{ "paper": { "rank": 11, "paper_id": "aeraej-120", "title": "The Power of Political Voice: Women's Political Representation and Crime in India", "authors": "Lakshmi Iyer; Anandi Mani; Prachi Mishra; Petia Topalova", "year": 2012, "journal": "American Economic Journal: Applied Economics", "doi": "10.1257/app.4.4.165", "package_bytes": 390683, "source_specification": "Table 3" }, "mapping": { "paper_id": "aeraej-120", "match": true, "outcome": "lpcr_womtot", "treatment": "postwres", "unit": "stateid", "time": "year", "cluster": "stateid" }, "status": "estimated", "source_fit": { "formula": "list(linear = lpcr_womtot ~ postwres, fixef = ~stateid + year)", "coefficients": { "postwres": 0.365106705758518 }, "se": [ 0.19030743036589 ], "n": 391 }, "source_check": { "source_term": "postwres", "source_beta": 0.365106705758518, "template_source_sample_beta": 0.3651067057585168, "template_source_sample_n": 391, "template_source_sample_se": 0.18611281214849457, "same_point_specification": true, "dropped_missing_identifiers": 0, "controls": {}, "absolute_coefficient_difference": 1.2212453270876722e-15 }, "settings": { "slug": "aeraej-120", "specification_id": "aeraej-120-source", "source_specification_id": "Table 3", "study": "The Power of Political Voice: Women's Political Representation and Crime in India", "citation": "Lakshmi Iyer; Anandi Mani; Prachi Mishra; Petia Topalova (2012). https://doi.org/10.1257/app.4.4.165", "description": "Source covariates and fixed effects are retained.", "data": "analyses/new-library/tranche50/aeraej-120/panel.parquet", "unit": "unit", "time": "time", "cluster": "cluster", "covariates": [], "time_fe": null, "allow_repeated_cells": false, "period_values": null, "period_step": 1, "latest_cohort_control": true, "reversal_policy": "drop_post_untreated", "test_mode": "classical", "post_weighting": "observations", "display_window": [ -10, 10 ], "labels": { "y": "lpcr_womtot", "d": "postwres", "unit": "stateid", "time": "year", "cluster": "stateid" } }, "options": { "output_dir": "analyses/new-library/tranche50/aeraej-120/results", "timeout_seconds": 300 }, "comparison": { "schema": "expensive-replication-v1", "config": { "outcomes": [ "y" ], "treatments": [ "d" ], "unit": "unit", "time": "time", "cluster": "cluster", "covariates": [], "baseline_by_time": [], "weight": null, "period_step": 1, "period_values": null, "display_window": [ -10, 10 ], "seed": 20261008, "panelview_max_units": 100, "test_mode": "classical", "test_horizon": null, "post_horizon": null, "post_weighting": "observations", "sample_query": null, "reversal_policy": "drop_post_untreated", "labels": { "y": "lpcr_womtot", "d": "postwres", "unit": "stateid", "time": "year", "cluster": "stateid" }, "allow_repeated_cells": false, "time_fe": null, "unit_fe": null, "frequency_weights": false, "source_sd": null, "require_never_control_periods": false, "latest_cohort_control": true, "slug": "aeraej-120", "specification_id": "aeraej-120-source", "source_specification_id": "Table 3", "study": "The Power of Political Voice: Women's Political Representation and Crime in India", "citation": "Lakshmi Iyer; Anandi Mani; Prachi Mishra; Petia Topalova (2012). https://doi.org/10.1257/app.4.4.165", "description": "Source covariates and fixed effects are retained.", "data": "analyses/new-library/tranche50/aeraej-120/panel.parquet", "output_dir": "analyses/new-library/tranche50/aeraej-120/results" }, "options": { "output_dir": "analyses/new-library/tranche50/aeraej-120/results", "timeout_seconds": 300 }, "source": { "file": "panel.parquet", "bytes": 7032, "sha256": "552a078c3392fb416fa42059810c6a21bdc837912805ad44af5aa180f7c1e85c" }, "regressions": { "y__d": { "sample": { "outcome": "y", "treatment": "d", "source_rows": 391, "source_sd": 1.1736016435411984, "rows": 357, "units": 17, "clusters": 17, "treated_units": 16, "never_treated_units": 1, "treated_cohorts": 9, "latest_cohort_control_index": 22, "unique_unit_period_cells": 357, "unsupported_prediction_rows_removed": 0, "rows_without_never_control_time_fe_removed": 0, "initially_treated_units_removed": 0, "post_adoption_untreated_rows_removed": 0, "units_without_minus_one_removed": 0, "additional_rows_removed": 0 }, "estimates": [ { "method": "Static TWFE", "estimate": 0.3358685755485454, "se": 0.15072788192944972, "pvalue": 0.04055294641455144, "lower": 0.016339739905909312, "upper": 0.6553974111911814 }, { "method": "Dynamic TWFE", "estimate": 0.37285366884850746, "se": 0.11568004942866289, "pvalue": 0.005312810520660449, "lower": 0.12762291905050832, "upper": 0.6180844186465067 }, { "method": "BJS / did2s", "estimate": 0.43354970275517635, "se": 0.13509595227784216, "pvalue": 0.005470909297054746, "lower": 0.14715907761803704, "upper": 0.7199403278923157 }, { "method": "Sun\u2013Abraham", "estimate": 0.3495108985632107, "se": 0.06744112584415018, "pvalue": 9.075034442002513e-05, "lower": 0.20654209850074923, "upper": 0.4924796986256722 } ], "event_studies": { "Dynamic TWFE": [ { "event_time": -17, "estimate": 0.22915026890620258, "se": 0.32603229834108177, "pvalue": 0.4922527232378228, "lower": -0.46200732806434175, "upper": 0.920307865876747 }, { "event_time": -16, "estimate": 0.2469171796542927, "se": 0.30104910393250556, "pvalue": 0.42415938870407177, "lower": -0.39127841109803607, "upper": 0.8851127704066215 }, { "event_time": -15, "estimate": 0.14093864420685503, "se": 0.1962438380800876, "pvalue": 0.483001622761518, "lower": -0.2750797080786405, "upper": 0.5569569964923506 }, { "event_time": -14, "estimate": 0.01993922436058341, "se": 0.19323557636173716, "pvalue": 0.9190975429896924, "lower": -0.3897018979667366, "upper": 0.42958034668790346 }, { "event_time": -13, "estimate": 0.09879102421462461, "se": 0.17421495568439146, "pvalue": 0.578540369047113, "lower": -0.2705281835443129, "upper": 0.4681102319735621 }, { "event_time": -12, "estimate": 0.06195506282862303, "se": 0.15862203334812888, "pvalue": 0.7012568444207766, "lower": -0.27430862623932595, "upper": 0.39821875189657197 }, { "event_time": -11, "estimate": 0.40036754232339716, "se": 0.42560692708635955, "pvalue": 0.3608462954703287, "lower": -0.5018788377922505, "upper": 1.302613922439045 }, { "event_time": -10, "estimate": 0.08183621720106996, "se": 0.3239061602779512, "pvalue": 0.8037527225720582, "lower": -0.6048141684225679, "upper": 0.7684866028247077 }, { "event_time": -9, "estimate": 0.07557941289521707, "se": 0.25790993180432514, "pvalue": 0.7732537344186639, "lower": -0.47116521825856417, "upper": 0.6223240440489983 }, { "event_time": -8, "estimate": -0.07856744943563844, "se": 0.2387938671914263, "pvalue": 0.746409573162184, "lower": -0.5847878339162795, "upper": 0.4276529350450027 }, { "event_time": -7, "estimate": -0.22437275768567683, "se": 0.2729814351274842, "pvalue": 0.4231941771802146, "lower": -0.8030675486014538, "upper": 0.3543220332301001 }, { "event_time": -6, "estimate": -0.1394615467721071, "se": 0.19837821104687886, "pvalue": 0.4921537977321779, "lower": -0.560004567620418, "upper": 0.2810814740762038 }, { "event_time": -5, "estimate": -0.06640471731443795, "se": 0.17434509154728886, "pvalue": 0.7083013516003746, "lower": -0.43599980077875033, "upper": 0.3031903661498745 }, { "event_time": -4, "estimate": 0.005166930359856367, "se": 0.13695833685591052, "pvalue": 0.9703726166096608, "lower": -0.285171773713518, "upper": 0.29550563443323075 }, { "event_time": -3, "estimate": 0.0194205354262496, "se": 0.12392215228370304, "pvalue": 0.877429430234558, "lower": -0.24328269189087576, "upper": 0.282123762743375 }, { "event_time": -2, "estimate": 0.10893206045211047, "se": 0.07896870333349545, "pvalue": 0.18673758266035206, "lower": -0.058474112217197685, "upper": 0.27633823312141864 }, { "event_time": 0, "estimate": 0.058017946174729246, "se": 0.09231199712700591, "pvalue": 0.5385467465869508, "lower": -0.1376747457165078, "upper": 0.2537106380659663 }, { "event_time": 1, "estimate": 0.21067977581933034, "se": 0.07773785371707723, "pvalue": 0.015447989493846792, "lower": 0.04588288777441163, "upper": 0.37547666386424905 }, { "event_time": 2, "estimate": 0.3026220122244994, "se": 0.0841414451198956, "pvalue": 0.0024165757322392534, "lower": 0.12425011683069836, "upper": 0.48099390761830046 }, { "event_time": 3, "estimate": 0.390670965792058, "se": 0.09897303428423716, "pvalue": 0.0011531471629491934, "lower": 0.18085750593289673, "upper": 0.6004844256512193 }, { "event_time": 4, "estimate": 0.44592703174663884, "se": 0.07252774845669918, "pvalue": 1.4013928826814237e-05, "lower": 0.2921750734526961, "upper": 0.5996789900405816 }, { "event_time": 5, "estimate": 0.48521120434257226, "se": 0.09732811662823888, "pvalue": 0.00013480369158987447, "lower": 0.27888481413914434, "upper": 0.6915375945460002 }, { "event_time": 6, "estimate": 0.4914385696814613, "se": 0.11434426060640497, "pvalue": 0.0005530924889216022, "lower": 0.24903956568640728, "upper": 0.7338375736765154 }, { "event_time": 7, "estimate": 0.47669437644587215, "se": 0.14599172169185007, "pvalue": 0.00486277399578967, "lower": 0.1672057519888846, "upper": 0.7861830009028596 }, { "event_time": 8, "estimate": 0.4509535542021558, "se": 0.1759184792048212, "pvalue": 0.02082983571539034, "lower": 0.07802303790491127, "upper": 0.8238840704994004 }, { "event_time": 9, "estimate": 0.4239543596109047, "se": 0.22320917146011696, "pvalue": 0.07569850391761218, "lower": -0.049227945802182815, "upper": 0.8971366650239923 }, { "event_time": 10, "estimate": 0.5069828797187087, "se": 0.26413133386721516, "pvalue": 0.07294380147907915, "lower": -0.05295053463677912, "upper": 1.0669162940741965 }, { "event_time": 11, "estimate": 0.4806198094954534, "se": 0.3219170226131497, "pvalue": 0.15489528976735176, "lower": -0.20181379265169103, "upper": 1.163053411642598 }, { "event_time": 12, "estimate": 0.47818848387838886, "se": 0.37512733616801935, "pvalue": 0.2206044310788084, "lower": -0.3170459439469484, "upper": 1.2734229117037261 }, { "event_time": 13, "estimate": 0.49611663645211485, "se": 0.4611025473498519, "pvalue": 0.2979131195252627, "lower": -0.48137709715925564, "upper": 1.4736103700634853 }, { "event_time": 14, "estimate": 0.46878420390356546, "se": 0.6673376859178843, "pvalue": 0.49248087045481054, "lower": -0.9459084928438068, "upper": 1.8834769006509378 }, { "event_time": 15, "estimate": -0.14635184889447186, "se": 0.2059384736028984, "pvalue": 0.48752682208318227, "lower": -0.5829219103987927, "upper": 0.2902182126098489 }, { "event_time": 16, "estimate": -0.16442136176765948, "se": 0.2402552209989796, "pvalue": 0.5035401132562001, "lower": -0.6737396779289699, "upper": 0.34489695439365103 }, { "event_time": 17, "estimate": -0.2829189515740499, "se": 0.28270638911856455, "pvalue": 0.3318423294726696, "lower": -0.8822297239902009, "upper": 0.31639182084210116 }, { "event_time": 18, "estimate": -0.1474988908777134, "se": 0.3356169120127382, "pvalue": 0.6661875274257655, "lower": -0.8589749611617906, "upper": 0.5639771794063638 } ], "BJS / did2s": [ { "event_time": -17, "estimate": 0.1129456295144271, "se": 0.1344072828032778, "pvalue": 0.4131086365254836, "lower": -0.1719850815541713, "upper": 0.3978763405830255 }, { "event_time": -16, "estimate": 0.12158923632423431, "se": 0.19113328687903247, "pvalue": 0.5336744684390567, "lower": -0.2835952313882029, "upper": 0.5267737040366716 }, { "event_time": -15, "estimate": 0.06410587735788319, "se": 0.11664739543526428, "pvalue": 0.5902036965171934, "lower": -0.18317555436569077, "upper": 0.3113873090814571 }, { "event_time": -14, "estimate": -0.014290702507132385, "se": 0.09476259904073366, "pvalue": 0.8820141955523894, "lower": -0.21517843838156264, "upper": 0.18659703336729788 }, { "event_time": -13, "estimate": 0.07623395245894928, "se": 0.07783991131522561, "pvalue": 0.3419753510000197, "lower": -0.08877928802910999, "upper": 0.24124719294700853 }, { "event_time": -12, "estimate": -0.020323331275538873, "se": 0.055434338028502034, "pvalue": 0.7187057430447964, "lower": -0.13783887822098265, "upper": 0.09719221566990491 }, { "event_time": -11, "estimate": 0.0719816226476108, "se": 0.1093412103220539, "pvalue": 0.519692965672829, "lower": -0.15981138853737703, "upper": 0.3037746338325986 }, { "event_time": -10, "estimate": 0.0049642581760778424, "se": 0.08746532391772383, "pvalue": 0.955441620458775, "lower": -0.18045394549520843, "upper": 0.19038246184736413 }, { "event_time": -9, "estimate": 0.05627554319063212, "se": 0.07503662394811032, "pvalue": 0.46415625671852534, "lower": -0.10279499355263945, "upper": 0.2153460799339037 }, { "event_time": -8, "estimate": -0.07081471933165641, "se": 0.06376216029552094, "pvalue": 0.28314959978550364, "lower": -0.20598446083192634, "upper": 0.06435502216861351 }, { "event_time": -7, "estimate": -0.14465775328297437, "se": 0.13916661693540436, "pvalue": 0.31404602089815575, "lower": -0.43967780199903245, "upper": 0.15036229543308371 }, { "event_time": -6, "estimate": -0.010343901872069872, "se": 0.046177553460303, "pvalue": 0.825590389407001, "lower": -0.10823594215763899, "upper": 0.08754813841349923 }, { "event_time": -5, "estimate": 0.00010286514333168736, "se": 0.029625181871671014, "pvalue": 0.9972724991740767, "lower": -0.06269971489681714, "upper": 0.06290544518348051 }, { "event_time": -4, "estimate": 0.040544622324082936, "se": 0.03493851046593799, "pvalue": 0.2628858814940533, "lower": -0.033521711159556274, "upper": 0.11461095580772215 }, { "event_time": -3, "estimate": 0.028270149452110566, "se": 0.03360549949773877, "pvalue": 0.4126125114998284, "lower": -0.042970327016123064, "upper": 0.0995106259203442 }, { "event_time": -2, "estimate": 0.047958714751696566, "se": 0.05065917794304717, "pvalue": 0.357874377715075, "lower": -0.059433945023961626, "upper": 0.15535137452735476 }, { "event_time": -1, "estimate": -0.03234181402331084, "se": 0.04531010657934501, "pvalue": 0.4856410933905526, "lower": -0.12839494906914417, "upper": 0.06371132102252247 }, { "event_time": 0, "estimate": 0.1645490498004806, "se": 0.13379928273457706, "pvalue": 0.23654211596812783, "lower": -0.11909275870055222, "upper": 0.4481908583015134 }, { "event_time": 1, "estimate": 0.3316036528217967, "se": 0.1264664883098758, "pvalue": 0.01849225028064143, "lower": 0.06350667407978816, "upper": 0.5997006315638053 }, { "event_time": 2, "estimate": 0.3975542879746997, "se": 0.1236751444559927, "pvalue": 0.005410224229291778, "lower": 0.13537469386048662, "upper": 0.6597338820889128 }, { "event_time": 3, "estimate": 0.4728344731571088, "se": 0.13157636702188477, "pvalue": 0.0024318085489874568, "lower": 0.19390503545513454, "upper": 0.751763910859083 }, { "event_time": 4, "estimate": 0.5168445276502244, "se": 0.13421102073062896, "pvalue": 0.0014123905704167676, "lower": 0.23232987358947038, "upper": 0.8013591817109784 }, { "event_time": 5, "estimate": 0.5169659578769883, "se": 0.18012440788495485, "pvalue": 0.011110032228578783, "lower": 0.13511927108258176, "upper": 0.8988126446713949 }, { "event_time": 6, "estimate": 0.45707808185259013, "se": 0.17631298244614146, "pvalue": 0.01964060578230879, "lower": 0.0833112560435108, "upper": 0.8308449076616695 }, { "event_time": 7, "estimate": 0.5045474918658415, "se": 0.18196699813967884, "pvalue": 0.01358341426117804, "lower": 0.11879468822615213, "upper": 0.8903002955055308 }, { "event_time": 8, "estimate": 0.5757258746186823, "se": 0.18401022782803808, "pvalue": 