Mafia and Public Spending: Evidence on the Fiscal Multiplier from a Quasi-Experiment
Antonio Acconcia; Giancarlo Corsetti; Saverio Simonelli (2014). American Economic Review.
Under development — community extension. This is a provisional source-design assessment, not a new successful replication or a final eligibility ruling.
Extension index · Provisional eligibility log · Assessment JSON · QMD · Reproduction code
Source design and template applicability
The fiscal multiplier instruments public-investment growth G with compulsory-administration shocks CD_S1 and L1CD_S2 after province/year residualization. Binary instruments are not the continuous endogenous treatment.
No DiD estimates, uncertainty intervals or homogeneity-test decision were computed in this tranche. No point is added to the calibration plots. This is not a zero effect or a failed statistical test.
Recorded treatment-column measurement
950 distinct nonmissing values in G.
Observed support in the indicated source frame; missing values excluded. N=950; missing=0. Frame: selected_source_data. Source: AER/Acconcia_Corsetti_Simonelli_AER_2014_112837/R/587_acconcia_corsetti_simonelli_replicate.R.
These are the existing data-measured counts, not counts inferred from design labels. A binary instrument, group indicator or interaction component need not be the treatment of interest; the source-design assessment above takes precedence for template applicability.
Replication status
This tranche: unsupported design; source code/documentation inspected, no estimator run.
Supplied library: verified; verification: verified; preparation: runs_with_shim. These are the library’s labels, not new verification claims. Missing data and unsupported designs are separate issues.
Evidence and provenance
The following files in the supplied library were inspected. Their SHA-256 digests are recorded in the downloadable assessment JSON. Source archives and microdata are not redistributed.
AER/Acconcia_Corsetti_Simonelli_AER_2014_112837/R/587_acconcia_corsetti_simonelli_figure.R(87 lines)AER/Acconcia_Corsetti_Simonelli_AER_2014_112837/R/587_acconcia_corsetti_simonelli_replicate.R(328 lines)AER/Acconcia_Corsetti_Simonelli_AER_2014_112837/verdict.md(109 lines)AER/Acconcia_Corsetti_Simonelli_AER_2014_112837/aeraej-587.md(96 lines)