 0.47749325163409784, 0.47749323029357393, 0.4774932109718105, 0.4774931934689629, 0.4774931776059707, 0.4774931632222822, 0.4774931501738549, 0.4774931383313392, 0.4774931275785201, 0.47749311781091486, 0.4774931089345126, 0.4774931008646963, 0.47749309352523317, 0.4774930868474243, 0.4774930807693044, 0.4774930752349675, 0.47749307019394205, 0.4774930656006353, 0.47749306141383596, 0.47749305759628446, 0.4774930541142788, 0.47749305093729244, 0.4774930480377111, 0.47749304539049864, 0.4774930429729563, 0.477493040764529, 0.47749303874654403, 0.47749303690206135, 0.4774930352157103, 0.4774930336735181, 0.47749303226279716, 0.4774930309720095, 0.47749302979065567, 0.4774930287092075, 0.4774930277189703, 0.4774930268120432, 0.4774930259812257, 0.4774930252199607, 0.4774930245222755, 0.47749302388271897, 0.477493023296326, 0.4774930227585721, 0.477493022265311, 0.4774930218127863, 0.47749302139754685, 0.4774930210164514, 0.4774930206666203, 0.4774930203454385, 0.47749302005050415, 0.47749301977962655, 0.47749301953079737, 0.4774930193021839, 0.47749301909212105, 0.47749301889905216, 0.47749301872158956, 0.4774930185584398, 0.4774930184084285, 0.4774930182704795, 0.4774930181436027, 0.4774930180268858, 0.47749301791951076, 0.4774930178207113, 0.4774930177297842, 0.47749301764610447, 0.4774930175690726, 0.47749301749815654, 0.47749301743286243, 0.4774930173727373, 0.4774930173173647, 0.47749301726636084, 0.47749301721937987, 0.47749301717609743, 0.4774930171362147, 0.47749301709946623, 0.47749301706559666, 0.4774930170343835, 0.4774930170056105, 0.4774930169790839, 0.477493016954627, 0.47749301693207985, 0.4774930169112853, 0.47749301689210844, 0.477493016874423, 0.4774930168581042, 0.4774930168430553, 0.4774930168291728, 0.4774930168163595, 0.47749301680453826, 0.4774930167936291, 0.47749301678356465, 0.4774930167742704, 0.47749301676569433, 0.47749301675777667, 0.4774930167504674, 0.47749301674372113, 0.47749301673748856, 0.4774930167317361, 0.47749301672642397, 0.4774930167215186, 0.4774930167169836, 0.47749301671279953, 0.47749301670893207, 0.47749301670536215, 0.4774930167020627, 0.4774930166990141, 0.477493016696195, 0.4774930166935947, 0.4774930166911876, 0.47749301668896627, 0.47749301668691646, 0.4774930166850117, 0.4774930166832586, 0.47749301668163624, 0.4774930166801351, 0.4774930166787536, 0.4774930166774689, 0.4774930166762843, 0.4774930166751904, 0.47749301667417937, 0.4774930166732405, 0.47749301667237637, 0.47749301667157396, 0.4774930166708341, 0.47749301667014665, 0.4774930166695119, 0.47749301666892763, 0.4774930166683855, 0.47749301666788385, 0.4774930166674211 ], "history_rmse": [ 0.38259734970406706, 0.3821822592349709, 0.38209046730082624, 0.3819542708357474, 0.38195616974517804, 0.3819705025142998, 0.38198172614364084, 0.38198869310293426, 0.38199241881266766, 0.3819939429681743, 0.38199401894606305, 0.3819931531839282, 0.38199168296910785, 0.3819898355776071, 0.3819877665959047, 0.3819855838734876, 0.3819833626212164, 0.38198115519001047, 0.3819789976158534, 0.38197691414030743, 0.38197492041618664, 0.38197302582757786, 0.38197123519357856, 0.3819695500317396, 0.38196796950052564, 0.3819664911043034, 0.3819651112206596, 0.3819638254940169, 0.381962629128015, 0.3819615171011631, 0.3819604843241814, 0.3819595257531574, 0.38195863646916384, 0.38195781173266435, 0.38195704701882505, 0.3819563380387367, 0.3819556807500699, 0.3819550713600929, 0.38195450632315137, 0.3819539823342471, 0.3819534963200112, 0.3819530454278902, 0.3819526270143723, 0.38195223863268335, 0.38195187802035374, 0.38195154308695406, 0.38195123190214053, 0.3819509426841927, 0.3819506737890677, 0.3819504237000944, 0.3819501910182545, 0.38194997445311, 0.3819497728143507, 0.3819495850039214, 0.3819494100087384, 0.3819492468939629, 0.3819490947967808, 0.3819489529206547, 0.3819488205300353, 0.38194869694552436, 0.3819485815393861, 0.3819484737314253, 0.38194837298521933, 0.38194827880466836, 0.3819481907307683, 0.38194810833871234, 0.3819480312352026, 0.3819479590559611, 0.38194789146349334, 