0.006477301846934288, "lower": 0.185641617535114, "upper": 0.9658101317022506 }, { "event_time": 9, "estimate": 0.5129941136242526, "se": 0.20739654115236217, "pvalue": 0.024969135222204297, "lower": 0.07333308699520108, "upper": 0.9526551402533041 }, { "event_time": 10, "estimate": 0.6771951514207307, "se": 0.1632402998059571, "pvalue": 0.0007557738895234938, "lower": 0.3311411748156159, "upper": 1.0232491280258456 }, { "event_time": 11, "estimate": 0.5995415723462486, "se": 0.2845769336773967, "pvalue": 0.05127176885241145, "lower": -0.0037345773926001913, "upper": 1.2028177220850975 }, { "event_time": 12, "estimate": 0.5326635280729002, "se": 0.3671393620665746, "pvalue": 0.16614500824434741, "lower": -0.24563715112474216, "upper": 1.3109642072705425 }, { "event_time": 13, "estimate": 0.5174666439448754, "se": 0.4615789793776654, "pvalue": 0.2787989892803163, "lower": -0.46103708044697567, "upper": 1.4959703683367265 }, { "event_time": 14, "estimate": 0.19769048964852784, "se": 0.8525592610118452, "pvalue": 0.8195717400342906, "lower": -1.6096544056706394, "upper": 2.005035384967695 }, { "event_time": 15, "estimate": -0.8270914026295171, "se": 0.0795540181061714, "pvalue": 1.5945944538361596e-08, "lower": -0.9957383871871335, "upper": -0.6584444180719007 }, { "event_time": 16, "estimate": -0.7350159665377209, "se": 0.07955401810754656, "pvalue": 8.164083342101963e-08, "lower": -0.9036629510982526, "upper": -0.5663689819771893 }, { "event_time": 17, "estimate": -0.9282438373601747, "se": 0.07955401810652396, "pvalue": 3.0856174350494693e-09, "lower": -1.0968908219185385, "upper": -0.7595968528018109 }, { "event_time": 18, "estimate": -0.7818808146821234, "se": 0.07955401810711912, "pvalue": 3.4934462981166056e-08, "lower": -0.9505277992417489, "upper": -0.613233830122498 } ], "Sun\u2013Abraham": [ { "event_time": -17, "estimate": 0.21880541916795393, "se": 0.0, "pvalue": null, "lower": 0.21880541916795393, "upper": 0.21880541916795393 }, { "event_time": -16, "estimate": 0.2889283368656352, "se": 0.16178028808160008, "pvalue": 0.09307441767704273, "lower": -0.05403055314809002, "upper": 0.6318872268793604 }, { "event_time": -15, "estimate": 0.23233596608231427, "se": 0.07414358859286396, "pvalue": 0.006412111419736464, "lower": 0.07515857972102138, "upper": 0.3895133524436072 }, { "event_time": -14, "estimate": 0.11059320945887591, "se": 0.00517309981350024, "pvalue": 3.4158484808130587e-13, "lower": 0.09962672775083627, "upper": 0.12155969116691555 }, { "event_time": -13, "estimate": 0.21535855280240052, "se": 0.016705635629776068, "pvalue": 7.237268480638991e-10, "lower": 0.17994418730397882, "upper": 0.2507729183008222 }, { "event_time": -12, "estimate": 0.3049904185673473, "se": 0.10910691654999133, "pvalue": 0.01296550889574475, "lower": 0.07369408799132951, "upper": 0.5362867491433652 }, { "event_time": -11, "estimate": 0.6351785773938126, "se": 0.22144991903295583, "pvalue": 0.011151022630985361, "lower": 0.16572572052373175, "upper": 1.1046314342638934 }, { "event_time": -10, "estimate": 0.1739736743508293, "se": 0.17450153228400217, "pvalue": 0.33361645196171674, "lower": -0.19595304866025573, "upper": 0.5439003973619143 }, { "event_time": -9, "estimate": 0.14116242589552097, "se": 0.14118513108551836, "pvalue": 0.3322704475941147, "lower": -0.15813668166391687, "upper": 0.4404615334549588 }, { "event_time": -8, "estimate": -0.015995714744900413, "se": 0.1530269338161551, "pvalue": 0.9180488777496246, "lower": -0.3403983226653478, "upper": 0.308406893175547 }, { "event_time": -7, "estimate": -0.2129849197019311, "se": 0.24908780743165304, "pvalue": 0.4051404729164522, "lower": -0.7410274826476958, "upper": 0.31505764324383356 }, { "event_time": -6, "estimate": -0.04737420913902119, "se": 0.08723980468488365, "pvalue": 0.594591095276605, "lower": -0.23231433339353327, "upper": 0.1375659151154909 }, { "event_time": -5, "estimate": 0.05874968074999051, "se": 0.06493238580211613, "pvalue": 0.3790032308750868, "lower": -0.07890082800299444, "upper": 0.19640018950297547 }, { "event_time": -4, "estimate": 0.1412300826315473, "se": 0.051587218995572566, "pvalue": 0.01459855340992954, "lower": 0.03187006371074565, "upper": 0.25059010155234895 }, { "event_time": -3, "estimate": 0.1102709507147292, "se": 0.03617004313791487, "pvalue": 0.00765983384366714, "lower": 0.03359388459360209, "upper": 0.18694801683585632 }, { "event_time": -2, "estimate": 0.13532713860516313, "se": 0.03008735080224703, "pvalue": 0.0003651915698975644, "lower": 0.07154480419995078, "upper": 0.19910947301037546 }, { "event_time": 0, "estimate": 0.05015326927042525, "se": 0.14513557412575223, "pvalue": 0.7341738214393579, "lower": -0.2575204034242761, "upper": 0.3578269419651266 }, { "event_time": 1, "estimate": 0.2604722757141681, "se": 0.052544990954465215, "pvalue": 0.00014270189836891847, "lower": 0.14908187094226438, "upper": 0.3718626804860718 }, { "event_time": 2, "estimate": 0.4045382297093995, "se": 0.06732536018481858, "pvalue": 1.8219986118005042e-05, "lower": 0.26181484188162296, "upper": 0.5472616175371761 }, { "event_time": 3, "estimate": 0.39585923282420854, "se": 0.06407805447871583, "pvalue": 1.3265068848953486e-05, "lower": 0.2600198255709906, "upper": 0.5316986400774264 }, { "event_time": 4, "estimate": 0.43255374479269393, "se": 0.07395408876487028, "pvalue": 2.467985111486823e-05, "lower": 0.2757780801209664, "upper": 0.5893294094644215 }, { "event_time": 5, "estimate": 0.4127598602420184, "se": 0.08360884622835431, "pvalue": 0.00014869343328339173, "lower": 0.2355170240607551, "upper": 0.5900026964232816 }, { "event_time": 6, "estimate": 0.3680932447918533, "se": 0.10038044312758726, "pvalue": 0.0020826547415305078, "lower": 0.1552962114675033, "upper": 0.5808902781162033 }, { "event_time": 7, "estimate": 0.42480390166204246, "se": 0.11344017718307908, "pvalue": 0.0017672783326819071, "lower": 0.18432146890703505, "upper": 0.6652863344170499 }, { "event_time": 8, "estimate": 0.4610262367741744, "se": 0.10530575571764493, "pvalue": 0.00046817517178992385, "lower": 0.23778800718984, "upper": 0.6842644663585089 }, { "event_time": 9, "estimate": 0.4373523753186669, "se": 0.12309663033592819, "pvalue": 0.002650117552796835, "lower": 0.17639917635325286, "upper": 0.6983055742840809 }, { "event_time": 10, "estimate": 0.5316857943122766, "se": 0.12115761402978238, "pvalue": 0.0004581642665180523, "lower": 0.2748431262895375, "upper": 0.7885284623350157 }, { "event_time": 11, "estimate": 0.44516003114998004, "se": 0.17056614177634702, "pvalue": 0.01895573762061711, "lower": 0.0835759633305782, "upper": 0.8067440989693819 }, { "event_time": 12, "estimate": 0.4007475908876932, "se": 0.13565566801806966, "pvalue": 0.009329535521827446, "lower": 0.11317042138678801, "upper": 0.6883247603885984 }, { "event_time": 13, "estimate": 0.34954253422628456, "se": 0.18768144583120275, "pvalue": 0.08101014291621068, "lower": -0.04832435735678897, "upper": 0.7474094258093581 }, { "event_time": 14, "estimate": 0.21556048509273718, "se": 0.0, "pvalue": null, "lower": 0.21556048509273718, "upper": 0.21556048509273718 }, { "event_time": 15, "estimate": -0.6924274482007776, "se": 0.0, "pvalue": null, "lower": -0.6924274482007776, "upper": -0.6924274482007776 }, { "event_time": 16, "estimate": -0.6003520121170133, "se": 0.0, "pvalue": null, "lower": -0.6003520121170133, "upper": -0.6003520121170133 }, { "event_time": 17, "estimate": -0.7935798829334939, "se": 1.5786522554599382e-08, "pvalue": 5.072145087941102e-115, "lower": -0.7935799163994267, "upper": -0.7935798494675611 }, { "event_time": 18, "estimate": -0.6472168602589196, "se": 1.0047266408107296e-08, "pvalue": 9.594625056020058e-117, "lower": -0.6472168815581728, "upper": -0.6472168389596663 } ] }, "target": { "event_times": [ 0.0, 1.0, 2.0, 3.0, 4.0, 5.0, 6.0, 7.0, 8.0, 9.0, 10.0, 11.0, 12.0, 13.0, 14.0, 15.0, 16.0, 17.0, 18.0 ], "weights": [ 0.0898876404494382, 0.0898876404494382, 0.0898876404494382, 0.0898876404494382, 0.08426966292134831, 0.07303370786516854, 0.07303370786516854, 0.07303370786516854, 0.07303370786516854, 0.07303370786516854, 0.06741573033707865, 0.03932584269662921, 0.028089887640449437, 0.02247191011235955, 0.011235955056179775, 0.0056179775280898875, 0.0056179775280898875, 0.0056179775280898875, 0.0056179775280898875 ], "weighting": "observations" }, "checks": { "did2s_vs_direct_imputation_max_post_difference": 2.220446049250313e-16, "package_aggregate_vs_estimable_cell_weights": 5.551115123125783e-17, "saturated_vs_deviations_relative_rss_difference": 2.1331868366544634e-16 }, "inference": { "standard_errors": "Cluster-robust; did2s uses two-stage covariance", "confidence_intervals": "Pointwise t, clusters minus one degrees of freedom" }, "f_test": { "F": 0.742248678015146, "df_num": 76, "df_den": 140, "pvalue": 0.9239356537463462, "log10_pvalue": -0.034358273580731034, "inference": "Homoskedastic nested-model F", "observations": 357, "design_columns": 180, "restricted_design_columns": 104, "fixed_effect_rank": 37, "covariance_rank": 76, "rss_unrestricted": 16.65448903843942, "rss_restricted": 23.36516552313052, "test_horizon": null, "reference_cohort": 3, "pyfixest": "0.27.0", "formulaic": "1.0.2", "formula": "y~i(rel_time,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_7,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_8,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_9,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_10,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_11,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_12,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_17,ref=-1.0)+i(rel_time,cohort_dummy_18,ref=-1.0)|unit_fe+time_fe", "restriction_names": [ "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.1.0]:cohort_dummy_7", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.2.0]:cohort_dummy_7", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.3.0]:cohort_dummy_7", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.4.0]:cohort_dummy_7", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.5.0]:cohort_dummy_7", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.6.0]:cohort_dummy_7", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.7.0]:cohort_dummy_7", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.8.0]:cohort_dummy_7", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.9.0]:cohort_dummy_7", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.10.0]:cohort_dummy_7", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.11.0]:cohort_dummy_7", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.12.0]:cohort_dummy_7", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.13.0]:cohort_dummy_7", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.14.0]:cohort_dummy_7", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.1.0]:cohort_dummy_8", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.2.0]:cohort_dummy_8", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.3.0]:cohort_dummy_8", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.4.0]:cohort_dummy_8", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.5.0]:cohort_dummy_8", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.6.0]:cohort_dummy_8", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.7.0]:cohort_dummy_8", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.8.0]:cohort_dummy_8", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.9.0]:cohort_dummy_8", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.10.0]:cohort_dummy_8", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.11.0]:cohort_dummy_8", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.12.0]:cohort_dummy_8", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.13.0]:cohort_dummy_8", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.1.0]:cohort_dummy_9", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.2.0]:cohort_dummy_9", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.3.0]:cohort_dummy_9", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.4.0]:cohort_dummy_9", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.5.0]:cohort_dummy_9", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.6.0]:cohort_dummy_9", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.7.0]:cohort_dummy_9", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.8.0]:cohort_dummy_9", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.9.0]:cohort_dummy_9", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.10.0]:cohort_dummy_9", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.11.0]:cohort_dummy_9", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.12.0]:cohort_dummy_9", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.1.0]:cohort_dummy_10", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.2.0]:cohort_dummy_10", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.3.0]:cohort_dummy_10", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.4.0]:cohort_dummy_10", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.5.0]:cohort_dummy_10", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.6.0]:cohort_dummy_10", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.7.0]:cohort_dummy_10", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.8.0]:cohort_dummy_10", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.9.0]:cohort_dummy_10", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.10.0]:cohort_dummy_10", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.11.0]:cohort_dummy_10", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.1.0]:cohort_dummy_11", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.2.0]:cohort_dummy_11", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.3.0]:cohort_dummy_11", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.4.0]:cohort_dummy_11", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.5.0]:cohort_dummy_11", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.6.0]:cohort_dummy_11", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.7.0]:cohort_dummy_11", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.8.0]:cohort_dummy_11", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.9.0]:cohort_dummy_11", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.10.0]:cohort_dummy_11", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.1.0]:cohort_dummy_12", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.2.0]:cohort_dummy_12", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.3.0]:cohort_dummy_12", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.4.0]:cohort_dummy_12", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.5.0]:cohort_dummy_12", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.6.0]:cohort_dummy_12", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.7.0]:cohort_dummy_12", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.8.0]:cohort_dummy_12", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.9.0]:cohort_dummy_12", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.1.0]:cohort_dummy_17", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.2.0]:cohort_dummy_17", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.3.0]:cohort_dummy_17", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.4.0]:cohort_dummy_17", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.1.0]:cohort_dummy_18", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.2.0]:cohort_dummy_18", "C(rel_time, contr.treatment(base=-1.0))[T.3.0]:cohort_dummy_18" ], "deviations": [ { "event_time": -6.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": -0.06013844265021984 }, { "event_time": -5.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": -0.49912177047572603 }, { "event_time": -4.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": 0.39117941327380806 }, { "event_time": -3.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": -0.09765579632390176 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": -0.06793294779024361 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": 0.2677354008067017 }, { "event_time": 1.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": -0.14349960654786525 }, { "event_time": 2.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": -0.3777433993832552 }, { "event_time": 3.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": -0.38623593203741213 }, { "event_time": 4.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": 0.10114329292884672 }, { "event_time": 5.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": 0.3629223006291391 }, { "event_time": 6.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": 1.0786232578767194 }, { "event_time": 7.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": 1.1446130644642807 }, { "event_time": 8.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": 1.4435308535819773 }, { "event_time": 9.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": 1.5155438900198963 }, { "event_time": 10.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": 1.3412887158266389 }, { "event_time": 11.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": 2.0074343920501954 }, { "event_time": 12.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": 2.0675631850185106 }, { "event_time": 13.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": 2.1370669994423084 }, { "event_time": 14.0, "cohort": 7, "estimate": 2.285072702698695 }, { "event_time": -7.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": -1.0910987729062296 }, { "event_time": -6.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": -0.13790147057802762 }, { "event_time": -5.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": -0.49315633714103246 }, { "event_time": -4.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": -0.17958047810509653 }, { "event_time": -3.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": 0.04623761882004712 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": -0.0744051417867494 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": 0.12593352881509648 }, { "event_time": 1.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": -0.12063351722733738 }, { "event_time": 2.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": -0.24363770735220885 }, { "event_time": 3.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": 0.29432814647927497 }, { "event_time": 4.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": 0.20069075702076733 }, { "event_time": 5.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": 0.3818674702651407 }, { "event_time": 6.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": 0.2154406258863213 }, { "event_time": 7.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": 0.5491829995567553 }, { "event_time": 8.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": 0.6896121789078407 }, { "event_time": 9.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": 0.7772897470834756 }, { "event_time": 10.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": 0.7199514897498115 }, { "event_time": 11.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": 1.261676047034749 }, { "event_time": 12.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": 1.1403046846586111 }, { "event_time": 13.0, "cohort": 8, "estimate": 1.3760542849565738 }, { "event_time": -8.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": -0.03767032652531366 }, { "event_time": -7.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": 0.09081569550895324 }, { "event_time": -6.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": 0.197366873311348 }, { "event_time": -5.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": -0.4770816939236391 }, { "event_time": -4.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": 0.2794245175512011 }, { "event_time": -3.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": -0.0014795501703574188 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": -0.2838591050382526 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": 0.2785239482933578 }, { "event_time": 1.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": -0.18654572005750375 }, { "event_time": 2.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": 0.13812879676784026 }, { "event_time": 3.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": 0.19702050051988154 }, { "event_time": 4.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": 0.30024081129047386 }, { "event_time": 5.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": -0.07092699013684839 }, { "event_time": 6.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": 0.2284919729847106 }, { "event_time": 7.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": 0.43833974483228344 }, { "event_time": 8.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": 0.5474168030469606 }, { "event_time": 9.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": 0.9419535945838742 }, { "event_time": 10.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": 1.096812908209762 }, { "event_time": 11.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": 1.5875456515663542 }, { "event_time": 12.0, "cohort": 9, "estimate": 1.654970010334035 }, { "event_time": -9.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": -0.19883982106779893 }, { "event_time": -8.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": -0.5044564193426289 }, { "event_time": -7.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": -0.2598194112506264 }, { "event_time": -6.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": -0.3536477374407688 }, { "event_time": -5.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": -0.24529806208820004 }, { "event_time": -4.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": 0.0009595846806713659 }, { "event_time": -3.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": 0.126450548612347 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": -0.3090062775782685 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": 0.25895134618433013 }, { "event_time": 1.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": 0.07858650130629255 }, { "event_time": 2.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": -0.00819369724285951 }, { "event_time": 3.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": 0.29861509383364365 }, { "event_time": 4.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": -0.08318048630152816 }, { "event_time": 5.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": 0.09392662597575571 }, { "event_time": 6.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": 0.4300271025633759 }, { "event_time": 7.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": 0.691677693313017 }, { "event_time": 8.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": 1.2414663627708151 }, { "event_time": 9.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": 1.4259070555152664 }, { "event_time": 10.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": 1.057812626977105 }, { "event_time": 11.0, "cohort": 10, "estimate": 1.4732877045472534 }, { "event_time": -10.0, "cohort": 11, "estimate": -0.45756174860496635 }, { "event_time": -9.0, "cohort": 11, "estimate": -0.4093747315253133 }, { "event_time": -8.0, "cohort": 11, "estimate": -0.5034830203805145 }, { "event_time": -7.0, "cohort": 11, "estimate": -0.3319568981120583 }, { "event_time": -6.0, "cohort": 11, "estimate": 0.03945253134939443 }, { "event_time": -5.0, "cohort": 11, "estimate": -0.2926284921442173 }, { "event_time": -4.0, "cohort": 11, "estimate": 0.2702244092766383 }, { "event_time": -3.0, "cohort": 11, "estimate": 0.1303251498238568 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 11, "estimate": -0.22204535572397166 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 11, "estimate": 0.24720451418461917 }, { "event_time": 1.0, "cohort": 11, "estimate": 0.4282132670978073 }, { "event_time": 2.0, "cohort": 11, "estimate": 0.4062252581975874 }, { "event_time": 3.0, "cohort": 11, "estimate": 0.22096309819273977 }, { "event_time": 4.0, "cohort": 11, "estimate": 0.1988987044423303 }, { "event_time": 5.0, "cohort": 11, "estimate": 0.13868172353923852 }, { "event_time": 6.0, "cohort": 11, "estimate": 0.32666213798269605 }, { "event_time": 7.0, "cohort": 11, "estimate": 0.8762788348731466 }, { "event_time": 8.0, "cohort": 11, "estimate": 1.2363452054971982 }, { "event_time": 9.0, "cohort": 11, "estimate": 1.3193992454147185 }, { "event_time": 10.0, "cohort": 11, "estimate": 1.1853704359542983 }, { "event_time": -11.0, "cohort": 12, "estimate": 1.2602350448040789 }, { "event_time": -10.0, "cohort": 12, "estimate": 1.1415967770615518 }, { "event_time": -9.0, "cohort": 12, "estimate": 1.1279079415058737 }, { "event_time": -8.0, "cohort": 12, "estimate": 1.1194568009081562 }, { "event_time": -7.0, "cohort": 12, "estimate": 1.263710555488419 }, { "event_time": -6.0, "cohort": 12, "estimate": 1.689285701137379 }, { "event_time": -5.0, "cohort": 12, "estimate": 1.3249361617712399 }, { "event_time": -4.0, "cohort": 12, "estimate": 1.339801141184005 }, { "event_time": -3.0, "cohort": 12, "estimate": 1.283240597421593 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 12, "estimate": 0.6085314887760596 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 12, "estimate": 0.11809778398198414 }, { "event_time": 1.0, "cohort": 12, "estimate": -0.03532291443984048 }, { "event_time": 2.0, "cohort": 12, "estimate": -0.4296864180054148 }, { "event_time": 3.0, "cohort": 12, "estimate": -0.1704485270572137 }, { "event_time": 4.0, "cohort": 12, "estimate": -0.30262570477178247 }, { "event_time": 5.0, "cohort": 12, "estimate": -0.6264288045361129 }, { "event_time": 6.0, "cohort": 12, "estimate": -0.19292974643435445 }, { "event_time": 7.0, "cohort": 12, "estimate": 0.15706868447271494 }, { "event_time": 8.0, "cohort": 12, "estimate": 0.33101496727037494 }, { "event_time": 9.0, "cohort": 12, "estimate": 0.447442848410106 }, { "event_time": -16.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": 0.3115785780391248 }, { "event_time": -15.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": 0.061457706525772204 }, { "event_time": -14.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": 0.3552098685727716 }, { "event_time": -13.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": -0.06419587993937999 }, { "event_time": -12.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": 0.17556488996255445 }, { "event_time": -11.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": -0.0549470153774615 }, { "event_time": -10.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": 0.05266430694832637 }, { "event_time": -9.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": 0.013177503991914308 }, { "event_time": -8.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": 0.028677838774392082 }, { "event_time": -7.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": 0.27968414478142345 }, { "event_time": -6.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": -0.2032630320877835 }, { "event_time": -5.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": -0.20479276060385732 }, { "event_time": -4.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": 0.4722445623389951 }, { "event_time": -3.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": 0.18675191852281198 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": -0.15222591544240005 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": 0.2000371434371645 }, { "event_time": 1.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": 0.2590067048856207 }, { "event_time": 2.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": 0.21191133092250125 }, { "event_time": 3.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": 0.2929134015409142 }, { "event_time": 4.0, "cohort": 17, "estimate": 0.09318565737730378 }, { "event_time": -2.0, "cohort": 18, "estimate": -0.35121398609641763 }, { "event_time": 0.0, "cohort": 18, "estimate": 0.5460936792986452 }, { "event_time": 1.0, "cohort": 18, "estimate": 0.43974128494287223 }, { "event_time": 2.0, "cohort": 18, "estimate": 0.1357209472012319 }, { "event_time": 3.0, "cohort": 18, "estimate": 0.3689130262879151 } ] } } }, "alternative_models": { "y__d": [ { "method": "CS-DID", "aggregations": { "summaries": [ { "typec": "dynamic", "aggregation": "Equal post-event times", "estimate": 0.20520120180815798, "se": 0.12389974782934082, "lower": -0.037637841630944774, "upper": 0.4480402452472607, "matches_treated_unit_year_target": false, "checks": { "point_error": 0.0, "influence_function_max_error": 2.220446049250313e-16, "cluster_se_error": 0.0 }, "cohort_total_weights": [ { "cohort": 3, "units": 1, "post_periods": 19, "weight": 0.3093406593406593 }, { "cohort": 7, "units": 1, "post_periods": 15, "weight": 0.09881434355118565 }, { "cohort": 8, "units": 2, "post_periods": 14, "weight": 0.14499710815500289 }, { "cohort": 9, "units": 1, "post_periods": 13, "weight": 0.05934065934065933 }, { "cohort": 10, "units": 2, "post_periods": 12, "weight": 0.0976286871023713 }, { "cohort": 11, "units": 5, "post_periods": 11, "weight": 0.20647773279352227 }, { "cohort": 12, "units": 1, "post_periods": 10, "weight": 0.036909581646423745 }, { "cohort": 17, "units": 2, "post_periods": 5, "weight": 0.03333333333333333 }, { "cohort": 18, "units": 1, "post_periods": 4, "weight": 0.013157894736842105 } ] }, { "typec": "simple", "aggregation": "Equal treated unit-years", "estimate": 0.42863512954737293, "se": 0.12309307849305251, "lower": 0.1873771289548281, "upper": 0.6698931301399178, "matches_treated_unit_year_target": true, "checks": { "point_error": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "influence_function_max_error": 1.1102230246251565e-15, "cluster_se_error": 2.7755575615628914e-17 }, "cohort_total_weights": [ { "cohort": 3, "units": 1, "post_periods": 19, "weight": 0.10674157303370786 }, { "cohort": 7, "units": 1, "post_periods": 15, "weight": 0.08426966292134831 }, { "cohort": 8, "units": 2, "post_periods": 14, "weight": 0.15730337078651685 }, { "cohort": 9, "units": 1, "post_periods": 13, "weight": 0.07303370786516854 }, { "cohort": 10, "units": 2, "post_periods": 12, "weight": 0.1348314606741573 }, { "cohort": 11, "units": 5, "post_periods": 11, "weight": 0.30898876404494385 }, { "cohort": 12, "units": 1, "post_periods": 10, "weight": 0.056179775280898875 }, { "cohort": 17, "units": 2, "post_periods": 5, "weight": 0.056179775280898875 }, { "cohort": 18, "units": 1, "post_periods": 4, "weight": 0.02247191011235955 } ] }, { "typec": "group", "aggregation": "Cohort-size-weighted post-period means", "estimate": 0.4462402448063074, "se": 0.10002085429410658, "lower": 0.25020297268693015, "upper": 0.6422775169256847, "matches_treated_unit_year_target": false, "checks": { "point_error": 0.0, "influence_function_max_error": 2.7755575615628914e-16, "cluster_se_error": 2.7755575615628914e-17 }, "cohort_total_weights": [ { "cohort": 3, "units": 1, "post_periods": 19, "weight": 0.062499999999999986 }, { "cohort": 7, "units": 1, "post_periods": 15, "weight": 0.06249999999999999 }, { "cohort": 8, "units": 2, "post_periods": 14, "weight": 0.12499999999999997 }, { "cohort": 9, "units": 1, "post_periods": 13, "weight": 0.062499999999999986 }, { "cohort": 10, "units": 2, "post_periods": 12, "weight": 0.125 }, { "cohort": 11, "units": 5, "post_periods": 11, "weight": 0.31249999999999994 }, { "cohort": 12, "units": 1, "post_periods": 10, "weight": 0.0625 }, { "cohort": 17, "units": 2, "post_periods": 5, "weight": 0.125 }, { "cohort": 18, "units": 1, "post_periods": 4, "weight": 0.0625 } ] } ], "control_group": "notyettreated", "same_group_time_effects": true, "additional_covariates": [], "compute_aggte_sha256": "7da8b79e62519b99774248d2fda55ed5054083e446885c624f998b77d8874834", "inference": "Clustered analytical influence functions including estimated cohort-share uncertainty; 95% pointwise normal intervals" }, "class": "csdid.att_gt.ATTgt", "package": { "csdid": "0.4.2", "drdid": "1.1.6" }, "parameters": { "est_method": "dr", "control_group": "notyettreated", "xformla": "y ~ 1", "base_period": "universal", "anticipation": 0, "panel": true, "allow_unbalanced_panel": false, "clustervar": "cluster", "clusters": 17, "bstrap": false, "cband": false, "aggregate": "dynamic", "event_aggregate": "dynamic", "balance_e": null, "post_event_min": 0, "post_event_max": 18 }, "partial_pooling": { "parameter": null, "value": null, "status": "not_applicable", "fit_scope": "Group-time DIDs; no synthetic-control pooling parameter" }, "estimate": 0.20520120180815798, "se": 0.12389974782934082, "lower": -0.037637841630944774, "upper": 0.4480402452472607, "event_study": [ { "event_time": -17, "estimate": 0.2188054191680886, "se": null, "lower": null, "upper": null, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.2188054191680886, "n": 1 }, { "event_time": -16, "estimate": 0.19144708127900584, "se": 0.14544102519273425, "lower": -0.09361208997333598, "upper": 0.47650625253134765, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.19144708127900584, "n": 3 }, { "event_time": -15, "estimate": 0.18072008860514566, "se": 0.058609415313642506, "lower": 0.06584774543545603, "upper": 0.2955924317748353, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.18072008860514566, "n": 3 }, { "event_time": -14, "estimate": 0.022259039684302914, "se": 0.10935372910990793, "lower": -0.1920703309462659, "upper": 0.23658841031487177, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.022259039684302914, "n": 3 }, { "event_time": -13, "estimate": 0.2328835601349618, "se": 0.022863547571062758, "lower": 0.18807183033686056, "upper": 0.277695289933063, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.2328835601349618, "n": 3 }, { "event_time": -12, "estimate": 0.19439236733824597, "se": 0.10616093269023152, "lower": -0.013679237299788677, "upper": 0.4024639719762806, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.19439236733824597, "n": 3 }, { "event_time": -11, "estimate": 0.46800991372103423, "se": 0.28563406580199796, "lower": -0.0918225680086257, "upper": 1.0278423954506941, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.46800991372103423, "n": 4 }, { "event_time": -10, "estimate": -0.02425200371814569, "se": 0.25272227203394904, "lower": -0.51957855499582, "upper": 0.47107454755952854, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.02425200371814569, "n": 9 }, { "event_time": -9, "estimate": 0.04429358375212045, "se": 0.19711795452831668, "lower": -0.3420505078295843, "upper": 0.4306376753338252, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.04429358375212045, "n": 11 }, { "event_time": -8, "estimate": -0.08399841830786799, "se": 0.19190124926546917, "lower": -0.460117955456431, "upper": 0.2921211188406951, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.08399841830786799, "n": 12 }, { "event_time": -7, "estimate": -0.20978308808776122, "se": 0.22778196648884905, "lower": -0.6562275387336148, "upper": 0.23666136255809242, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.20978308808776122, "n": 14 }, { "event_time": -6, "estimate": -0.03005562587397918, "se": 0.10473374676254887, "lower": -0.23532999749451344, "upper": 0.1752187457465551, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.03005562587397918, "n": 15 }, { "event_time": -5, "estimate": 0.04555721795835608, "se": 0.07241434992461918, "lower": -0.09637229985777829, "upper": 0.18748673577449043, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.04555721795835608, "n": 15 }, { "event_time": -4, "estimate": 0.08811750488162792, "se": 0.06723484110529264, "lower": -0.04366036219101885, "upper": 0.2198953719542747, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.08811750488162792, "n": 15 }, { "event_time": -3, "estimate": 0.07778873500153967, "se": 0.052106897296223066, "lower": -0.024338907045185057, "upper": 0.1799163770482644, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.07778873500153967, "n": 15 }, { "event_time": -2, "estimate": 0.10091426962073269, "se": 0.04839280808386388, "lower": 0.0060661086656007, "upper": 0.19576243057586468, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.10091426962073269, "n": 16 }, { "event_time": -1, "estimate": 0.0, "se": null, "lower": 0.0, "upper": 0.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.0, "n": 16 }, { "event_time": 0, "estimate": 0.18722245290053133, "se": 0.12731157522958153, "lower": -0.06230364936451013, "upper": 0.43674855516557276, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.18722245290053133, "n": 16 }, { "event_time": 1, "estimate": 0.374690086393943, "se": 0.11417979460645106, "lower": 0.15090180120311825, "upper": 0.5984783715847678, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.374690086393943, "n": 16 }, { "event_time": 2, "estimate": 0.43622306272443423, "se": 0.11754947934730912, "lower": 0.20583031680227346, "upper": 0.666615808646595, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.43622306272443423, "n": 16 }, { "event_time": 3, "estimate": 0.50492280306908, "se": 0.14435557738370394, "lower": 0.22199107042953553, "upper": 0.7878545357086244, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.50492280306908, "n": 16 }, { "event_time": 4, "estimate": 0.5384685778789937, "se": 0.1505658679721542, "lower": 0.24336489935255862, "upper": 0.8335722564054289, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.5384685778789937, "n": 15 }, { "event_time": 5, "estimate": 0.5222510333070726, "se": 0.1807160037549257, "lower": 0.16805417451741306, "upper": 0.876447892096732, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.5222510333070726, "n": 13 }, { "event_time": 6, "estimate": 0.46572960501548605, "se": 0.12919395729730512, "lower": 0.2125141016925623, "upper": 0.7189451083384097, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.46572960501548605, "n": 13 }, { "event_time": 7, "estimate": 0.5046078533238924, "se": 0.12308228794919804, "lower": 0.2633710018086759, "upper": 0.7458447048391088, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.5046078533238924, "n": 13 }, { "event_time": 8, "estimate": 0.5665474626184516, "se": 0.11612384759011772, "lower": 0.3389489035956025, "upper": 0.7941460216413007, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.5665474626184516, "n": 13 }, { "event_time": 9, "estimate": 0.491308550031578, "se": 0.14234559521536133, "lower": 0.21231631005155271, "upper": 0.7703007900116032, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.491308550031578, "n": 13 }, { "event_time": 10, "estimate": 0.5317585309054969, "se": 0.134445911683148, "lower": 0.26824938613787386, "upper": 0.7952676756731198, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.5317585309054969, "n": 12 }, { "event_time": 11, "estimate": 0.4614258759211509, "se": 0.23227027376386877, "lower": 0.006184504664709489, "upper": 0.9166672471775923, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.4614258759211509, "n": 7 }, { "event_time": 12, "estimate": 0.42055709268679453, "se": 0.3078302799666794, "lower": -0.1827791693987788, "upper": 1.0238933547723679, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.42055709268679453, "n": 5 }, { "event_time": 13, "estimate": 0.3908232447855401, "se": 0.37343629220743507, "lower": -0.34109843846120824, "upper": 1.1227449280322883, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.3908232447855401, "n": 4 }, { "event_time": 14, "estimate": 0.23586280630268747, "se": 0.7936691384479589, "lower": -1.319700120696246, "upper": 1.791425733301621, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.23586280630268747, "n": 2 }, { "event_time": 15, "estimate": -0.6924274482007597, "se": null, "lower": null, "upper": null, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.6924274482007597, "n": 1 }, { "event_time": 16, "estimate": -0.6003520121169943, "se": null, "lower": null, "upper": null, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.6003520121169943, "n": 1 }, { "event_time": 17, "estimate": -0.7935798829334766, "se": null, "lower": null, "upper": null, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.7935798829334766, "n": 1 }, { "event_time": 18, "estimate": -0.6472168602589004, "se": null, "lower": null, "upper": null, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.6472168602589004, "n": 1 } ], "group_time_estimates": [ { "group": 3, "year": 1, "att": 0.2993854685679044, "se": 0.1280116914615188, "n": 1, "event_time": -2, "adoption_period": 3, "calendar_period": 1 }, { "group": 3, "year": 2, "att": 0.0, "se": null, "n": 1, "event_time": -1, "adoption_period": 3, "calendar_period": 2 }, { "group": 3, "year": 3, "att": -0.16133646578129782, "se": 0.055864248669118856, "n": 1, "event_time": 0, "adoption_period": 3, "calendar_period": 3 }, { "group": 3, "year": 4, "att": 0.22800671778168624, "se": 0.03416108307122394, "n": 1, "event_time": 1, "adoption_period": 3, "calendar_period": 4 }, { "group": 3, "year": 5, "att": 0.1691503782091819, "se": 0.05999417996730046, "n": 1, "event_time": 2, "adoption_period": 3, "calendar_period": 5 }, { "group": 3, "year": 6, "att": 0.06995062008847755, "se": 0.07211098694836963, "n": 1, "event_time": 3, "adoption_period": 3, "calendar_period": 6 }, { "group": 3, "year": 7, "att": 0.11388101520874531, "se": 0.0763899156850273, "n": 1, "event_time": 4, "adoption_period": 3, "calendar_period": 7 }, { "group": 3, "year": 8, "att": 0.18378363731076616, "se": 0.08523826017382262, "n": 1, "event_time": 5, "adoption_period": 3, "calendar_period": 8 }, { "group": 3, "year": 9, "att": -0.07272820483428784, "se": 0.0942284583462091, "n": 1, "event_time": 6, "adoption_period": 3, "calendar_period": 9 }, { "group": 3, "year": 10, "att": -0.26583646530454663, "se": 0.14248465746009867, "n": 1, "event_time": 7, "adoption_period": 3, "calendar_period": 10 }, { "group": 3, "year": 11, "att": 0.0382178596323937, "se": 0.2248520860186125, "n": 1, "event_time": 8, "adoption_period": 3, "calendar_period": 11 }, { "group": 3, "year": 12, "att": -0.4904017592682875, "se": 0.06833975817503395, "n": 1, "event_time": 9, "adoption_period": 3, "calendar_period": 12 }, { "group": 3, "year": 13, "att": -0.5547884489697383, "se": 0.048405257817234176, "n": 1, "event_time": 10, "adoption_period": 3, "calendar_period": 13 }, { "group": 3, "year": 14, "att": -0.7359658478494043, "se": 0.05841161116237865, "n": 1, "event_time": 11, "adoption_period": 3, "calendar_period": 14 }, { "group": 3, "year": 15, "att": -0.7008334130509647, "se": 0.049471116781181504, "n": 1, "event_time": 12, "adoption_period": 3, "calendar_period": 15 }, { "group": 3, "year": 16, "att": -0.7076285158756463, "se": 0.06282829468814564, "n": 1, "event_time": 13, "adoption_period": 3, "calendar_period": 16 }, { "group": 3, "year": 17, "att": -0.8863712238367215, "se": 0.02871181800273163, "n": 1, "event_time": 14, "adoption_period": 3, "calendar_period": 17 }, { "group": 3, "year": 18, "att": -0.6924274482007597, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": 15, "adoption_period": 3, "calendar_period": 18 }, { "group": 3, "year": 19, "att": -0.6003520121169943, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": 16, "adoption_period": 3, "calendar_period": 19 }, { "group": 3, "year": 20, "att": -0.7935798829334766, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": 17, "adoption_period": 3, "calendar_period": 20 }, { "group": 3, "year": 21, "att": -0.6472168602589004, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": 18, "adoption_period": 3, "calendar_period": 21 }, { "group": 7, "year": 1, "att": 0.018739045659465797, "se": 0.19727562432464407, "n": 1, "event_time": -6, "adoption_period": 7, "calendar_period": 1 }, { "group": 7, "year": 2, "att": -0.1010819412672382, "se": 0.07664114400899777, "n": 1, "event_time": -5, "adoption_period": 7, "calendar_period": 2 }, { "group": 7, "year": 3, "att": 0.45785116457238256, "se": 0.07995824169051845, "n": 1, "event_time": -4, "adoption_period": 7, "calendar_period": 3 }, { "group": 7, "year": 4, "att": 0.12903957857436135, "se": 0.05803917484548149, "n": 1, "event_time": -3, "adoption_period": 7, "calendar_period": 4 }, { "group": 7, "year": 5, "att": 0.2223028972685629, "se": 0.04943235178447022, "n": 1, "event_time": -2, "adoption_period": 7, "calendar_period": 5 }, { "group": 7, "year": 6, "att": 0.0, "se": null, "n": 1, "event_time": -1, "adoption_period": 7, "calendar_period": 6 }, { "group": 7, "year": 7, "att": 0.01340222984645638, "se": 0.04225033193245368, "n": 1, "event_time": 0, "adoption_period": 7, "calendar_period": 7 }, { "group": 7, "year": 8, "att": -0.08239113255733332, "se": 0.04159231418695514, "n": 1, "event_time": 1, "adoption_period": 7, "calendar_period": 8 }, { "group": 7, "year": 9, "att": -0.08021911743917547, "se": 0.04985751099203016, "n": 1, "event_time": 2, "adoption_period": 7, "calendar_period": 9 }, { "group": 7, "year": 10, "att": -0.10557135926243227, "se": 0.08870760048716841, "n": 1, "event_time": 3, "adoption_period": 7, "calendar_period": 10 }, { "group": 7, "year": 11, "att": 1.0320907650936804, "se": 0.2791623068098983, "n": 1, "event_time": 4, "adoption_period": 7, "calendar_period": 11 }, { "group": 7, "year": 12, "att": 0.8635837032417695, "se": 0.13528009186278, "n": 1, "event_time": 5, "adoption_period": 7, "calendar_period": 12 }, { "group": 7, "year": 13, "att": 1.0895638640345913, "se": 0.14181047612776196, "n": 1, "event_time": 6, "adoption_period": 7, "calendar_period": 13 }, { "group": 7, "year": 14, "att": 1.0680947947104649, "se": 0.1432058790009101, "n": 1, "event_time": 7, "adoption_period": 7, "calendar_period": 14 }, { "group": 7, "year": 15, "att": 1.0989823852401976, "se": 0.14487085789563953, "n": 1, "event_time": 8, "adoption_period": 7, "calendar_period": 15 }, { "group": 7, "year": 16, "att": 1.0947442449610145, "se": 0.15492259343360307, "n": 1, "event_time": 9, "adoption_period": 7, "calendar_period": 16 }, { "group": 7, "year": 17, "att": 0.9735745863299486, "se": 0.06644935517273902, "n": 1, "event_time": 10, "adoption_period": 7, "calendar_period": 17 }, { "group": 7, "year": 18, "att": 1.1576076308030059, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": 11, "adoption_period": 7, "calendar_period": 18 }, { "group": 7, "year": 19, "att": 