0.38194782814497624, 0.38194776881037434, 0.381947713190651, 0.38194766103618194, 0.3819476121152617, 0.3819475662127328, 0.3819475231287259, 0.38194748267752154, 0.38194744468648284, 0.3819474089950425, 0.3819473754538714, 0.38194734392398016, 0.38194731427597284, 0.3819472863893857, 0.3819472601519669, 0.381947235459115, 0.38194721221333416, 0.3819471903236917, 0.3819471697053722, 0.3819471502792233, 0.3819471319713505, 0.3819471147127829, 0.3819470984390655, 0.38194708308999137, 0.381947068609281, 0.3819470549443163, 0.38194704204588986, 0.3819470298679572, 0.38194701836743467, 0.3819470075039974, 0.38194699723986103, 0.3819469875396698, 0.38194697837026914, 0.3819469697005983, 0.3819469615015253, 0.3819469537457509, 0.3819469464076526, 0.3819469394631953, 0.3819469328898139, 0.3819469266663292, 0.3819469207728677, 0.3819469151907173, 0.38194690990234637, 0.3819469048912471, 0.38194690014191507, 0.38194689563976864, 0.3819468913710883, 0.3819468873229588, 0.38194688348325123, 0.38194687984052716, 0.3819468763840154, 0.38194687310359865, 0.38194686998971167, 0.3819468670333659, 0.38194686422608254, 0.38194686155986884, 0.38194685902718845, 0.3819468566209312, 0.3819468543343987, 0.3819468521612614, 0.381946850095545, 0.38194684813162233, 0.3819468462641627, 0.3819468444881515, 0.3819468427988343, 0.38194684119172445, 0.38194683966258725, 0.3819468382074208, 0.3819468368224287, 0.3819468355040348, 0.38194683424885334, 0.3819468330536686, 0.3819468319154643, 0.3819468308313657, 0.3819468297986478, 0.3819468288147489, 0.3819468278772295, 0.3819468269837889, 0.3819468261322308, 0.38194682532049684, 0.3819468245466179, 0.38194682380873696, 0.3819468231050937, 0.3819468224340097, 0.381946821793907, 0.38194682118327933, 0.38194682060070007, 0.38194682004480845, 0.3819468195143349, 0.3819468190080475, 0.3819468185247976, 0.38194681806347935, 0.3819468176230521, 0.38194681720251944, 0.38194681680095094, 0.38194681641743855, 0.3819468160511421, 0.3819468157012539, 0.38194681536698655, 0.381946815047635, 0.3819468147424911, 0.3819468144508957, 0.38194681417223036, 0.38194681390587903, 0.38194681365128713, 0.3819468134079116, 0.38194681317523616, 0.3819468129527646, 0.3819468127400413, 0.38194681253661217, 0.3819468123420615, 0.3819468121559793, 0.38194681197798785, 0.3819468118077235, 0.3819468116448324, 0.3819468114889847, 0.38194681133986497 ], "n_observed": 158639, "n_missing": 443282, "n_treated_observed": 3831, "n_untreated_observed": 154808 }, "checks": { "scalar_vs_treated_cell_average": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "native_scalar_vs_unweighted_matrix_average": 1.1102230246251565e-16 }, "native_matrix_att": -0.12159696971834491, "matrix_preparation": { "source_rows": 158933, "matrix_shape": [ 14681, 41 ], "observed_cells": 158639, "missing_cells": 443282, "repeated_cells": 294, "minimum_cell_count": 1, "maximum_cell_count": 2, "observation_mass": 158933.0, "treated_observation_mass": 3849.0, "within_cell_aggregation": "Observation-weighted outcome mean", "fitting_weights": "Standard crabbymetrics objective on cell means; no cell-count precision weighting", "reporting_weights": "Sum of original observation weights per treated unit-period" }, "seconds": 5.507284791674465, "crabbymetrics": "0.9.1", "crabbymetrics_build": { "source_commit": "cb3fcc0e8664cdbb6848d3998ddc4365d65740dc", "extension_sha256": "3e1dd2e2bd6d38612b9200b15094fc37138cd002749f8b31148d6265fc533cbd" }, "normalization": "Original source outcome / source SD; no mean subtraction", "target": "All observed treated observations, using configured observation weights; cell mass equals sum of row weights", "status": "estimated" }, { "method": "Horizontal ridge", "status": "unidentified", "reason": "ValueError: ridge cohort 2, period 2: no donor/pre-period overlap for observed treated outcomes", "crabbymetrics_build": { "source_commit": "cb3fcc0e8664cdbb6848d3998ddc4365d65740dc", "extension_sha256": "3e1dd2e2bd6d38612b9200b15094fc37138cd002749f8b31148d6265fc533cbd" }, "parameters": { "penalty": 1.0 } }, { "method": "Multisynth (cohort-averaged)", "status": "unsupported", "reason": "multisynth-cohort: requires one observation per unit-period; no observations collapsed." }, { "method": "Multisynth (individual)", "status": "unsupported", "reason": "multisynth-individual: requires one observation per unit-period; no observations collapsed." } ] }, "combined_table": [ { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Static TWFE", "Estimate (SDs)": -0.08543758521702213, "SE": 0.040893257759548066, "Aggregation": "Coefficient", "Event study": "No", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Dynamic TWFE", "Estimate (SDs)": -0.024149093274566148, "SE": 0.049449436010379905, "Aggregation": "observations", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "BJS / did2s", "Estimate (SDs)": -0.09135880636764052, "SE": 0.04155857067060034, "Aggregation": "observations", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Sun\u2013Abraham", "Estimate (SDs)": -0.02445158515512512, "SE": 0.013256197082919415, "Aggregation": "observations", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "CS-DID", "Estimate (SDs)": -0.11233680961787894, "SE": 0.019237292098996536, "Aggregation": "Equal post-event times", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "CS-DID (treated cells)", "Estimate (SDs)": -0.1044703854737469, "SE": 0.04240149933205747, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "Same CS-DID path", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "SDID", "Estimate (SDs)": null, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "No", "Status": "failed", "Note": "ValueError: masked SDID weight optimizer did not converge; increase max_iterations or check overlap" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Matrix completion", "Estimate (SDs)": -0.11968655766566162, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Horizontal ridge", "Estimate (SDs)": null, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "No", "Status": "failed", "Note": "ValueError: ridge cohort 2, period 2: no donor/pre-period overlap for observed treated outcomes" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Multisynth (cohort-averaged)", "Estimate (SDs)": null, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "No", "Status": "unsupported", "Note": "multisynth-cohort: requires one observation per unit-period; no observations collapsed." }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Multisynth (individual)", "Estimate (SDs)": null, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "No", "Status": "unsupported", "Note": "multisynth-individual: requires one observation per unit-period; no observations collapsed." } ], "adapter_sha256": { "validate_template.py": "9c8cc9bb42c9d4eb4f48bfa0a6ee09498fe83516d08aa9f26a49c21c4686618a", "mtgpax_worker.py": "7279b1b2aaa3f5909cd39ac1964d2e9c75907219011fe661a015511131affa85", "csdid_general.py": "07619c3b3dfee796ae9e4842afdbc6e367a74cece254ede73f7c403dfc924f6d", "runner.py": "d36b4f422cd786230207f4a08bf843040db9a7f5888f15c00147001143c9832f", "matrix_inputs.py": "3f675276f9022147996dd5b62762721be2dd436d5db171491a286b05628176ae", "csdid_model.py": "b9fd5536d4886e99a707d2b162db5b11da3ff463930eca5b7590d27500096a3f", "multisynth_model.R": "3ae0740c5b75b14f563dacc9961688e8286655866a6b435045a3ef6f453c1604", "csdid_streaming.py": "378198e98c44bd46862601bdcb514b19d9ea4038cddc38dad7fdba9b0aa0216b", "multisynth_sparse.R": "f9ab3d8d7f7b52a79ccd694c7173f626276a0830f23bb79e527c88c0f0292540", "matrix_models.py": "2fddc228b899ed1c806fd1bd7feef84c5164b4c9d472d0218d2f1491a47a302b", "csdid_aggregations.py": "cbed0fb13450d9398f9a59d53dbfdf8e275a74daa01158c38c0f3396a3e8c6ee", "bootstrap_matrix.py": "c6a1f4bb0085e0a21f9a41677fb4def7990be5f6199077a53e951de489ab9550", "eligibility.py": "ec30f3992f92d8b6343208e08fb7dfd0702f76702b7e30155029d48f97b7a458" }, "scalar_ranges": [ { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Static TWFE", "Estimate (SDs)": -0.08543758521702213, "SE": 0.040893257759548066, "Aggregation": "Coefficient", "Event