1.2676822629723028, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": 12, "adoption_period": 7, "calendar_period": 19 }, { "group": 7, "year": 20, "att": 1.2643156413297538, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": 13, "adoption_period": 7, "calendar_period": 20 }, { "group": 7, "year": 21, "att": 1.3580968364420964, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": 14, "adoption_period": 7, "calendar_period": 21 }, { "group": 8, "year": 1, "att": -1.0179818988104536, "se": 0.9647124255319203, "n": 2, "event_time": -7, "adoption_period": 8, "calendar_period": 1 }, { "group": 8, "year": 2, "att": -0.011372333706288273, "se": 0.27381537952935525, "n": 2, "event_time": -6, "adoption_period": 8, "calendar_period": 2 }, { "group": 8, "year": 3, "att": 0.03786174964774189, "se": 0.24312797514062054, "n": 2, "event_time": -5, "adoption_period": 8, "calendar_period": 3 }, { "group": 8, "year": 4, "att": 0.07338047449457204, "se": 0.13164816765325876, "n": 2, "event_time": -4, "adoption_period": 8, "calendar_period": 4 }, { "group": 8, "year": 5, "att": 0.08922457626375908, "se": 0.08689875491810362, "n": 2, "event_time": -3, "adoption_period": 8, "calendar_period": 5 }, { "group": 8, "year": 6, "att": 0.3249658825234173, "se": 0.0646275485949491, "n": 2, "event_time": -2, "adoption_period": 8, "calendar_period": 6 }, { "group": 8, "year": 7, "att": 0.0, "se": null, "n": 2, "event_time": -1, "adoption_period": 8, "calendar_period": 7 }, { "group": 8, "year": 8, "att": 0.03808346573912403, "se": 0.06556356161900065, "n": 2, "event_time": 0, "adoption_period": 8, "calendar_period": 8 }, { "group": 8, "year": 9, "att": 0.08318880703599207, "se": 0.12043006662136435, "n": 2, "event_time": 1, "adoption_period": 8, "calendar_period": 9 }, { "group": 8, "year": 10, "att": 0.25277588498424636, "se": 0.19536107816286627, "n": 2, "event_time": 2, "adoption_period": 8, "calendar_period": 10 }, { "group": 8, "year": 11, "att": 1.1578059165291823, "se": 0.26037173870661284, "n": 2, "event_time": 3, "adoption_period": 8, "calendar_period": 11 }, { "group": 8, "year": 12, "att": 0.7857165857192139, "se": 0.1296448465454516, "n": 2, "event_time": 4, "adoption_period": 8, "calendar_period": 12 }, { "group": 8, "year": 13, "att": 0.7120449467244119, "se": 0.13028680283592042, "n": 2, "event_time": 5, "adoption_period": 8, "calendar_period": 13 }, { "group": 8, "year": 14, "att": 0.49807711623110484, "se": 0.1710492809481463, "n": 2, "event_time": 6, "adoption_period": 8, "calendar_period": 14 }, { "group": 8, "year": 15, "att": 0.5225855560127397, "se": 0.19290150124897157, "n": 2, "event_time": 7, "adoption_period": 8, "calendar_period": 15 }, { "group": 8, "year": 16, "att": 0.47587327442004773, "se": 0.2100247356595634, "n": 2, "event_time": 8, "adoption_period": 8, "calendar_period": 16 }, { "group": 8, "year": 17, "att": 0.3185672331671251, "se": 0.24095077768794346, "n": 2, "event_time": 9, "adoption_period": 8, "calendar_period": 17 }, { "group": 8, "year": 18, "att": 0.2582637809568772, "se": 0.20408692181814994, "n": 2, "event_time": 10, "adoption_period": 8, "calendar_period": 18 }, { "group": 8, "year": 19, "att": 0.4118492857875691, "se": 0.22120323723903812, "n": 2, "event_time": 11, "adoption_period": 8, "calendar_period": 19 }, { "group": 8, "year": 20, "att": 0.3404237626124031, "se": 0.21779644358026728, "n": 2, "event_time": 12, "adoption_period": 8, "calendar_period": 20 }, { "group": 8, "year": 21, "att": 0.5033029268440264, "se": 0.24105945310057758, "n": 2, "event_time": 13, "adoption_period": 8, "calendar_period": 21 }, { "group": 9, "year": 1, "att": 0.18255661775239165, "se": 0.12167148986175418, "n": 1, "event_time": -8, "adoption_period": 9, "calendar_period": 1 }, { "group": 9, "year": 2, "att": 0.1959013659675537, "se": 0.09099964006563548, "n": 1, "event_time": -7, "adoption_period": 9, "calendar_period": 2 }, { "group": 9, "year": 3, "att": 0.31623309362660235, "se": 0.10014014962057245, "n": 1, "event_time": -6, "adoption_period": 9, "calendar_period": 3 }, { "group": 9, "year": 4, "att": 0.07441877407855324, "se": 0.08838330820122987, "n": 1, "event_time": -5, "adoption_period": 9, "calendar_period": 4 }, { "group": 9, "year": 5, "att": 0.18677737167494396, "se": 0.05940746431264909, "n": 1, "event_time": -4, "adoption_period": 9, "calendar_period": 5 }, { "group": 9, "year": 6, "att": -0.030048559155400504, "se": 0.04499406754611115, "n": 1, "event_time": -3, "adoption_period": 9, "calendar_period": 6 }, { "group": 9, "year": 7, "att": -0.1021583040278841, "se": 0.03671722206967277, "n": 1, "event_time": -2, "adoption_period": 9, "calendar_period": 7 }, { "group": 9, "year": 8, "att": 0.0, "se": null, "n": 1, "event_time": -1, "adoption_period": 9, "calendar_period": 8 }, { "group": 9, "year": 9, "att": 0.11571751219038602, "se": 0.020078955593178797, "n": 1, "event_time": 0, "adoption_period": 9, "calendar_period": 9 }, { "group": 9, "year": 10, "att": -0.006657234264592887, "se": 0.045413888318959754, "n": 1, "event_time": 1, "adoption_period": 9, "calendar_period": 10 }, { "group": 9, "year": 11, "att": 0.988992502671669, "se": 0.23158470693314237, "n": 1, "event_time": 2, "adoption_period": 9, "calendar_period": 11 }, { "group": 9, "year": 12, "att": 0.6161491507988208, "se": 0.15576895275448288, "n": 1, "event_time": 3, "adoption_period": 9, "calendar_period": 12 }, { "group": 9, "year": 13, "att": 0.6002306800643906, "se": 0.15983432842858827, "n": 1, "event_time": 4, "adoption_period": 9, "calendar_period": 13 }, { "group": 9, "year": 14, "att": 0.41639433673816273, "se": 0.1666396211376445, "n": 1, "event_time": 5, "adoption_period": 9, "calendar_period": 14 }, { "group": 9, "year": 15, "att": 0.4464972557681259, "se": 0.1665684864096736, "n": 1, "event_time": 6, "adoption_period": 9, "calendar_period": 15 }, { "group": 9, "year": 16, "att": 0.427999831371084, "se": 0.17301463421229626, "n": 1, "event_time": 7, "adoption_period": 9, "calendar_period": 16 }, { "group": 9, "year": 17, "att": 0.20203782721651944, "se": 0.10239874225569937, "n": 1, "event_time": 8, "adoption_period": 9, "calendar_period": 17 }, { "group": 9, "year": 18, "att": 0.3094344187266995, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": 9, "adoption_period": 9, "calendar_period": 18 }, { "group": 9, "year": 19, "att": 0.635125199416827, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": 10, "adoption_period": 9, "calendar_period": 19 }, { "group": 9, "year": 20, "att": 0.7377188903191725, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": 11, "adoption_period": 9, "calendar_period": 20 }, { "group": 9, "year": 21, "att": 0.8550890882878284, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": 12, "adoption_period": 9, "calendar_period": 21 }, { "group": 10, "year": 1, "att": 0.10062252499198422, "se": 0.21440973307082967, "n": 2, "event_time": -9, "adoption_period": 10, "calendar_period": 1 }, { "group": 10, "year": 2, "att": -0.22961654691033775, "se": 0.11192580239523497, "n": 2, "event_time": -8, "adoption_period": 10, "calendar_period": 2 }, { "group": 10, "year": 3, "att": -0.12301154419820405, "se": 0.14153265748972704, "n": 2, "event_time": -7, "adoption_period": 10, "calendar_period": 3 }, { "group": 10, "year": 4, "att": -0.19640206256610904, "se": 0.13049850028458937, "n": 2, "event_time": -6, "adoption_period": 10, "calendar_period": 4 }, { "group": 10, "year": 5, "att": 0.035791391258518775, "se": 0.07379573461139106, "n": 2, "event_time": -5, "adoption_period": 10, "calendar_period": 5 }, { "group": 10, "year": 6, "att": -0.12318557367142281, "se": 0.12665336733969199, "n": 2, "event_time": -4, "adoption_period": 10, "calendar_period": 6 }, { "group": 10, "year": 7, "att": -0.05102505962178858, "se": 0.12437875553302286, "n": 2, "event_time": -3, "adoption_period": 10, "calendar_period": 7 }, { "group": 10, "year": 8, "att": -0.05338892695420085, "se": 0.08868820363887671, "n": 2, "event_time": -2, "adoption_period": 10, "calendar_period": 8 }, { "group": 10, "year": 9, "att": 0.0, "se": null, "n": 2, "event_time": -1, "adoption_period": 10, "calendar_period": 9 }, { "group": 10, "year": 10, "att": 0.14612762122464049, "se": 0.06209856946500373, "n": 2, "event_time": 0, "adoption_period": 10, "calendar_period": 10 }, { "group": 10, "year": 11, "att": 0.679247790806133, "se": 0.24349358089702366, "n": 2, "event_time": 1, "adoption_period": 10, "calendar_period": 11 }, { "group": 10, "year": 12, "att": 0.47356458803162416, "se": 0.20973386779523864, "n": 2, "event_time": 2, "adoption_period": 10, "calendar_period": 12 }, { "group": 10, "year": 13, "att": 0.4447217396971497, "se": 0.21377147384079134, "n": 2, "event_time": 3, "adoption_period": 10, "calendar_period": 13 }, { "group": 10, "year": 14, "att": 0.38596718839722577, "se": 0.2752091808403142, "n": 2, "event_time": 4, "adoption_period": 10, "calendar_period": 14 }, { "group": 10, "year": 15, "att": 0.5286307007984934, "se": 0.30948815170866917, "n": 2, "event_time": 5, "adoption_period": 10, "calendar_period": 15 }, { "group": 10, "year": 16, "att": 0.6763038709387029, "se": 0.39954681569659467, "n": 2, "event_time": 6, "adoption_period": 10, "calendar_period": 16 }, { "group": 10, "year": 17, "att": 0.5839325959237948, "se": 0.38082688027159023, "n": 2, "event_time": 7, "adoption_period": 10, "calendar_period": 17 }, { "group": 10, "year": 18, "att": 0.7512736968723938, "se": 0.28154073333774937, "n": 2, "event_time": 8, "adoption_period": 10, "calendar_period": 18 }, { "group": 10, "year": 19, "att": 0.7933878796580897, "se": 0.3872347073899658, "n": 2, "event_time": 9, "adoption_period": 10, "calendar_period": 19 }, { "group": 10, "year": 20, "att": 0.596124918184167, "se": 0.2985427934665843, "n": 2, "event_time": 10, "adoption_period": 10, "calendar_period": 20 }, { "group": 10, "year": 21, "att": 0.6234609433000724, "se": 0.3131329231232333, "n": 2, "event_time": 11, "adoption_period": 10, "calendar_period": 21 }, { "group": 11, "year": 1, "att": -0.3799528311754349, "se": 0.32635806477603985, "n": 5, "event_time": -10, "adoption_period": 11, "calendar_period": 1 }, { "group": 11, "year": 2, "att": -0.24410517857244055, "se": 0.2743151046251342, "n": 5, "event_time": -9, "adoption_period": 11, "calendar_period": 2 }, { "group": 11, "year": 3, "att": -0.41726847602525446, "se": 0.2803808387342727, "n": 5, "event_time": -8, "adoption_period": 11, "calendar_period": 3 }, { "group": 11, "year": 4, "att": -0.3725007272209514, "se": 0.2479159851811204, "n": 5, "event_time": -7, "adoption_period": 11, "calendar_period": 4 }, { "group": 11, "year": 5, "att": -0.18192368496069594, "se": 0.1968680131659839, "n": 5, "event_time": -6, "adoption_period": 11, "calendar_period": 5 }, { "group": 11, "year": 6, "att": -0.19796998858606474, "se": 0.16600283701999696, "n": 5, "event_time": -5, "adoption_period": 11, "calendar_period": 6 }, { "group": 11, "year": 7, "att": -0.06455826104517987, "se": 0.16271667535987003, "n": 5, "event_time": -4, "adoption_period": 11, "calendar_period": 7 }, { "group": 11, "year": 8, "att": -0.02942488667245435, "se": 0.09034988994691207, "n": 5, "event_time": -3, "adoption_period": 11, "calendar_period": 8 }, { "group": 11, "year": 9, "att": -0.015025123501634607, "se": 0.08873641618701142, "n": 5, "event_time": -2, "adoption_period": 11, "calendar_period": 9 }, { "group": 11, "year": 10, "att": 0.0, "se": null, "n": 5, "event_time": -1, "adoption_period": 11, "calendar_period": 10 }, { "group": 11, "year": 11, "att": 0.5065564745301271, "se": 0.3848523209911985, "n": 5, "event_time": 0, "adoption_period": 11, "calendar_period": 11 }, { "group": 11, "year": 12, "att": 0.6850072999296213, "se": 0.23829458455229105, "n": 5, "event_time": 1, "adoption_period": 11, "calendar_period": 12 }, { "group": 11, "year": 13, "att": 0.6488453812022535, "se": 0.25409288310830624, "n": 5, "event_time": 2, "adoption_period": 11, "calendar_period": 13 }, { "group": 11, "year": 14, "att": 0.5701113921266939, "se": 0.25767541796224613, "n": 5, "event_time": 3, "adoption_period": 11, "calendar_period": 14 }, { "group": 11, "year": 15, "att": 0.649312969234421, "se": 0.25694938860799843, "n": 5, "event_time": 4, "adoption_period": 11, "calendar_period": 15 }, { "group": 11, "year": 16, "att": 0.635541126099503, "se": 0.25458143237593717, "n": 5, "event_time": 5, "adoption_period": 11, "calendar_period": 16 }, { "group": 11, "year": 17, "att": 0.4755750129108693, "se": 0.10244545051384134, "n": 5, "event_time": 6, "adoption_period": 11, "calendar_period": 17 }, { "group": 11, "year": 18, "att": 0.6393029631601607, "se": 0.1044059579374255, "n": 5, "event_time": 7, "adoption_period": 11, "calendar_period": 18 }, { "group": 11, "year": 19, "att": 0.7461525395987847, "se": 0.12007118369603666, "n": 5, "event_time": 8, "adoption_period": 11, "calendar_period": 19 }, { "group": 11, "year": 20, "att": 0.6868800695575454, "se": 0.10668202627971723, "n": 5, "event_time": 9, "adoption_period": 11, "calendar_period": 20 }, { "group": 11, "year": 21, "att": 0.7236827271613672, "se": 0.11809628075173763, "n": 5, "event_time": 10, "adoption_period": 11, "calendar_period": 21 }, { "group": 12, "year": 1, "att": 1.200739220178948, "se": 0.15569924395562815, "n": 1, "event_time": -11, "adoption_period": 12, "calendar_period": 1 }, { "group": 12, "year": 2, "att": 1.1285170395833632, "se": 0.12377422686312753, "n": 1, "event_time": -10, "adoption_period": 12, "calendar_period": 2 }, { "group": 12, "year": 3, "att": 1.068036337953427, "se": 0.11191824514184347, "n": 1, "event_time": -9, "adoption_period": 12, "calendar_period": 3 }, { "group": 12, "year": 4, "att": 1.0809727522619053, "se": 0.13772589850003775, "n": 1, "event_time": -8, "adoption_period": 12, "calendar_period": 4 }, { "group": 12, "year": 5, "att": 0.8232743918750614, "se": 0.15794156886608585, "n": 1, "event_time": -7, "adoption_period": 12, "calendar_period": 5 }, { "group": 12, "year": 6, "att": 1.2503308652673322, "se": 0.20881032369016583, "n": 1, "event_time": -6, "adoption_period": 12, "calendar_period": 6 }, { "group": 12, "year": 7, "att": 1.1697080779343805, "se": 0.19245194449318662, "n": 1, "event_time": -5, "adoption_period": 12, "calendar_period": 7 }, { "group": 12, "year": 8, "att": 0.8535593597717469, "se": 0.2176488065108519, "n": 1, "event_time": -4, "adoption_period": 12, "calendar_period": 8 }, { "group": 12, "year": 9, "att": 0.8967877506932244, "se": 0.22598700567868885, "n": 1, "event_time": -3, "adoption_period": 12, "calendar_period": 9 }, { "group": 12, "year": 10, "att": 0.5636107468050213, "se": 0.27943997915794994, "n": 1, "event_time": -2, "adoption_period": 12, "calendar_period": 10 }, { "group": 12, "year": 11, "att": 0.0, "se": null, "n": 1, "event_time": -1, "adoption_period": 12, "calendar_period": 11 }, { "group": 12, "year": 12, "att": -0.2183584865339096, "se": 0.10340138906958836, "n": 1, "event_time": 0, "adoption_period": 12, "calendar_period": 12 }, { "group": 12, "year": 13, "att": -0.336243418848861, "se": 0.13690194068883138, "n": 1, "event_time": 1, "adoption_period": 12, "calendar_period": 13 }, { "group": 12, "year": 14, "att": -0.30260102190131516, "se": 0.12154929592481778, "n": 1, "event_time": 2, "adoption_period": 12, "calendar_period": 14 }, { "group": 12, "year": 15, "att": -0.15861001800093663, "se": 0.1114378024749242, "n": 1, "event_time": 3, "adoption_period": 12, "calendar_period": 15 }, { "group": 12, "year": 16, "att": -0.10863248721317881, "se": 0.08191176844150647, "n": 1, "event_time": 4, "adoption_period": 12, "calendar_period": 16 }, { "group": 12, "year": 17, "att": -0.333555169842081, "se": 0.013487116285555918, "n": 1, "event_time": 5, "adoption_period": 12, "calendar_period": 17 }, { "group": 12, "year": 18, "att": -0.13548508866107256, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": 6, "adoption_period": 12, "calendar_period": 18 }, { "group": 12, "year": 19, "att": -0.07990718724027435, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": 7, "adoption_period": 12, "calendar_period": 19 }, { "group": 12, "year": 20, "att": -0.15917769862804554, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": 8, "adoption_period": 12, "calendar_period": 20 }, { "group": 12, "year": 21, "att": -0.18507632744706948, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": 9, "adoption_period": 12, "calendar_period": 21 }, { "group": 17, "year": 1, "att": 0.24656597949865766, "se": 0.18702333558025078, "n": 2, "event_time": -16, "adoption_period": 17, "calendar_period": 1 }, { "group": 17, "year": 2, "att": 0.17539805204174375, "se": 0.08999144008555657, "n": 2, "event_time": -15, "adoption_period": 17, "calendar_period": 2 }, { "group": 17, "year": 3, "att": 0.09649524432118306, "se": 0.09382496620820864, "n": 2, "event_time": -14, "adoption_period": 17, "calendar_period": 3 }, { "group": 17, "year": 4, "att": 0.22024743715470185, "se": 0.024586366937206682, "n": 2, "event_time": -13, "adoption_period": 17, "calendar_period": 4 }, { "group": 17, "year": 5, "att": 0.19761497171113462, "se": 0.15750436423487388, "n": 2, "event_time": -12, "adoption_period": 17, "calendar_period": 5 }, { "group": 17, "year": 6, "att": 0.16185355541178748, "se": 0.29909011430489435, "n": 2, "event_time": -11, "adoption_period": 17, "calendar_period": 6 }, { "group": 17, "year": 7, "att": 0.1316758513472931, "se": 0.2768957626052986, "n": 2, "event_time": -10, "adoption_period": 17, "calendar_period": 7 }, { "group": 17, "year": 8, "att": 0.09000618877531608, "se": 0.3430903322770758, "n": 2, "event_time": -9, "adoption_period": 17, "calendar_period": 8 }, { "group": 17, "year": 9, "att": 0.04556432496424656, "se": 0.37051052650876454, "n": 2, "event_time": -8, "adoption_period": 17, "calendar_period": 9 }, { "group": 17, "year": 10, "att": 0.11324942829373663, "se": 0.46950312019071516, "n": 2, "event_time": -7, "adoption_period": 17, "calendar_period": 10 }, { "group": 17, "year": 11, "att": -0.3106595728101339, "se": 0.05206542703384063, "n": 2, "event_time": -6, "adoption_period": 17, "calendar_period": 11 }, { "group": 17, "year": 12, "att": 0.06202353339824285, "se": 0.037718150756399886, "n": 2, "event_time": -5, "adoption_period": 17, "calendar_period": 12 }, { "group": 17, "year": 13, "att": 0.18399886428410528, "se": 0.11755764512861566, "n": 2, "event_time": -4, "adoption_period": 17, "calendar_period": 13 }, { "group": 17, "year": 14, "att": 0.1509070578691829, "se": 0.026220893189487893, "n": 2, "event_time": -3, "adoption_period": 17, "calendar_period": 14 }, { "group": 17, "year": 15, "att": 0.11854877964010002, "se": 0.010313777179861303, "n": 2, "event_time": -2, "adoption_period": 17, "calendar_period": 15 }, { "group": 17, "year": 16, "att": 0.0, "se": null, "n": 2, "event_time": -1, "adoption_period": 17, "calendar_period": 16 }, { "group": 17, "year": 17, "att": -0.012648599849633735, "se": 0.043401188547736815, "n": 2, "event_time": 0, "adoption_period": 17, "calendar_period": 17 }, { "group": 17, "year": 18, "att": 0.3538940582675363, "se": 0.0063827103745714665, "n": 2, "event_time": 1, "adoption_period": 17, "calendar_period": 18 }, { "group": 17, "year": 19, "att": 0.5278429312429584, "se": 0.027262716858732574, "n": 2, "event_time": 2, "adoption_period": 17, "calendar_period": 19 }, { "group": 17, "year": 20, "att": 0.508411519216081, "se": 0.03726115921963831, "n": 2, "event_time": 3, "adoption_period": 17, "calendar_period": 20 }, { "group": 17, "year": 21, "att": 0.4247631503131416, "se": 0.019692850366164298, "n": 2, "event_time": 4, "adoption_period": 17, "calendar_period": 21 }, { "group": 18, "year": 1, "att": 0.2188054191680886, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": -17, "adoption_period": 18, "calendar_period": 1 }, { "group": 18, "year": 2, "att": 0.08120928483970213, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": -16, "adoption_period": 18, "calendar_period": 2 }, { "group": 18, "year": 3, "att": 0.19136416173194948, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": -15, "adoption_period": 18, "calendar_period": 3 }, { "group": 18, "year": 4, "att": -0.1262133695894574, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": -14, "adoption_period": 18, "calendar_period": 4 }, { "group": 18, "year": 5, "att": 0.2581558060954816, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": -13, "adoption_period": 18, "calendar_period": 5 }, { "group": 18, "year": 6, "att": 0.18794715859246858, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": -12, "adoption_period": 18, "calendar_period": 6 }, { "group": 18, "year": 7, "att": 0.347593323881614, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": -11, "adoption_period": 18, "calendar_period": 7 }, { "group": 18, "year": 8, "att": 0.28962738013591394, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": -10, "adoption_period": 18, "calendar_period": 8 }, { "group": 18, "year": 9, "att": 0.25846154864750015, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": -9, "adoption_period": 18, "calendar_period": 9 }, { "group": 18, "year": 10, "att": 0.18293643430974194, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": -8, "adoption_period": 18, "calendar_period": 10 }, { "group": 18, "year": 11, "att": -0.03814732553667244, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": -7, "adoption_period": 18, "calendar_period": 11 }, { "group": 18, "year": 12, "att": -0.08965102969454586, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": -6, "adoption_period": 18, "calendar_period": 12 }, { "group": 18, "year": 13, "att": 0.25880995295096243, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": -5, "adoption_period": 18, "calendar_period": 13 }, { "group": 18, "year": 14, "att": -0.12202154778326424, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": -4, "adoption_period": 18, "calendar_period": 14 }, { "group": 18, "year": 15, "att": -0.060036460749125276, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": -3, "adoption_period": 18, "calendar_period": 15 }, { "group": 18, "year": 16, "att": -0.07363834759234167, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": -2, "adoption_period": 18, "calendar_period": 16 }, { "group": 18, "year": 17, "att": 0.0, "se": null, "n": 1, "event_time": -1, "adoption_period": 18, "calendar_period": 17 }, { "group": 18, "year": 18, "att": 0.370227109807969, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": 0, "adoption_period": 18, "calendar_period": 18 }, { "group": 18, "year": 19, "att": 0.5346286383247587, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": 1, "adoption_period": 18, "calendar_period": 19 }, { "group": 18, "year": 20, "att": 0.4516525475216604, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": 2, "adoption_period": 18, "calendar_period": 20 }, { "group": 18, "year": 21, "att": 0.5844111439630523, "se": 0.0, "n": 1, "event_time": 3, "adoption_period": 18, "calendar_period": 21 } ], "package_dynamic_equal_event_att": 0.20520120180815798, "treated_cell_att": 0.42863512954737293, "treated_cell_se": 0.12309307849305251, "checks": { "max_group_time_vs_direct_did_difference": 3.3306690738754696e-16, "max_dynamic_if_vs_direct_if_difference": 2.220446049250313e-16, "independent_cluster_se": 0.12389974782934082, "cluster_se_difference": 0.0, "scalar_vs_equal_event_average": 0.0, "simple_vs_treated_cell_average": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "group_time_cells": 189, "post_treatment_cells": 103, "treated_unit_years": 178 }, "warnings": [ "Be aware that there are some small groups in your dataset.\n Check groups: 0,3,7,8,9,10,12,17,18.", "Not returning pre-test Wald statistic due to singular covariance matrix" ], "seconds": 0.4085327908396721, "target": "Dynamic aggregation: equal weights across all observed nonnegative event times; cohort-size weights within each event time", "donor_rule": "notyettreated", "inference": "Configured-cluster analytical influence-function SE; 95% pointwise normal intervals; includes estimated group-share uncertainty", "status": "estimated" }, { "method": "SDID", "class": "SyntheticDID", "parameters": {}, "partial_pooling": { "parameter": null, "value": null, "status": "not_applicable", "fit_scope": "Separate adoption-cohort fits", "within_cohort_target": "Mean treated outcome history", "cross_cohort_partial_pooling": false, "shared_structure": null, "note": "Regularization penalties are not partial-pooling parameters." }, "estimate": 0.33158979965496194, "event_study": [ { "event_time": -17, "estimate": 0.11496998449702875, "raw_gap": 0.11496998449702867, "n": 1, "n_cells": 1, "weight_sum": 1.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.16097977282744358 }, { "event_time": -16, "estimate": 0.12284995566946093, "raw_gap": 0.12284995566946089, "n": 3, "n_cells": 3, "weight_sum": 3.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.16885974399987574 }, { "event_time": -15, "estimate": 0.0662575848861386, "raw_gap": 0.06625758488613857, "n": 3, "n_cells": 3, "weight_sum": 3.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.11226737321655342 }, { "event_time": -14, "estimate": -0.05548517173728836, "raw_gap": -0.0554851717372884, "n": 3, "n_cells": 3, "weight_sum": 3.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.009475383406873539 }, { "event_time": -13, "estimate": 0.04928017160623487, "raw_gap": 0.049280171606234845, "n": 3, "n_cells": 3, "weight_sum": 3.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.0952899599366497 }, { "event_time": -12, "estimate": 0.1389120373711654, "raw_gap": 0.13891203737116534, "n": 3, "n_cells": 3, "weight_sum": 3.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.18492182570158022 }, { "event_time": -11, "estimate": 0.20462319775291818, "raw_gap": 0.20462319775291812, "n": 4, "n_cells": 4, "weight_sum": 4.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.250632986083333 }, { "event_time": -10, "estimate": 0.02814314813566079, "raw_gap": 0.028143148135660805, "n": 9, "n_cells": 9, "weight_sum": 9.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.07415293646607561 }, { "event_time": -9, "estimate": 0.0435784677765877, "raw_gap": 0.043578467776587713, "n": 11, "n_cells": 11, "weight_sum": 11.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.08958825610700252 }, { "event_time": -8, "estimate": -0.10729123961135306, "raw_gap": -0.10729123961135305, "n": 12, "n_cells": 12, "weight_sum": 12.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.06128145128093824 }, { "event_time": -7, "estimate": -0.2564754644036465, "raw_gap": -0.25647546440364644, "n": 14, "n_cells": 14, "weight_sum": 14.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.21046567607323166 }, { "event_time": -6, "estimate": -0.08719879540800289, "raw_gap": -0.08719879540800285, "n": 15, "n_cells": 15, "weight_sum": 15.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.04118900707758807 }, { "event_time": -5, "estimate": 0.018925094480995948, "raw_gap": 0.018925094480995983, "n": 15, "n_cells": 15, "weight_sum": 15.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.06493488281141077 }, { "event_time": -4, "estimate": 0.10140549636254773, "raw_gap": 0.1014054963625478, "n": 15, "n_cells": 15, "weight_sum": 15.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.14741528469296256 }, { "event_time": -3, "estimate": 0.07044636444573583, "raw_gap": 0.07044636444573585, "n": 15, "n_cells": 15, "weight_sum": 15.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.11645615277615065 }, { "event_time": -2, "estimate": 0.08931735027472046, "raw_gap": 0.08931735027472049, "n": 16, "n_cells": 16, "weight_sum": 16.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.1353271386051353 }, { "event_time": -1, "estimate": -0.04600978833041482, "raw_gap": -0.04600978833041479, "n": 16, "n_cells": 16, "weight_sum": 16.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.0 }, { "event_time": 0, "estimate": 0.004143480940003233, "raw_gap": 0.004143480940003261, "n": 16, "n_cells": 16, "weight_sum": 16.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.050153269270418056 }, { "event_time": 1, "estimate": 0.2144624873837444, "raw_gap": 0.2144624873837444, "n": 16, "n_cells": 16, "weight_sum": 16.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.2604722757141592 }, { "event_time": 2, "estimate": 0.3585284413789934, "raw_gap": 0.3585284413789934, "n": 16, "n_cells": 16, "weight_sum": 16.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.4045382297094082 }, { "event_time": 3, "estimate": 0.3498494444937879, "raw_gap": 0.3498494444937879, "n": 16, "n_cells": 16, "weight_sum": 16.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.3958592328242027 }, { "event_time": 4, "estimate": 0.3903989995516188, "raw_gap": 0.3903989995516189, "n": 15, "n_cells": 15, "weight_sum": 15.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.4364087878820336 }, { "event_time": 5, "estimate": 0.3944582087267076, "raw_gap": 0.3944582087267078, "n": 13, "n_cells": 13, "weight_sum": 13.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.4404679970571224 }, { "event_time": 6, "estimate": 0.34979159327655174, "raw_gap": 0.34979159327655174, "n": 13, "n_cells": 13, "weight_sum": 13.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.39580138160696654 }, { "event_time": 7, "estimate": 0.40650225014678515, "raw_gap": 0.40650225014678515, "n": 13, "n_cells": 13, "weight_sum": 13.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.45251203847719995 }, { "event_time": 8, "estimate": 0.44272458525889624, "raw_gap": 0.44272458525889635, "n": 13, "n_cells": 13, "weight_sum": 13.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.48873437358931104 }, { "event_time": 9, "estimate": 0.4190507238033963, "raw_gap": 0.4190507238033965, "n": 13, "n_cells": 13, "weight_sum": 13.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.4650605121338111 }, { "event_time": 10, "estimate": 0.6138578697519957, "raw_gap": 0.6138578697519959, "n": 12, "n_cells": 12, "weight_sum": 12.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.6598676580824105 }, { "event_time": 11, "estimate": 0.5274911915285107, "raw_gap": 0.5274911915285107, "n": 7, "n_cells": 7, "weight_sum": 7.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.5735009798589255 }, { "event_time": 12, "estimate": 0.4682009760919866, "raw_gap": 0.46820097609198663, "n": 5, "n_cells": 5, "weight_sum": 5.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.5142107644224014 }, { "event_time": 13, "estimate": 0.43938995550396936, "raw_gap": 0.43938995550396953, "n": 4, "n_cells": 4, "weight_sum": 4.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.48539974383438417 }, { "event_time": 14, "estimate": 0.1519159913615713, "raw_gap": 0.1519159913615714, "n": 2, "n_cells": 2, "weight_sum": 2.