study": "No", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "", "lower": -0.1656350221522489, "upper": -0.005240148281795351, "ci_level": 0.95, "inference": "Configured-cluster regression interval" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Dynamic TWFE", "Estimate (SDs)": -0.024149093274566148, "SE": 0.049449436010379905, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "", "lower": -0.12112640061562846, "upper": 0.07282821406649617, "ci_level": 0.95, "inference": "Configured-cluster regression interval" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "BJS / did2s", "Estimate (SDs)": -0.09135880636764052, "SE": 0.04155857067060034, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "", "lower": -0.17286101560885578, "upper": -0.009856597126425254, "ci_level": 0.95, "inference": "Configured-cluster regression interval" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Sun\u2013Abraham", "Estimate (SDs)": -0.02445158515512512, "SE": 0.013256197082919415, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "", "lower": -0.050448854333566724, "upper": 0.0015456840233164862, "ci_level": 0.95, "inference": "Configured-cluster regression interval" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "CS-DID (equal event-time)", "Estimate (SDs)": -0.11233680961787894, "SE": 0.019237292098996536, "Aggregation": "Equal post-event times", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "", "lower": -0.15004120929198908, "upper": -0.0746324099437688, "ci_level": 0.95, "inference": "Configured-cluster analytical influence functions, including aggregation-share uncertainty; sufficient-statistic calculation of intercept-only CS-DID" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "CS-DID (treated cells)", "Estimate (SDs)": -0.1044703854737469, "SE": 0.04240149933205747, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "Same CS-DID path", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "", "lower": -0.1875757970550787, "upper": -0.02136497389241511, "ci_level": 0.95, "inference": "Configured-cluster analytical influence functions, including aggregation-share uncertainty; sufficient-statistic calculation of intercept-only CS-DID" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "SDID", "Estimate (SDs)": null, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "No", "Status": "failed", "Note": "ValueError: masked SDID weight optimizer did not converge; increase max_iterations or check overlap", "lower": null, "upper": null, "ci_level": null, "inference": "Not computed" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Matrix completion", "Estimate (SDs)": -0.11968655766566162, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "", "lower": null, "upper": null, "ci_level": null, "inference": "Not computed" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Horizontal ridge", "Estimate (SDs)": null, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "No", "Status": "failed", "Note": "ValueError: ridge cohort 2, period 2: no donor/pre-period overlap for observed treated outcomes", "lower": null, "upper": null, "ci_level": null, "inference": "Not computed" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Multisynth (cohort-averaged)", "Estimate (SDs)": null, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "No", "Status": "unsupported", "Note": "multisynth-cohort: requires one observation per unit-period; no observations collapsed.", "lower": null, "upper": null, "ci_level": null, "inference": "Not computed" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Multisynth (individual)", "Estimate (SDs)": null, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "No", "Status": "unsupported", "Note": "multisynth-individual: requires one observation per unit-period; no observations collapsed.", "lower": null, "upper": null, "ci_level": null, "inference": "Not computed" } ], "reporting_source": { "path": "templates/reporting/comparison_report.py", "sha256": "94e9c5116a13335ead2db81834cac48593160291aea51c30c12fe3e11e5da1ce" } }, "finished": 1791602139.7952042, "scalar_ranges": [ { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Static TWFE", "Estimate (SDs)": -0.08543758521702213, "SE": 0.040893257759548066, "Aggregation": "Coefficient", "Event study": "No", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "", "lower": -0.1656350221522489, "upper": -0.005240148281795351, "ci_level": 0.95, "inference": "Configured-cluster regression interval" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Dynamic TWFE", "Estimate (SDs)": -0.024149093274566148, "SE": 0.049449436010379905, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "", "lower": -0.12112640061562846, "upper": 0.07282821406649617, "ci_level": 0.95, "inference": "Configured-cluster regression interval" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "BJS / did2s", "Estimate (SDs)": -0.09135880636764052, "SE": 0.04155857067060034, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "", "lower": -0.17286101560885578, "upper": -0.009856597126425254, "ci_level": 0.95, "inference": "Configured-cluster regression interval" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Sun\u2013Abraham", "Estimate (SDs)": -0.02445158515512512, "SE": 0.013256197082919415, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "", "lower": -0.050448854333566724, "upper": 0.0015456840233164862, "ci_level": 0.95, "inference": "Configured-cluster regression interval" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "CS-DID (equal event-time)", "Estimate (SDs)": -0.11233680961787894, "SE": 0.019237292098996536, "Aggregation": "Equal post-event times", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "", "lower": -0.15004120929198908, "upper": -0.0746324099437688, "ci_level": 0.95, "inference": "Configured-cluster analytical influence functions, including aggregation-share uncertainty; sufficient-statistic calculation of intercept-only CS-DID" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "CS-DID (treated cells)", "Estimate (SDs)": -0.1044703854737469, "SE": 0.04240149933205747, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "Same CS-DID path", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "", "lower": -0.1875757970550787, "upper": -0.02136497389241511, "ci_level": 0.95, "inference": "Configured-cluster analytical influence functions, including aggregation-share uncertainty; sufficient-statistic calculation of intercept-only CS-DID" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "SDID", "Estimate (SDs)": null, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "No", "Status": "failed", "Note": "ValueError: masked SDID weight optimizer did not converge; increase max_iterations or check overlap", "lower": null, "upper": null, "ci_level": null, "inference": "Not computed" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Matrix completion", "Estimate (SDs)": -0.11968655766566162, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "", "lower": null, "upper": null, "ci_level": null, "inference": "Not computed" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Horizontal ridge", "Estimate (SDs)": null, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "No", "Status": "unidentified", "Note": "ValueError: ridge cohort 2, period 2: no donor/pre-period overlap for observed treated outcomes", "lower": null, "upper": null, "ci_level": null, "inference": "Not computed" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Multisynth (cohort-averaged)", "Estimate (SDs)": null, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "No", "Status": "unsupported", "Note": "multisynth-cohort: requires one observation per unit-period; no observations collapsed.", "lower": null, "upper": null, "ci_level": null, "inference": "Not computed" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Multisynth (individual)", "Estimate (SDs)": null, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "No", "Status": "unsupported", "Note": "multisynth-individual: requires one observation per unit-period; no observations collapsed.", "lower": null, "upper": null, "ci_level": null, "inference": "Not computed" } ] }