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.19792577969198613 }, { "event_time": 15, "estimate": -0.8312152674528186, "raw_gap": -0.8312152674528186, "n": 1, "n_cells": 1, "weight_sum": 1.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.7852054791224038 }, { "event_time": 16, "estimate": -0.7391398313690531, "raw_gap": -0.7391398313690531, "n": 1, "n_cells": 1, "weight_sum": 1.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.6931300430386383 }, { "event_time": 17, "estimate": -0.9323677021855354, "raw_gap": -0.9323677021855354, "n": 1, "n_cells": 1, "weight_sum": 1.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.8863579138551206 }, { "event_time": 18, "estimate": -0.7860046795109592, "raw_gap": -0.7860046795109592, "n": 1, "n_cells": 1, "weight_sum": 1.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.7399948911805444 } ], "package_event_study": { "event_time": [ -17.0, -16.0, -15.0, -14.0, -13.0, -12.0, -11.0, -10.0, -9.0, -8.0, -7.0, -6.0, -5.0, -4.0, -3.0, -2.0, -1.0, 0.0, 1.0, 2.0, 3.0, 4.0, 5.0, 6.0, 7.0, 8.0, 9.0, 10.0, 11.0, 12.0, 13.0, 14.0, 15.0, 16.0, 17.0, 18.0 ], "estimate": [ 0.11496998449702867, 0.12284995566946089, 0.06625758488613857, -0.0554851717372884, 0.049280171606234845, 0.13891203737116534, 0.20462319775291812, 0.028143148135660805, 0.043578467776587713, -0.10729123961135305, -0.2564754644036465, -0.08719879540800288, 0.018925094480995983, 0.10140549636254778, 0.07044636444573586, 0.08931735027472049, -0.04600978833041479, 0.004143480940003261, 0.21446248738374446, 0.3585284413789934, 0.3498494444937879, 0.3903989995516189, 0.3944582087267078, 0.34979159327655185, 0.40650225014678515, 0.44272458525889635, 0.41905072380339636, 0.6138578697519957, 0.5274911915285107, 0.46820097609198663, 0.43938995550396953, 0.1519159913615714, -0.8312152674528186, -0.7391398313690531, -0.9323677021855354, -0.7860046795109592 ], "n": [ 1.0, 3.0, 3.0, 3.0, 3.0, 3.0, 4.0, 9.0, 11.0, 12.0, 14.0, 15.0, 15.0, 15.0, 15.0, 16.0, 16.0, 16.0, 16.0, 16.0, 16.0, 15.0, 13.0, 13.0, 13.0, 13.0, 13.0, 12.0, 7.0, 5.0, 4.0, 2.0, 1.0, 1.0, 1.0, 1.0 ] }, "sdid_pre_gap_correction": [ { "cohort": 2, "pre_gap": 0.0 }, { "cohort": 6, "pre_gap": 1.457167719820518e-16 }, { "cohort": 7, "pre_gap": 1.942890293094024e-16 }, { "cohort": 8, "pre_gap": -1.6653345369377348e-16 }, { "cohort": 9, "pre_gap": 4.85722573273506e-17 }, { "cohort": 10, "pre_gap": 6.418476861114186e-17 }, { "cohort": 11, "pre_gap": -9.71445146547012e-17 }, { "cohort": 16, "pre_gap": -2.7755575615628914e-17 }, { "cohort": 17, "pre_gap": -8.326672684688674e-17 } ], "diagnostics": { "converged": true, "pre_rmse": 0.24077641022669266, "zeta_omega": [ 0.0, 0.3268717932583503, 0.3621313273276256, 0.29028602078882326, 0.3149605627592146, 0.3631603450717773, 0.6430946677590436, 0.5519876743439678, 0.42432484515419266 ], "zeta_lambda": [ 0.0, 1.660942626025926e-07, 1.574260463744625e-07, 1.5287634257505715e-07, 1.422994977836553e-07, 1.3335452220975403e-07, 3.616387076904678e-07, 3.104054802793257e-07, 3.0004297543446133e-07 ], "n_observed": 357, "n_missing": 0, "n_treated_observed": 178, "n_untreated_observed": 179, "missing_method": "complete panel", "missing_diagnostics": [] }, "checks": { "scalar_vs_treated_cell_average": 5.551115123125783e-17, "native_scalar_vs_unweighted_matrix_average": 4.996003610813204e-16 }, "native_matrix_att": 0.33158979965496244, "matrix_preparation": { "source_rows": 357, "matrix_shape": [ 17, 21 ], "observed_cells": 357, "missing_cells": 0, "repeated_cells": 0, "minimum_cell_count": 1, "maximum_cell_count": 1, "observation_mass": 357.0, "treated_observation_mass": 178.0, "within_cell_aggregation": "Observation-weighted outcome mean", "fitting_weights": "Standard crabbymetrics objective on cell means; no cell-count precision weighting", "reporting_weights": "Sum of original observation weights per treated unit-period" }, "seconds": 0.0008960003033280373, "crabbymetrics": "0.9.1", "crabbymetrics_build": { "source_commit": "cb3fcc0e8664cdbb6848d3998ddc4365d65740dc", "extension_sha256": "3e1dd2e2bd6d38612b9200b15094fc37138cd002749f8b31148d6265fc533cbd" }, "normalization": "Original source outcome / source SD; no mean subtraction", "target": "All observed treated observations, using configured observation weights; cell mass equals sum of row weights", "status": "estimated" }, { "method": "Matrix completion", "class": "MatrixCompletion", "parameters": { "lambda_fraction": 0.25, "max_iterations": 1000, "tolerance": 1e-12 }, "partial_pooling": { "parameter": null, "value": null, "status": "not_applicable", "fit_scope": "Joint untreated-cell fit", "within_cohort_target": null, "cross_cohort_partial_pooling": false, "shared_structure": "Low-rank matrix and unit/time effects", "note": "Regularization penalties are not partial-pooling parameters." }, "estimate": 0.4538157615319752, "event_study": [ { "event_time": -17, "estimate": 0.04016838070340434, "raw_gap": 0.04016838070340434, "n": 1, "n_cells": 1, "weight_sum": 1.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.08087574526262198 }, { "event_time": -16, "estimate": 0.025219175236460483, "raw_gap": 0.025219175236460483, "n": 3, "n_cells": 3, "weight_sum": 3.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.06592653979567811 }, { "event_time": -15, "estimate": 0.03600113573467819, "raw_gap": 0.03600113573467819, "n": 3, "n_cells": 3, "weight_sum": 3.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.07670850029389582 }, { "event_time": -14, "estimate": -0.034581293079789376, "raw_gap": -0.034581293079789376, "n": 3, "n_cells": 3, "weight_sum": 3.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.006126071479428258 }, { "event_time": -13, "estimate": 0.06486234365735892, "raw_gap": 0.06486234365735892, "n": 3, "n_cells": 3, "weight_sum": 3.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.10556970821657655 }, { "event_time": -12, "estimate": 0.014981130784857891, "raw_gap": 0.014981130784857891, "n": 3, "n_cells": 3, "weight_sum": 3.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.05568849534407552 }, { "event_time": -11, "estimate": 0.02702251670476602, "raw_gap": 0.02702251670476602, "n": 4, "n_cells": 4, "weight_sum": 4.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.06772988126398366 }, { "event_time": -10, "estimate": 0.005045860186674374, "raw_gap": 0.005045860186674374, "n": 9, "n_cells": 9, "weight_sum": 9.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.04575322474589201 }, { "event_time": -9, "estimate": 0.03914726112488325, "raw_gap": 0.03914726112488325, "n": 11, "n_cells": 11, "weight_sum": 11.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.07985462568410089 }, { "event_time": -8, "estimate": -0.05913793273829796, "raw_gap": -0.05913793273829796, "n": 12, "n_cells": 12, "weight_sum": 12.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.01843056817908033 }, { "event_time": -7, "estimate": -0.035767618356968005, "raw_gap": -0.035767618356968005, "n": 14, "n_cells": 14, "weight_sum": 14.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.004939746202249629 }, { "event_time": -6, "estimate": 0.00044378483295103667, "raw_gap": 0.00044378483295103667, "n": 15, "n_cells": 15, "weight_sum": 15.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.04115114939216867 }, { "event_time": -5, "estimate": 0.0021497856674692986, "raw_gap": 0.0021497856674692986, "n": 15, "n_cells": 15, "weight_sum": 15.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.04285715022668693 }, { "event_time": -4, "estimate": 0.03395109208382136, "raw_gap": 0.03395109208382136, "n": 15, "n_cells": 15, "weight_sum": 15.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.074658456643039 }, { "event_time": -3, "estimate": 0.006057173193471359, "raw_gap": 0.006057173193471359, "n": 15, "n_cells": 15, "weight_sum": 15.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.04676453775268899 }, { "event_time": -2, "estimate": 0.01743467584054828, "raw_gap": 0.01743467584054828, "n": 16, "n_cells": 16, "weight_sum": 16.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.058142040399765914 }, { "event_time": -1, "estimate": -0.04070736455921763, "raw_gap": -0.04070736455921763, "n": 16, "n_cells": 16, "weight_sum": 16.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.0 }, { "event_time": 0, "estimate": 0.16666825333066004, "raw_gap": 0.16666825333066004, "n": 16, "n_cells": 16, "weight_sum": 16.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.20737561788987768 }, { "event_time": 1, "estimate": 0.3460735778030274, "raw_gap": 0.3460735778030274, "n": 16, "n_cells": 16, "weight_sum": 16.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.38678094236224503 }, { "event_time": 2, "estimate": 0.39919898305208745, "raw_gap": 0.39919898305208745, "n": 16, "n_cells": 16, "weight_sum": 16.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.4399063476113051 }, { "event_time": 3, "estimate": 0.4984385426363459, "raw_gap": 0.4984385426363459, "n": 16, "n_cells": 16, "weight_sum": 16.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.5391459071955635 }, { "event_time": 4, "estimate": 0.5446286890812464, "raw_gap": 0.5446286890812464, "n": 15, "n_cells": 15, "weight_sum": 15.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.585336053640464 }, { "event_time": 5, "estimate": 0.5561862944922032, "raw_gap": 0.5561862944922032, "n": 13, "n_cells": 13, "weight_sum": 13.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.5968936590514209 }, { "event_time": 6, "estimate": 0.4828454935195413, "raw_gap": 0.4828454935195413, "n": 13, "n_cells": 13, "weight_sum": 13.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.523552858078759 }, { "event_time": 7, "estimate": 0.5255772112279397, "raw_gap": 0.5255772112279397, "n": 13, "n_cells": 13, "weight_sum": 13.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.5662845757871573 }, { "event_time": 8, "estimate": 0.5960437150332794, "raw_gap": 0.5960437150332794, "n": 13, "n_cells": 13, "weight_sum": 13.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.636751079592497 }, { "event_time": 9, "estimate": 0.5284973113671353, "raw_gap": 0.5284973113671353, "n": 13, "n_cells": 13, "weight_sum": 13.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.5692046759263529 }, { "event_time": 10, "estimate": 0.6916990561132073, "raw_gap": 0.6916990561132073, "n": 12, "n_cells": 12, "weight_sum": 12.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.7324064206724249 }, { "event_time": 11, "estimate": 0.6140239428242469, "raw_gap": 0.6140239428242469, "n": 7, "n_cells": 7, "weight_sum": 7.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.6547313073834645 }, { "event_time": 12, "estimate": 0.5505159458607165, "raw_gap": 0.5505159458607165, "n": 5, "n_cells": 5, "weight_sum": 5.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.5912233104199341 }, { "event_time": 13, "estimate": 0.5390511364559758, "raw_gap": 0.5390511364559758, "n": 4, "n_cells": 4, "weight_sum": 4.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.5797585010151934 }, { "event_time": 14, "estimate": 0.24852335228037958, "raw_gap": 0.24852335228037958, "n": 2, "n_cells": 2, "weight_sum": 2.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.2892307168395972 }, { "event_time": 15, "estimate": -0.7389414170279234, "raw_gap": -0.7389414170279234, "n": 1, "n_cells": 1, "weight_sum": 1.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.6982340524687057 }, { "event_time": 16, "estimate": -0.6468659809441579, "raw_gap": -0.6468659809441579, "n": 1, "n_cells": 1, "weight_sum": 1.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.6061586163849403 }, { "event_time": 17, "estimate": -0.8400938517606402, "raw_gap": -0.8400938517606402, "n": 1, "n_cells": 1, "weight_sum": 1.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.7993864872014226 }, { "event_time": 18, "estimate": -0.693730829086064, "raw_gap": -0.693730829086064, "n": 1, "n_cells": 1, "weight_sum": 1.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.6530234645268463 } ], "package_event_study": { "event_time": [ -17.0, -16.0, -15.0, -14.0, -13.0, -12.0, -11.0, -10.0, -9.0, -8.0, -7.0, -6.0, -5.0, -4.0, -3.0, -2.0, -1.0, 0.0, 1.0, 2.0, 3.0, 4.0, 5.0, 6.0, 7.0, 8.0, 9.0, 10.0, 11.0, 12.0, 13.0, 14.0, 15.0, 16.0, 17.0, 18.0 ], "estimate": [ 0.04016838070340434, 0.025219175236460483, 0.03600113573467819, -0.034581293079789376, 0.06486234365735892, 0.014981130784857891, 0.02702251670476602, 0.005045860186674374, 0.03914726112488325, -0.05913793273829796, -0.035767618356968005, 0.00044378483295103667, 0.0021497856674692986, 0.03395109208382136, 0.006057173193471359, 0.01743467584054828, -0.04070736455921763, 0.16666825333066002, 0.34607357780302744, 0.39919898305208745, 0.49843854263634585, 0.5446286890812464, 0.5561862944922032, 0.4828454935195415, 0.5255772112279397, 0.5960437150332794, 0.5284973113671352, 0.6916990561132073, 0.6140239428242469, 0.5505159458607165, 0.5390511364559758, 0.24852335228037958, -0.7389414170279234, -0.6468659809441579, -0.8400938517606402, -0.693730829086064 ], "n": [ 1.0, 3.0, 3.0, 3.0, 3.0, 3.0, 4.0, 9.0, 11.0, 12.0, 14.0, 15.0, 15.0, 15.0, 15.0, 16.0, 16.0, 16.0, 16.0, 16.0, 16.0, 15.0, 13.0, 13.0, 13.0, 13.0, 13.0, 12.0, 7.0, 5.0, 4.0, 2.0, 1.0, 1.0, 1.0, 1.0 ] }, "sdid_pre_gap_correction": [], "diagnostics": { "converged": true, "iterations": 53, "termination_reason": "Relative objective tolerance reached", "objective": 0.03519827028553521, "lambda_l": 0.006923392979979629, "singular_values": [ 2.057896908026346, 0.7448398058018657, 0.5269829921144074, 0.025538612477413625, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0 ], "history_objective": [ 0.0383234274512321, 0.036093226785127656, 0.03553645956755477, 0.03534608711143193, 0.035275603997409866, 0.03524361317963966, 0.035226291002197305, 0.03521596603684794, 0.035209545194105685, 0.03520548166346085, 0.035202891117303015, 0.03520123423502074, 0.035200172790442824, 0.03519949214888408, 0.03519905539916556, 0.035198774994033726, 0.03519859487768867, 0.03519847912772796, 0.03519840470922945, 0.03519835684323044, 0.03519832604298348, 0.03519830621597933, 0.035198293447743056, 0.03519828522208276, 0.03519827992091137, 0.03519827650324736, 0.03519827429911017, 0.03519827287712524, 0.03519827195943952, 0.035198271367017524, 0.03519827098445504, 0.035198270737337674, 0.0351982705776652, 0.03519827047446543, 0.03519827040774702, 0.03519827036460236, 0.03519827033669496, 0.03519827031863904, 0.03519827030695419, 0.03519827029939057, 0.03519827029449353, 0.03519827029132226, 0.035198270289268134, 0.035198270287937386, 0.03519827028707505, 0.035198270286516155, 0.03519827028615384, 0.03519827028591897, 0.035198270285766636, 0.03519827028566787, 0.03519827028560378, 0.035198270285562196, 0.03519827028553521 ], "history_rmse": [ 0.11674955344121718, 0.11051622748052231, 0.10992395338581314, 0.10972016313385487, 0.10962424656022991, 0.10956882679701675, 0.10953201176975413, 0.10950529581778967, 0.10948481498027261, 0.10946861482836961, 0.10945559523061994, 0.10944505902985924, 0.10943651391619602, 0.10942958435070915, 0.10942397094080646, 0.10941942999930024, 0.10941576169734994, 0.10941280202363396, 0.1094104166239197, 0.10940849575723008, 0.10940695005634649, 0.1094057069458771, 0.10940470762731822, 0.1094039045584092, 0.10940325936067397, 0.10940274109360466, 0.1094023248390955, 0.10940199054565256, 0.10940172208821632, 0.10940150650565858, 0.1094013333838545, 0.10940119435748345, 0.10940108270830644, 0.10940099304161859, 0.1094009210259025, 0.1094008631834823, 0.10940081672227893, 0.1094007794006506, 0.10940074941884838, 0.10940072533186002, 0.1094007059794424, 0.1094006904299555, 0.10940067793527833, 0.10940066789462306, 0.10940065982548818, 0.1094006533403455, 0.10940064812792392, 0.10940064393818892, 0.10940064057027915, 0.10940063786282722, 0.10940063568618384, 0.10940063393617773, 0.10940063252910238 ], "n_observed": 357, "n_missing": 0, "n_treated_observed": 178, "n_untreated_observed": 179 }, "checks": { "scalar_vs_treated_cell_average": 0.0, "native_scalar_vs_unweighted_matrix_average": 2.220446049250313e-16 }, "native_matrix_att": 0.453815761531975, "matrix_preparation": { "source_rows": 357, "matrix_shape": [ 17, 21 ], "observed_cells": 357, "missing_cells": 0, "repeated_cells": 0, "minimum_cell_count": 1, "maximum_cell_count": 1, "observation_mass": 357.0, "treated_observation_mass": 178.0, "within_cell_aggregation": "Observation-weighted outcome mean", "fitting_weights": "Standard crabbymetrics objective on cell means; no cell-count precision weighting", "reporting_weights": "Sum of original observation weights per treated unit-period" }, "seconds": 0.0014968751929700375, "crabbymetrics": "0.9.1", "crabbymetrics_build": { "source_commit": "cb3fcc0e8664cdbb6848d3998ddc4365d65740dc", "extension_sha256": "3e1dd2e2bd6d38612b9200b15094fc37138cd002749f8b31148d6265fc533cbd" }, "normalization": "Original source outcome / source SD; no mean subtraction", "target": "All observed treated observations, using configured observation weights; cell mass equals sum of row weights", "status": "estimated" }, { "method": "Horizontal ridge", "class": "HorizontalPanelRidge", "parameters": { "penalty": 1.0 }, "partial_pooling": { "parameter": null, "value": null, "status": "not_applicable", "fit_scope": "Separate adoption-cohort fits", "within_cohort_target": "Mean treated outcome history", "cross_cohort_partial_pooling": false, "shared_structure": null, "note": "Regularization penalties are not partial-pooling parameters." }, "estimate": 1.384797053176424, "event_study": [ { "event_time": -17, "estimate": -0.07332039370959587, "raw_gap": -0.07332039370959587, "n": 1, "n_cells": 1, "weight_sum": 1.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.18954814660801592 }, { "event_time": -16, "estimate": -0.050075762361833163, "raw_gap": -0.050075762361833163, "n": 3, "n_cells": 3, "weight_sum": 3.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.16630351526025322 }, { "event_time": -15, "estimate": -0.08144040713622565, "raw_gap": -0.08144040713622565, "n": 3, "n_cells": 3, "weight_sum": 3.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.1976681600346457 }, { "event_time": -14, "estimate": -0.1811983527862139, "raw_gap": -0.1811983527862139, "n": 3, "n_cells": 3, "weight_sum": 3.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.29742610568463396 }, { "event_time": -13, "estimate": -0.05235595534495877, "raw_gap": -0.05235595534495877, "n": 3, "n_cells": 3, "weight_sum": 3.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.16858370824337882 }, { "event_time": -12, "estimate": -0.004191200386336765, "raw_gap": -0.004191200386336765, "n": 3, "n_cells": 3, "weight_sum": 3.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.12041895328475681 }, { "event_time": -11, "estimate": 0.011182679656346728, "raw_gap": 0.011182679656346728, "n": 4, "n_cells": 4, "weight_sum": 4.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.10504507324207332 }, { "event_time": -10, "estimate": -0.13023686014373037, "raw_gap": -0.13023686014373037, "n": 9, "n_cells": 9, "weight_sum": 9.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.24646461304215042 }, { "event_time": -9, "estimate": -0.04691747064177255, "raw_gap": -0.04691747064177255, "n": 11, "n_cells": 11, "weight_sum": 11.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.1631452235401926 }, { "event_time": -8, "estimate": -0.15017929945373995, "raw_gap": -0.15017929945373995, "n": 12, "n_cells": 12, "weight_sum": 12.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.26640705235216 }, { "event_time": -7, "estimate": -0.21479030660348367, "raw_gap": -0.21479030660348367, "n": 14, "n_cells": 14, "weight_sum": 14.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.3310180595019037 }, { "event_time": -6, "estimate": -0.038626920510677204, "raw_gap": -0.038626920510677204, "n": 15, "n_cells": 15, "weight_sum": 15.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.15485467340909725 }, { "event_time": -5, "estimate": 0.04250182215826035, "raw_gap": 0.04250182215826035, "n": 15, "n_cells": 15, "weight_sum": 15.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.0737259307401597 }, { "event_time": -4, "estimate": 0.11029118973683384, "raw_gap": 0.11029118973683384, "n": 15, "n_cells": 15, "weight_sum": 15.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.0059365631615862086 }, { "event_time": -3, "estimate": 0.11566314902373764, "raw_gap": 0.11566314902373764, "n": 15, "n_cells": 15, "weight_sum": 15.0, "relative_to_minus_one": -0.0005646038746824067 }, { "event_time": -2, "estimate": 0.14542074130509786, "raw_gap": 0.14542074130509786, "n": 16, "n_cells": 16, "weight_sum": 16.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.029192988406677806 }, { "event_time": -1, "estimate": 0.11622775289842005, "raw_gap": 0.11622775289842005, "n": 16, "n_cells": 16, "weight_sum": 16.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.0 }, { "event_time": 0, "estimate": 0.5158200732241754, "raw_gap": 0.5158200732241754, "n": 16, "n_cells": 16, "weight_sum": 16.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.3995923203257554 }, { "event_time": 1, "estimate": 0.8894820897331074, "raw_gap": 0.8894820897331074, "n": 16, "n_cells": 16, "weight_sum": 16.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.7732543368346874 }, { "event_time": 2, "estimate": 1.0756362841146312, "raw_gap": 1.0756362841146312, "n": 16, "n_cells": 16, "weight_sum": 16.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.9594085312162112 }, { "event_time": 3, "estimate": 1.2719656762348874, "raw_gap": 1.2719656762348874, "n": 16, "n_cells": 16, "weight_sum": 16.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 1.1557379233364673 }, { "event_time": 4, "estimate": 1.4563407062678395, "raw_gap": 1.4563407062678395, "n": 15, "n_cells": 15, "weight_sum": 15.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 1.3401129533694194 }, { "event_time": 5, "estimate": 1.645429354061363, "raw_gap": 1.645429354061363, "n": 13, "n_cells": 13, "weight_sum": 13.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 1.5292016011629428 }, { "event_time": 6, "estimate": 1.659162438609338, "raw_gap": 1.659162438609338, "n": 13, "n_cells": 13, "weight_sum": 13.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 1.5429346857109179 }, { "event_time": 7, "estimate": 1.6629847704458898, "raw_gap": 1.6629847704458898, "n": 13, "n_cells": 13, "weight_sum": 13.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 1.5467570175474696 }, { "event_time": 8, "estimate": 1.7195221350774343, "raw_gap": 1.7195221350774343, "n": 13, "n_cells": 13, "weight_sum": 13.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 1.6032943821790142 }, { "event_time": 9, "estimate": 1.7099358289558155, "raw_gap": 1.7099358289558155, "n": 13, "n_cells": 13, "weight_sum": 13.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 1.5937080760573954 }, { "event_time": 10, "estimate": 1.8513928469073686, "raw_gap": 1.8513928469073686, "n": 12, "n_cells": 12, "weight_sum": 12.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 1.7351650940089485 }, { "event_time": 11, "estimate": 1.782822083800405, "raw_gap": 1.782822083800405, "n": 7, "n_cells": 7, "weight_sum": 7.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 1.6665943309019848 }, { "event_time": 12, "estimate": 1.7032544418971916, "raw_gap": 1.7032544418971916, "n": 5, "n_cells": 5, "weight_sum": 5.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 1.5870266889987714 }, { "event_time": 13, "estimate": 1.693970285022007, "raw_gap": 1.693970285022007, "n": 4, "n_cells": 4, "weight_sum": 4.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 1.577742532123587 }, { "event_time": 14, "estimate": 1.5880183400022365, "raw_gap": 1.5880183400022365, "n": 2, "n_cells": 2, "weight_sum": 2.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 1.4717905871038164 }, { "event_time": 15, "estimate": 0.6318618443327484, "raw_gap": 0.6318618443327484, "n": 1, "n_cells": 1, "weight_sum": 1.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.5156340914343284 }, { "event_time": 16, "estimate": 0.5762172684256748, "raw_gap": 0.5762172684256748, "n": 1, "n_cells": 1, "weight_sum": 1.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.45998951552725476 }, { "event_time": 17, "estimate": 0.49282211874269977, "raw_gap": 0.49282211874269977, "n": 1, "n_cells": 1, "weight_sum": 1.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.37659436584427974 }, { "event_time": 18, "estimate": 0.5752900349583208, "raw_gap": 0.5752900349583208, "n": 1, "n_cells": 1, "weight_sum": 1.0, "relative_to_minus_one": 0.45906228205990074 } ], "package_event_study": { "event_time": [ -17.0, -16.0, -15.0, -14.0, -13.0, -12.0, -11.0, -10.0, -9.0, -8.0, -7.0, -6.0, -5.0, -4.0, -3.0, -2.0, -1.0, 0.0, 1.0, 2.0, 3.0, 4.0, 5.0, 6.0, 7.0, 8.0, 9.0, 10.0, 11.0, 12.0, 13.0, 14.0, 15.0, 16.0, 17.0, 18.0 ], "estimate": [ -0.07332039370959587, -0.050075762361833163, -0.08144040713622565, -0.1811983527862139, -0.05235595534495877, -0.004191200386336765, 0.011182679656346728, -0.13023686014373037, -0.04691747064177255, -0.15017929945373995, -0.2147903066034837, -0.038626920510677204, 0.04250182215826035, 0.11029118973683386, 0.11566314902373764, 0.14542074130509786, 0.11622775289842005, 0.5158200732241754, 0.8894820897331074, 1.0756362841146312, 1.2719656762348874, 1.4563407062678395, 1.645429354061363, 1.6591624386093382, 1.6629847704458895, 1.7195221350774348, 1.7099358289558155, 1.8513928469073686, 1.782822083800405, 1.7032544418971913, 1.693970285022007, 1.5880183400022365, 0.6318618443327484, 0.5762172684256748, 0.49282211874269977, 0.5752900349583208 ], "n": [ 1.0, 3.0, 3.0, 3.0, 3.0, 3.0, 4.0, 9.0, 11.0, 12.0, 14.0, 15.0, 15.0, 15.0, 15.0, 16.0, 16.0, 16.0, 16.0, 16.0, 16.0, 15.0, 13.0, 13.0, 13.0, 13.0, 13.0, 12.0, 7.0, 5.0, 4.0, 2.0, 1.0, 1.0, 1.0, 1.0 ] }, "sdid_pre_gap_correction": [], "diagnostics": { "pre_rmse": 0.18388736875379025, "penalty": 1.0, "n_observed": 357, "n_missing": 0, "n_treated_observed": 178, "n_untreated_observed": 179, "missing_method": "available donors with complete-case pre-period training" }, "checks": { "scalar_vs_treated_cell_average": 2.220446049250313e-16, "native_scalar_vs_unweighted_matrix_average": 4.440892098500626e-16 }, "native_matrix_att": 1.3847970531764244, "matrix_preparation": { "source_rows": 357, "matrix_shape": [ 17, 21 ], "observed_cells": 357, "missing_cells": 0, "repeated_cells": 0, "minimum_cell_count": 1, "maximum_cell_count": 1, "observation_mass": 357.0, "treated_observation_mass": 178.0, "within_cell_aggregation": "Observation-weighted outcome mean", "fitting_weights": "Standard crabbymetrics objective on cell means; no cell-count precision weighting", "reporting_weights": "Sum of original observation weights per treated unit-period" }, "seconds": 0.0006256671622395515, "crabbymetrics": "0.9.1", "crabbymetrics_build": { "source_commit": "cb3fcc0e8664cdbb6848d3998ddc4365d65740dc", "extension_sha256": "3e1dd2e2bd6d38612b9200b15094fc37138cd002749f8b31148d6265fc533cbd" }, "normalization": "Original source outcome / source SD; no mean subtraction", "target": "All observed treated observations, using configured observation weights; cell mass equals sum of row weights", "status": "estimated" }, { "method": "Multisynth (cohort-averaged)", "status": "failed", "reason": "RuntimeError: multisynth-cohort failed; see multisynth-cohort.log" }, { "method": "Multisynth (individual)", "status": "failed", "reason": "RuntimeError: multisynth-individual failed; see multisynth-individual.log" } ] }, "combined_table": [ { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Static TWFE", "Estimate (SDs)": 0.3358685755485454, "SE": 0.15072788192944972, "Aggregation": "Coefficient", "Event study": "No", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Dynamic TWFE", "Estimate (SDs)": 0.37285366884850746, "SE": 0.11568004942866289, "Aggregation": "observations", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "BJS / did2s", "Estimate (SDs)": 0.43354970275517635, "SE": 0.13509595227784216, "Aggregation": "observations", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Sun\u2013Abraham", "Estimate (SDs)": 0.3495108985632107, "SE": 0.06744112584415018, "Aggregation": "observations", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "CS-DID", "Estimate (SDs)": 0.20520120180815798, "SE": 0.12389974782934082, "Aggregation": "Equal post-event times", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "CS-DID (treated cells)", "Estimate (SDs)": 0.42863512954737293, "SE": 0.12309307849305251, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "Same CS-DID path", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "SDID", "Estimate (SDs)": 0.33158979965496194, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Matrix completion", "Estimate (SDs)": 0.4538157615319752, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Horizontal ridge", "Estimate (SDs)": 1.384797053176424, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "Yes", "Status": "estimated", "Note": "" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Multisynth (cohort-averaged)", "Estimate (SDs)": null, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "No", "Status": "failed", "Note": "RuntimeError: multisynth-cohort failed; see multisynth-cohort.log" }, { "Outcome / treatment": "y__d", "Estimator": "Multisynth (individual)", "Estimate (SDs)": null, "SE": null, "Aggregation": "Treated cells", "Event study": "No", "Status": "failed", "Note": "RuntimeError: multisynth-individual failed; see multisynth-individual.log" } ], "adapter_sha256": { "validate_template.py": "9c8cc9bb42c9d4eb4f48bfa0a6ee09498fe83516d08aa9f26a49c21c4686618a", "mtgpax_worker.py": "7279b1b2aaa3f5909cd39ac1964d2e9c75907219011fe661a015511131affa85", "csdid_general.py": "07619c3b3dfee796ae9e4842afdbc6e367a74cece254ede73f7c403dfc924f6d", "runner.py": "3d6f87d28c1a24f0efe21b6d9b06d77866b0d16abcfdaaaef47465cc9cc1078e", "matrix_inputs.py": "3f675276f9022147996dd5b62762721be2dd436d5db171491a286b05628176ae", "csdid_model.py": "b9fd5536d4886e99a707d2b162db5b11da3ff463930eca5b7590d27500096a3f", "multisynth_model.R": "3ae0740c5b75b14f563dacc9961688e8286655866a6b435045a3ef6f453c1604", "csdid_streaming.py": "378198e98c44bd46862601bdcb514b19d9ea4038cddc38dad7fdba9b0aa0216b", "multisynth_sparse.R": "f9ab3d8d7f7b52a79ccd694c7173f626276a0830f23bb79e527c88c0f0292540", "matrix_models.py": "dc7188bf9bf709f0803169dfc3b1198e8b9d2b79d5904ebc5f010a48edde2ee2", "csdid_aggregations.py": "cbed0fb13450d9398f9a59d53dbfdf8e275a74daa01158c38c0f3396a3e8c6ee", "bootstrap_matrix.py": "a55b171313d43a703063c87e668021b75eb3153fa30795b9ae3d9e2721d9b9d0", "eligibility.py": "f0eb686ff3f13e89c8f3d85f49890601c4a7f9a611a2938753be599b8ceac9a6" } } }